Interpretation of the insider: the South China Sea disputes are most likely to first flames of war in the Pacific Island
Taiping Island do not believe in war
Xinhua Macao newspaper article published in Fu-pointed out that the present situation in the South China Sea Islands, Taiwan’s armed forces is the most critical, because of its garrison Taiping Island, showing the depth alone “state of Vietnam, the Philippines, the army surrounded. According to American scholar Xue Thailand The author pointed out that the existing combat power in the Pacific island with Taiwan, Vietnam can has captured the strategic significance of the island,
a period of time, the Philippines, Vietnam, Indonesia are coveted by the waters of the Pacific island of which the performance of Vietnam’s most eye-catching. Taiwan’s “newsletter” reported that the Vietnamese armed patrol boats in this year on March 22 and 26, has twice close to Itu Aba Island, the Taiwan sea patrol boats expelled, was the other side firing provocative, the Taiwan side to subsequently fired warning shots. Taiwan defenders of the Pacific Island state of emergency immediately ready returned fire.
South China Sea, the war is most likely the first flames of war in the Pacific island
then, the South China Sea, the war really may be the first lit in the Pacific Island?
author’s point of view on the contrary, the moment, in fact, Vietnam and other countries would rather eat the guts with the mainland in the South China Sea, the direct exchange of fire, and absolutely not with Taiwan started to capture the first shot of the Pacific Island ; the contrary, if the weaker defenders make a difference, take the initiative firmly on his country’s armed anywhere near Itu Aba Island fire, they’d only swallow the last of the bitter fruit! If
other countries launched the Taiping Island war, the continent helping hand extended by Taiwan’s armed forces can be expected, which is likely to form another “KMT-CPC cooperation, Zhao Guojun once bluntly, Taiwan accounted for the Pacific Island, the mainland side, former deputy commander of the Nanjing Military Region did not say anything, even Taiping Island, the mainland will be dispatched naval vessels to help.
Once the two sides together, and does not ask the military strength of the Vietnam and other countries can not stand this situation, just the world’s two strong US-Japan, are in any case do not want to see –
U.S. result, a high-profile return to interfere in this issue, the Asia-Pacific in an attempt to sow discord, to take advantage of the chaos, however, the cross-strait KMT-CPC cooperation, unanimously upset the Americans themselves, the United States not only began to lose such an important arms sales in Taiwan object, but also from lost Taiwan as a suppression of China’s important strategic stronghold.
Japan because of the territorial dispute over the Diaoyu Islands, more do not want to join forces between the two sides …
For this reason, may not support or acquiescence of the United States, Japan, Southeast Asia, some small countries on the Pacific Island can only be have that Zeixin, not that Zeidan!
Now, let us give it a said, envisaged in the following screen:
Vietnamese Air Force sent two Su-27 fighter to the Spratly Islands, the implementation of the so-called patrol, reconnaissance and mission to protect the territorial integrity and sovereignty, en route low altitude swept the Pacific island empty Taiwan’s defenders did not hesitate to launch surface to air missiles to be shot, and success to which one was shot down … you say, there will be any results?
the first step in protest against the Vietnam Vietnamese military first public protest; the second step, Vietnam protest, Vietnam Folk indirect protest against the Chinese mainland; the third step, the Vietnam protest, the Vietnamese diplomat privately repeated protest against the United States: Why Vietnam is not Taiwan the means to take military retaliation? !
recently read a few on the South China Sea issue, a number of forums and lectures, such as “tiger”, “Universe grand strategy. . . And so on. Although I very dismissive of the so-called views and opinions of some experts, these people veteran U.S. imperialism too strong (these people think that if nothing should have to consider U.S. imperialism, just consider U.S. imperialism factors, we had to give way. .) or gentle (the Asia-Pacific deployment insufficiency of what U.S. imperialism against China, but more to protect the interests of U.S. imperialism in the so-called new situation, China need not fall into the trap of U.S. imperialism in the South China Sea to engage in action.) . . In short, finally seen the true face of these experts.
