Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

2011 年 3 26, the French navy and air force Rafale M carrier fighter out frequently perform tasks Libya no-fly zone. which is in Libya on 27 March near the eastern city of las Nufu taken a house destroyed by war.

Britain France and other countries with modern sea and air weapons, air strikes against Libya has been going on for several days. And then the United States launched the war in Afghanistan and Iraq is different from France and other countries the United States and Britain air strikes against Libya, is the name of the United Nations’ 1973 resolution “on the cover, through the establishment of” no-fly zone “to protect civilians in the name of Libya. In recent days, the multinational force to implement not only the air with the “no-fly order” related to the goal, but also against the Libyan air force and navy bases, civilian airports, seaports, pipelines, and even the administration of Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi and shelter. With the expansion of targets, civilian casualties have also increased in border areas such as Libya and Egypt there have been refugees.

use of force against Libya, which is from the “9-11″ Western powers in the Islamic world since the turn of the third war. With the development of the war, U.S. and British military action may also upgrade the law, civilian casualties will continue to increase, this war will end, eventually to end up becoming more and more the international community’s concerns.

the use of force against Libya – United States played a key role in

It was noted that air strikes against Libya, the French fired the first shot. However, speaking from a military capacity, the war’s true manipulator of the United States. Libya’s military capabilities may be smaller than any other country in Europe to war, but without the organization coordinating the U.S. military and war, European countries including France, are difficult to separate the command to assume responsibility for this military action. In other words, if there is no change in the attitude of the United States, no U.S. organization and coordination and command and control, is engaged in military action against Libya is not up.

However, the U.S. organization’s air strikes against Libya, and then launched the Afghanistan and Iraq are different. Year in Afghanistan, Iraq war, U.S. war makers pledged to support fight with allies, not allies support the U.S. fight itself, domestic public support rate as high as 80%, the U.S. military darling of high aspirations. The use of force against Libya today the situation is quite different. According to U.S. media reports, the Obama team to govern the use of force against Libya on the issue of whether there are distinct differences, both views are. To Defense Secretary Robert Gates, National Security Advisor Duo Nilun and military leaders to advocate on behalf of the party carefully war, insisted on no Qingqi a war, fear of military action in Afghanistan and Iraq repeat the mistakes. In contrast, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and U.S. Ambassador Susan? Rice, represented by civilian officials have advocated war. “New York Times” review that Obama finally determined against Libya, “two women” which played a key role. This is the year of the war in Iraq and the decision-making is quite similar. At first, the U.S. sent troops to fight in Iraq, led by General Colin Powell as secretary of state’s senior generals, soldiers know that fierce war crisis, cautious, and, led by Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld and other civilian officials, though not understand why the matter of war, but war advocate .

Although the organization of the U.S. air strikes against Libya, but U.S. officials since the war has put it up on the development of the war is not how the war action in the end, to what kind of political objectives, and is repeatedly emphasized in this military action is limited, the U.S. military only “limited participation”, will soon hand over operational command or NATO allies. At the same time, made it clear that the U.S. will not deploy ground forces to Libya, can be seen from the Obama administration’s ambivalence in this military action.

The United States has maintained a low profile war against Libya, and its underlying causes behind. Many senior U.S. military officers believe that the establishment of a “no-fly zone” in this way, costly, but the actual effect is limited. The Gulf War, the U.S. military has in the north and south of Iraq to establish “no-fly zone” around 12 years, costly, but did not weaken the strength of Saddam Hussein’s regime played a significant role in the final or rely on large-scale ground combat to overthrow Saddam Hussein. Relies on air strikes, it is difficult to force Qaddafi to give in, fix will be bogged down. Greater concern is the moment the United States has 150,000 troops in Afghanistan, Iraq, two battleground is “uncompleted” works. In this case, and then open up a new battlefield, embarrassing burden, not to mention support for the American people will fall, Congress passed this off is difficult. Next year the U.S. will enter an election year, if the war prolonged, the Obama administration is not good news, the U.S. military action against Libya on the issue in fact is very tangled.

