Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

South Korean Defense Ministry press office confirmed the afternoon of 23 South Korean waters in western taeyonpyong day 14:30 or so suffered from the bombardment of North Korea, South Korean troops fought back.

International Online report: North Korea and South Korea from happening again conflict, the international community of serious concern. Well, this will be the development of the Korean conflict to what extent? United States and South Korea will implement a large-scale retaliation against the DPRK? Etc., on these issues, the following, we Chinese People’s University of International Relations Jin.

Moderator: Professor Jin, do you think the Korean conflict, will continue to upgrade?

Jin: In general, this incident is limited, this conflict has been out several times last year, the conflict occurred in January, but the effect was relatively small, of course, that once North Korea suffer relatively large, this is a “security” incident, South Korea suffer relatively large, downtown South Korea’s relatively large number of international public opinion to mobilize larger forces, this is North Korea needs some international influence, because we know 11 March 20, U.S. experts recently announced the visit to the DPRK, the DPRK side told him that the machine has 2,000 uranium enrichment operations, this action is the same with today’s shelling, are certain to arouse international attention, does not really want trouble large, but to the United States to negotiate with him, I think the U.S. South Korea will not blow up, South Korea will be very angry, but there is not much of Korea and the ability to punish North Korea, so comprehensive, it is to South Korea a very angry things, but both still have some bottom line, do not trouble particularly large.

Moderator: Do you think the United States and South Korea can not afford to launch a massive retaliation against the DPRK? Why?

Jin: The United States is now the domestic situation is very bad, very bad economic situation, to come up with a lot of resources to East Asia to the unlikely, it is the internal situation, external circumstances, the focus of the world or in how to solve conflicts Iraq and Afghanistan issues, another problem of Iran’s standing in the front, in East Asia, the United States on North Korea’s attitude is contradictory, is another confrontation with North Korea, there are private dealings under the table flirting, U.S. policy toward North Korea is not blindly confrontation. Therefore, the United States have neither the capacity, in addition to his line is not blind to suppress North Korea.

ability is mainly South Korea, although the economy looks good, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development’s 30 member countries, relying on the Chinese market, recovery can be, but still very fragile; political Lee’s conservative government and the opposition Congress, the conflict is now much, so South Korea is not uniform inside the other, if it occurs against the peninsula, South Korea is a very big loss, to South Korea in terms of his vulnerability is the economy, the South Korean capital Seoul in GDP accounting for half of the first quarter of the country’s total population of Seoul, a city is very fragile economy, North Korea’s artillery can hit Seoul, not to mention North Korea’s missiles, North Korea Missile + artillery + special forces is enough to make the Korean economy back 20 years, so South Korea is concerned, security vulnerability and economic vulnerability leads he could not make substantive action against the DPRK, the DPRK’s goal is limited, downtown about attention, but do not want to blow up.

Moderator: That is, the clash, though sometimes people seem worried, but in fact the risk is not great, is it?

Jin said: Of course it has some risk, the DPRK is to expose these actions with the uranium enrichment technology, and then shelling caused the concern of the United States and South Korea, in particular, his desire to focus on the United States, but if the United States later do not care for him, then there is a risk that North Korea will upgrade, really put out the fire of the United States, the United States will try to clean up North Korea, of course, we do not want to reach that level, we hope that all parties should exercise restraint, to talk about it talk to stabilize the situation through negotiations, to solve the problem.

Moderator: Well, thank Professor Jin. And is beneficial to strife will harm both. We hope that North Korea and South Korea, and the parties concerned can exercise restraint, as soon as possible to restore stability in the Korean peninsula.