But this is not considered the most shameless, the most shameless of a too commentator, Taiwan’s experts to a talk about U.S. imperialism, said mainland China’s military power backward U.S. imperialism much, taking into account the factors of the U.S. imperialists, it can not make a difference in the South China Sea; claiming that as much in the South China Sea, the Chinese mainland Taiwan, world grand strategy should be grateful there is a shameless comment members (like Zhang He claimed that his father had been Chiang bald bodyguard), what mainland China today can have a say in the South China Sea is also said that Taiwan occupies the largest island of Taiping Island in Nansha reasons, said 1954 years ago Taiwan’s control in the South China Sea, Taiping Island, the main islands of the industry Island, the Dongsha Islands. . . . .
really do not want to say, people can be shameless to the point where China in the Spratly Islands have a say, not because of what Taiwan occupy the Pacific Island, but because of the 88 naval battle to regain the reef (Yongshu Reef is very good, it is said about the area of ??three square kilometers of reefs just below the surface 1 m deep or so, very suitable for land reclamation into a large military base, to know that even the Xisha Yongxing Island area are less than 3 square kilometers).
Taiwan general is the most shameless, when mainland China host to connect to interview him, to say the voices of some continental users “Taiwan Pacific island to recapture reefs from Vietnam and the maid hands, Chinese mainland to assist, so there would be no U.S. imperialism resistance – after all, U.S. imperialism and Taiwan can be considered quasi-ally. Taiwan confrontation of the Huangyan Island, the Philippines, there is no difference in the Spratly Islands. sides should work together as the South China Sea. . . ;
Taiwan military generals of the most shameless actually said. “. We do not need what action, we have controlled the main island of Taiping Island in Nansha control of a main island, from a legal point of view it means ownership of the Islands as a whole, than on the mainland only control a few reef is much stronger, we only need to hold the Taiping Island is on the line. cooperation and how cooperation? Vietnam and Philippines warned us do not and the mainland. ”
is shameless to the extreme, some time before the burst of the so-called Vietnamese boats coveted Pacific Island, Taiwan’s armed forces opened fire to repel the news, I even wonder if the Taiwan authorities to create , but most likely the Chinese mainland for the Huangyan Island and the maid confrontation unrelenting, the Taiwan authorities in order to reflect their difference, they engage us to abandon the largest island of Taiping Island, we also have as a bigger way, and Taiwanese officials to tour. . . .
Well, decide to take them. We take a look if Vietnam attacked the Taiping Island, Taiwan’s armed forces can hold it? But also to recapture it?
First, if the Vietnamese attack on Taiping Island, Taiwan Taiping Island Marine, it is easy to overcome. In fact, the thing I very much agree with those experts, that is, the Nansha reefs area are very small, are easy to attack and hard to defend, attack the very easy to break. More monkey would like to seize the Taiping Island, then once more monkey attack, and soon the Pacific Islands will be missed. Whether Taiwan will be a plan to recapture it? Probably not, may be too far away from Taiwan and Taiping Island from the Kaohsiung Harbor about 1600 km, even for the transit from the Dongsha Islands, then to Kaohsiung distance Dongsha Islands, 440 kilometers, is very far.
clear that the F16 and IDF fighters could not reach there to combat ah, but not the cover of the Air Force, our Navy than in Vietnam – after all, we have several ships of 9000 tons of Kidd 4000 tons of class and a few frigates, Vietnam’s only old naughty baggage and less than 2000 tons corvettes, but Vietnam has Su-27 Su-30 ah, and Taiping Island in their combat radius.