face of the West asking price – Gaddafi back to the wall

from the multinational forces launched air strikes against Libya, the international public opinion that Caza In addition to the Philippines to fulfill his oath, adhere to the “fight to the last drop of blood flow,” but it seems there is no better choice. British law’s political asking price, is not limited to opposition to Qaddafi immediately stop military action, more importantly, Gaddafi is to step down. For Gaddafi, if the West agreed to the request, a full cessation of military operations on the opposition, allowing a separate hill and is poised to grow in, will likely mean that Libya is no longer a unified country. As for the initiative to step down to hand over power, which played for 40 years with the West’s dealings with Gaddafi is very clear mind, I am afraid that this road leads nowhere, and there is no level to find “decent step down” option. Gaddafi says the West can now even exile or went abroad, not only did not the right place to go, can not be guaranteed after the new regime the West and Libya is no longer held. At first, “9-11″ incident in the United States under high pressure, Gaddafi has taken the initiative to abandon nuclear weapons development program, will review all the information to the United States, the results did not return for the trust of the United States, eventually subjected to military combat fate. Gaddafi clearly the face of British law’s asking price and the military strike, in addition to fighting in the end, no other escape route to take.

from the war so far, we can see in this conflict, both sides of the sharply divided political goals, whether Gaddafi, or participate in military operations in Western countries, and are difficult to reduce the asking price. Asking price without reducing the political, military action is difficult to stop. Simply put, under British law and Gaddafi is a stupid move, the result is not a Western loss of face is lost Gaddafi regime and even lost lives. In addition, it is difficult to find a third solution of step back.

war could escalate – Libya peril

the United Nations’ Resolution 1973, “the original meaning is to take the necessary means to maximize the protection of civilians. However, the results of Western air strikes against Libya is to bring more civilians died in the war, military action in the protection of a part of the “civilian” at the same time, more hurt another part of the civilian population from the original intention and objectives of the UN resolution more far. If this crushed, the development of the situation there are three possibilities.

First, the West can not force the air to give in the case of Qaddafi, adventure sending ground troops, the complete overthrow Gaddafi regime. For the moment, this appears unlikely. Obama has repeatedly said the U.S. would not send ground troops to Libya, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates put it more certain on this point. United States does not send ground forces, leading European countries is difficult to take up the task. Imagine, even a combat command of the blame to let go, which country dare to rush into large-scale deployment of ground troops to Libya. Nicolas Sarkozy of France very high tone, I am afraid it may not courage to take such a risk. To say the least, even if the Western powers send ground troops, the situation does not mean that Libya will be developed in accordance with the wishes of the West, Afghanistan, Iraq, where the obvious lesson.

Second, taking into account the risk of casualties and international public opinion, British France and other countries not to send ground troops landed Libya, but continue to increase the intensity of air raids, and to take more measures to support the opposition to help them work with cards Zhafei government forces to compete. However, in this “pull side frame” approach, not only difficult to totally destroy the military Gaddafi, the Libyan difficult to change the position of the parties to the conflict. Therefore, Libya may be a long period of war or state of upheaval.

third possibility is that the West’s help and under the arm, the Libyan opposition in power surge, basically able to rival with Gaddafi. However, Libya is a country composed of tribal society, once this “Pandora’s” box to open, civil strife or civil war in Libya may be permanent. Really happens, it will be disaster for the Libyan people.

In short, the war in the future development of Libya is full of variables. Gaddafi’s air defense capability in the base is destroyed, the multinational force bombing the next step will be to continue to expand the target, with the development of war and civilian casualties increased, the international public opinion on this military action will be increasing pressure . Recently, Libya has always supported the establishment of “no-fly zone”, and members of a military strike against Libya in the Arab League, under the pressure of the people of British law against wanton expansion of the scope of deep discontent. Protracted war, many countries within the Union does not rule out there will be even greater differences, including the United States and Britain and other countries, including France, may be even greater opposition to the war.

powers Britain and France dominated this military operation is a “clear military targets, vague political objectives” of the war. At first, the United States is determined to crack down on Iraq, there will be absolutely did not expect this situation today. Now, the Western military action against Libya once again opened the curtain, and ultimately how to end Libya this country’s future going? Is to become a new country, or to become another Iraq, or become a second Somalia? If the West by military means in the turbulent Middle East, beating out a “failed state”, not only is owed the West in the Middle East “new debt”, is the Libyan people, unfortunately, the UN’s sad. (Vang Pao Fu Source: Study Times)

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