Wary of Japan’s “two steps forward step back” strategy
recently, issues related to Japan on the Diaoyu Islands remarks further defiance, and continue to break the bottom line – has moved from “putting aside disputes” to “never disputed Diaoyu Islands is Japan’s”, which is what deserves our vigilance and very clever “two steps forward step back” strategy.
in accordance with our traditional practices, may in conjunction with the Japanese to argue “in the end there is no pending dispute this consensus”, even if ultimately forced the Japanese to recognize the “shelving disputes have been the consensus,” the purpose of the surface it looks like we reached, but it is actually the Japanese “two steps forward step back” strategy correspondent adds – we own that would otherwise belong to China, had no territorial dispute over the Diaoyu Islands, and Japan became controversial, needs and problems of the Japanese negotiation . This was exactly what the Japanese victory.
Therefore, our strategy should be on the lower slope donkey, abandoning our national strength to meet in the year, “putting aside disputes” expedient, to follow the Japanese say: do not dispute, the Diaoyu Islands has always been China’s only 70 years under the United States in the Cold War to the Japanese Ryukyu Island favoritism, the associated internal friction led to China was Japan’s national strength and weakness to take advantage of the occasion of the theft and occupation of the Diaoyu Islands. Thus, not only declare our stand on the Diaoyu Islands, Okinawa is more in the future ownership of the negotiations lay paved the way for the actual operation is a “two steps forward” approach as a possible “step back” reserve space.
In fact, this is not Japan’s diplomacy toward China, the first use of this “two steps forward step back” strategy.
farther, when China’s Taiwan is so lost: the Monkey-year period, the Japanese ronin incite Japan causing trouble in Korea, then to Great Qing Dynasty, and I negotiate our demands for compensation and so on. Li was ruled by the “set far” “Chen-yuan” and into the early two ironclads, naval power of Japan is leading more than prestige, rejected the Japanese demands compensation. On the surface, it seems the Qing diplomacy with Japan finally won one, in fact, but big loser Special lose – as North Korea’s only sovereign state, China has always been right to send troops to North Korea, Japan, the fundamental issue of North Korea no right to say over, but it is the Li thinks himself clever to the “Treaty of Tianjin” under the “Japan to send troops to North Korea the same rights” for the future navy annihilated the Northern China, Li signed the “Treaty of Shimonoseki” ceded Taiwan foreshadowed. It can be said, this is Japan trying to cheat, “two steps forward step back” a victory strategy – with losing money, arrests and other physical conditions of the cover of a seemingly insignificant but in reality far-reaching impact on North Korea’s right to say and the same troops , used in the physical conditions of the concession in exchange for the intangible benefits of the grab, and then by the cession of Taiwan to obtain the real deal of interest.
the same strategy in the negotiations on normalization of relations diplomatic negotiations repeatedly used, and most recently, in the “talks on East China Sea.” Whether it is in accordance with the principle of division of the East China Sea continental shelf, or raised in accordance with Japan’s own “middle line” idea that China Spring, Tianwaitian oil and gas exploitation have not a cent, and Japan relations. However, Japan a “sleight of hand tricks” strategy, first proposed non-existent “line near the Chinese border in the corresponding oil, resulting in oil flow to China, Japan’s oil pumping,” under this uproar, do not know the Chinese side is What are the considerations, this actually true, and Japan to negotiations. The talks, the Japanese once again a “two steps forward step back” strategy, on the one hand exorbitant demands on the one hand and “some concessions,” although there is no formal treaty was signed, in fact, Japan has reached a huge strategic purpose – even in Japan he is nothing to say, there is no controversy in the middle line of the Chinese side of the oil field, Japan and China have been obtained for the qualifications of the negotiations. The Japanese side of the indirect consequences of this breakthrough is that China is actually the default Japanese side of the “median line principle”; the median line principle, if able to confirm the direct consequence of the “middle line” the Japanese side of the Diaoyu Islands will will be transferred to Japan!
for Japan this first wild speculations “sleight of hand tricks,” go slowly “two steps forward step back” Ruanmoyingpao strategy, I have a more image for example: fur dispute. A fancy each other in the hands of fur, you want to, so goes the skin is first made their home, and then said skin and the hair are also their home, until he tangled in the hair and the other specific questions, First pretend the less hair and more hair, hair on which a concession, the ownership of the skin deceive; then, according to the attribution of the skin has received the right to natural hair to the other claim the power. The fur would have full ownership of each other, in this strategy under the slowly eroded until they are completely lost fur ownership.
but unfortunately, this strategy seems to Japan again to succeed, but the Chinese in Japan, under this strategy appears to be outdone, every inch, but in reality a small win big loser … and again …
old saying, “to Peter’s Road, also applied Bishen.” In fact, such a strategy similar to the Japanese, we can use:
strategy, we can put aside in Japan, direct (or combined with the other side) and the United States to talk to the Ryukyu (now Okinawa Prefecture is Japan ) attribution.
only noticed a lot of people, “Japan-US Security Treaty,” to defend the Japanese side, but did not pay attention to this treaty actually contains “both defend China, but also look to live in Japan”, and the rise of anti-Japanese and aggressive on the other side, we take advantage of this treaty had not been in this side. In fact, in the United States, South Korea will withdraw troops one day, sooner or later to be returned to base in Japan (and the Democratic Party campaign made a major appeal is the “return to the U.S. military base”), so then, is a economic and technological competition with the United States is strong, the strength of conventional submarines in the world, the world’s second anti-submarine capabilities, the world’s second naval power, while focusing on the traditional sea power far-reaching expansion of consciousness in-depth bone marrow, and the hatred of Pearl Harbor with the United States and two atomic bombs of hate Japan in the Far East, the Pacific also constitute a threat to the U.S. military, and the U.S. economy or a strong complementarity, is limited to defense and naval power far not constitute a threat to the U.S. military, the traditional rights to land based on , and U.S. allies have historically been more likely in the future and consistent ally of the U.S. core values ??to live to see China in the Far East, Japan, better for America? I believe this account of Americans will be counted.
course, we should not naively thought that the moment the United States agreed to return the Ryukyu Islands, China, or the United States in the East China Sea, the Diaoyu Islands issue of public support for China. As long as the U.S. does not open, direct support for Japan, to me is victory.
the same time, we can also encouraged to Korea and Japan fight of Dokdo, and encouraging Russia to fight the four northern islands of Japan, can also cause our house to play multi-zone countries freshman advantage through the appropriate channels to support to encourage the people of Taiwan and Hong Kong around the Diaoyu Islands and Japan continue to create friction. This got hit, the Japanese either so can not cope with the global top 20 in the Top 4, which is very beneficial to me the strategic situation.
strategy, in view of China’s oil and gas fields in the East China Sea has long been put into production, while Japan-related exploration, mining far behind me, that we do not completely on the East China Sea and Japan, oil and gas mining of negotiations, and keep the former leadership “muffled fortune” strategy hard to vigorously mined enough. In view of the Diaoyu Islands is actually controlled by Japan, to strengthen our military, we must make full use of civil power to the corresponding sea activities in support of Hong Kong and Taiwan and overseas Diaoyu friction with Japan, to delay and wait for change.
believe that as long as the country’s political gradually enlightened, open international community of the future trends in China more peace of mind, the relationship with the United States will be more improved with the further harmonious relations between the other side, the Diaoyu Islands issue to resolve to create a better the environment; the same time, further enhancing overall national strength, sea and air forces to further catch up, the Diaoyu Islands issue of the final solution will be a matter of course. (Lu Chih)