Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

the Libyan capital Tripoli in many Western countries, the target was the evening of 21 air combat fighter. This is the 19 Western countries since the military strikes against Libya, Tripoli fighters for the third consecutive raids target. The photo shows the British Air Force Tornado fighters from the East of England Air Force Base in Norfolk Male Mu departure. Xinhua News Agency issued

Morning News reporter Xu Huifen

2003 年 3 月 20, the U.S. military invasion of Iraq, Saddam Hussein ruled Iraq for 24 years after being arrested and sentenced to three years hanging; March 19, 2011, Western multinational coalition air strikes against Libya, Gaddafi ruled Libya for 42 years the fate became the focus of attention. Gaddafi will become the next Saddam Hussein?

many experts believe that Gaddafi and Saddam Hussein is not likely to end up the same fate, because the U.S. desire to overthrow Gaddafi regime such as Saddam Hussein is not so strong, the Libyan Government Army military crackdown and no more powerful when the war in Iraq.

[on the temperament]

Gaddafi more enemies to be regarded as “Frankenstein”

Saddam Gaddafi older than 5 years old, they have been regarded as the Arab world, “Heroes.”

now, when people once again to Gaddafi and Saddam put them together, many views that, compared to the year of Saddam Hussein, Gaddafi now have more ” enemy. ” Even al-Qaeda with the United States stood on the same front, harbor the same goal – to Gaddafi to step down.

Essen University of Baghdad professor Asa Mari said, Saddam is more cruel, but Gaddafi are unreasonable, that people can not listen to reason, very few supporters.

in the Arab world, Saddam is widely perceived as “more rational”, while Gaddafi is considered a bit like a madman, “weirdo.”

experts say, as a powerful leader, Saddam Hussein has many supporters in the region, although the Arabs did not agree with the behavior of the people he killed, but he is considered a important Arab leaders. That year, the United States that Saddam Hussein had weapons of mass destruction endanger the United States launched a war on national security grounds, the Arab countries, most of silent resentment, can only stand idly by. But this for Gaddafi, the Libyan Arab League announced the suspension is already eligible for participation in the Arab League meeting, calling on the authorities to respond to public demands.

In addition, Saddam themselves as against the United States and Iran, the Arab hero, but at this point, it appears more like Gaddafi, “Chameleon.” Throughout the 1990s, Gaddafi and Saddam together be regarded as anti-American leaders in the Middle East. But the “9.11″, Gaddafi has become the first request to the United States track down Osama bin Laden’s Arab leaders expressed condolences, and therefore, al-Qaeda will also Gaddafi as a “mortal enemy.”

[on the counter]

Gaddafi Army strength in Europe and America is the only air

Although many enemies, but the mainstream view, Gaddafi and Saddam Hussein is unlikely to come to the same fate. Experts generally believe that the Libyan army strength as the year of Saddam Hussein, but the U.S. desire to overthrow Gaddafi regime such as Saddam Hussein is not so strong, the Libyan government forces and no military crackdown, when the war in Iraq is more strongly powerful.

, deputy director of Center for American Studies, Fudan University, Professor Wu Xinbo said, Western countries including the United States certainly hope Gaddafi stepped down, step down in different ways, “the war in Iraq, the United States send ground troops to defeat Saddam, and Saddam Hussein as a prisoner of war make, but this time the Western multinational coalition air strikes aimed at intervention force to destroy the opposition with Gaddafi, Gaddafi and force a cease-fire, peace talks with the opposition finally agreed to hold elections in Western countries hope to step down in such a way so that Gaddafi, the Libyan occupation rather than by force, destroy Gaddafi. “

Chinese Academy of Social Sciences researcher Yin Gang West Africa, also believes that multi-national air bombing of Libya’s air defense facilities, this does not necessarily mean that multinational forces will conduct ground offensive does not mean that is the other strategic objectives for the Libyan bombing started, this is only the implementation of preventive measures in the no-fly mission.

In fact, Gaddafi’s ground forces and strength but also the Union Army ground forces into the reasons for hesitation on the issue. Than the air force and air missile capabilities, Gaddafi stronger army ground forces, ground troops by the most elite Khamis trip, more than 800 tanks, more than 50,000 troops composed. According to the evaluation, the ability of ground forces in the Middle East Gaddafi and North Africa came in Iran, the second column. In addition, the anti-government forces had been mostly re-occupied the arsenal falling into the hands of Gaddafi.

Some experts pointed out that the reality is concerned, Libya’s situation is very complicated. More than 1.7 million square kilometers of the vast expanse of land if the launch a ground attack, need a lot of troops, and the Libyan tribes armed militias and other martial art very much, once into the ground spared from war, any war on the country in terms of military might constitute a disaster.

[On the strategy]

Gaddafi “, calculating, wily”

addition Gaddafi’s “not common” brand is also considered likely to avoid the same fate as Saddam.

Previously, when the United Nations Security Council passed resolution no-fly zone set up in Libya, the Western countries are ready to launch attacks, Libya suddenly announced a cease-fire, so the situation worsened. For this, has been involved in military action in Iraq 罗瑞史托沃 British MPs said the move shows Gaddafi “, calculating, wily,” not to mention his hand with economic and oil sources, the Western countries sent troops to Libya, to be prudent for me.

London-based international firm of the Royal Military strategists 阿勒克瑟斯 Claudia analysis, Gaddafi is a completely unpredictable madman, “far more difficult to subdue Saddam Hussein.”

In this context, Crowe believes that Libya’s action against dangerous than Iraq, the Western allies can not ignore the light Gaddafi ‘not common card “games.

related topics: Western military intervention in Libya