Perhaps the Taiwan authorities is hard, after all, the people on the island of Taiwan Council is not satisfied: the scale of Taiwan’s navy is not large, but the very strength of a year they spend billions of dollars in huge military Islander. Taiwan Navy total strength of about 68,000, including 30,000 Marines; total tonnage of 200,000 tons (including the four, nearly 10,000 tons per ship, Kidd-class destroyers, eight single-ship of 4,000 tons of success (Perry) class frigates, six nearly 4,000 ton class frigates of Kangding (Lafayette), and about 10 other frigates of the 4,000-ton, as well as some of the larger tonnage (400 tons) missile boats, 4 submarines), as well as maritime combat aircraft, dozens of aircraft. . . And so on.
how watching than Vietnam’s naval strength (total strength of 42,000, including the Marine Corps to 30,000, the main is less than 2000 tons while several the cheetah level frigate The remaining tonnage Frigate old things are, some of the goods of the 1950s, most of them are small tonnage torpedo missile boats class); so the public is deprived of the actual control of the Pacific Island will naturally be a strong request to send troops to recover. What if only the war in Vietnam and Taiwan, without considering other factors, whether to win war over Taiwan? My answer is still difficult to win. Although Taiwan is about 150 F-16, dozens of Mirage 2000, dozens of aircraft the IDF, hundreds of aircraft second generation; Vietnamese Air Force, three generations of machines, only about 30 Su-27 + Su 30,124 aircraft MiG-21 Bies, 40, MiG-23M, ground and sea attack of 53 Su-22, m 24, m 17, card 28 helicopter.
clear that the Taiwan Air Force occupies obvious advantage, but the Taiwan Air Force looks like there is no aerial refueling aircraft, aerial refueling technology, then the distance to go to Taiping Island against the more monkey, the aircraft’s combat radius is clearly not enough, even if we manage to reach the After the air war after it is difficult to return. Apparently recapture the Pacific island, the air supremacy behind air power, but from near Vietnam hands. No air supremacy of the navy in the face of the air threat, it is difficult to have too many as. And combat the will, I am suspect that the will of Taiwan’s armed forces, so obviously the Taiwan military is less than the monkey army. So, also before hand riding more monkey Kilo-class submarines, the use of four submarines (including two grandfather) as a bit. So So to recapture the possibility of Taiping Island is very low.
visible, the more monkey bent Quduo Pacific island, the Taiwan military simply can not hold and recapture. And we are a very close look at the reefs of Nansha countries in the actual control map, the Pacific island from more monkey the actual control of the southern sub Island, the more the monkey apparently also want to occupy, and then connected into one. More monkey why not seize it? Obviously take into account the Chinese mainland, precisely, is the South China Sea Fleet, more monkey to win a Pacific island, in fact, tantamount to help a favor, mainland China will inevitably Quduo back to win back to naturally so kind to the Taiwan authorities do not want to just some Marine stationed, but stationed in the Navy Air Force, and large-scale construction to expand.
continent to capture the Pacific Island and more monkey sea-air combat, then the South China Sea Fleet J10 + J11 is + JH7 is bound to rely on imports, a small number of more monkey Su-27 + Su-30 + Su-22, a devastating blow; and we can also advantage of the opportunity to build on, at least you can recapture the South sub Island and Nansha Islands in northern Vietnam monkeys occupy the reefs, the more monkey dare to fight back, the Chinese armed forces have aerial refueling can say these into the fighter combat radius, and thus destroy the navy and air force of more monkeys.
natural Chinese navy and air force will have a loss, but how we are manufacture, can soon add up, the more monkey navy and air force set up relying on imports, recovery I am afraid that for several years; this time enough for us to build Nansha northern retake the island’s defense; our navy and air force in accordance with the normal exercise of control at any time of the air of these places, in additional economic means, can bring down the more monkey. More monkey is not for this military adventure will be vested reefs spit it out.
Of course, these premises is the Asia-Pacific deployment of U.S. imperialism did not finish, can not be fully a lot of intervention to help the more monkey. Taiwan authorities self-righteous, think that they control the Taiping Island, but more monkey to take into account the military power of the Chinese mainland, mainland China has been cut into an excuse for not dare to win nothing.
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