U.S. media tease: Singles of the PLA do not fly multinational gang fights is the best way
Not long ago, Defense Secretary Panetta’s commitment to 60 percent of the United States warships deployed to the Pacific. Simple calculation of the number does not reflect the whole picture, the key is that these ships perform tasks and operational conditions. If the United States, the outbreak of conflict, competition for control over in the South China Sea and East China Sea continental powers would enjoy a huge structural advantage of the relative U.S. military.
For example, China’s land-based air forces scattered in many reinforced base against maritime targets. Comparison of the two warships amount does not include the Chinese anti-ship cruise missiles, launched from a mobile truck did not count the Chinese coastal patrol boats can be equipped with anti-ship cruise missiles.
the U.S. Air Sea Battle, trying to improve the collaborative planning of the Navy and Air Force to the U.S. to face structural disadvantage in the mainland powers like China, equipped with sophisticated. However, Air Sea Battle, to overcome the advantage of the continental powers enjoyed by the “native” still face enormous challenges, which can launch missiles from scattered secret reinforcement location.
In addition, in the face of an opponent like China, there will be “marginal cost”, that the United States to increase defense costs is greater than the increase in the cost of the missile. China can be hundreds or even thousands of missiles against the United States a large warships, both of which cost quite.
U.S. policymakers need to explore without the need to maintain the quantity or quality of weapons leading long-term strategic advantage. The location can be considered an advantage. Conflict, the so-called first island chain (from Japan to Taiwan and then to the Philippine Islands) may serve to hinder the role of the Chinese Navy, and became the United States and allies to carry out monitoring and deployment of missile outposts.
People’s Liberation Army to deploy new short-range ballistic
Beijing may be preparing for such as a provocation, but this will make China’s military plans to complicate. Second, the United States and its allies are obvious advantages in the planning and implementation of complex military operations. Washington has long-term ally and partner networks in the Asia Pacific, the two sides have accumulated decades of collaborative hands-on experience.
the U.S. is more widely distributed in the Asia-Pacific region, Beijing more difficult it is to prevail by military power. To gain an advantage, China will have to attack a number of countries, this will make them fight side by side with the United States. This possibility will deter conflict from the outset.
U.S. diplomacy to build the more successful regional network, the stronger deterrence against China, the less risk assumed by each member country. Over the past 10 years, the United States has been active pursuit of the ASEAN and other countries. Signed with Australia and New Philippine new rotation garrison agreement further highlights this strategy. But with the rising challenge from China, the United States the need for more diplomatic efforts.
regional alliance network partner forces the U.S. military base options and prevent the escalation of deterrence, these advantages are not the moment can match. In this sense, the response to the military challenges the U.S. faced in the Western Pacific, both to increase military strength, is to strengthen diplomacy.
the South China Sea Fleet, a unit of vessel formation salvo of two missiles direct hit
U.S. Foreign Policy “magazine on May 23, the original question: on China’s military power, the Pentagon did not give the answer 5 of the U.S. Department of Defense recently released by China’s military power annual report, it seems describe a both familiar and unfamiliar objects.
report affirmative answer many important questions about the Chinese army. However, many key aspects of the Chinese strategy, the Pentagon appears only at the speculation. Beijing’s national defense strategy, the five most important issues still hanging without an answer.
1. What is the long-term defense spending plans? Lack of reliable assessment has been outside Beijing’s long-term defense spending plan. Current trends, China may be in the next three decades, more than the United States as the military spending most countries, but there are too many uncertainties.
the PLA’s budget is linked with China’s economic growth, or even the economic slowdown, the military can still double-digit military spending?
modernization of the army made a breakthrough in military spending growth will slow down or turn off the plans of the PLA checkbook? Obviously, the People’s Liberation Army to get more funds, will be the closer to parity with the U.S. military.
East China Sea Fleet frigate brigade single ship strike underwater target
2. What is China’s nuclear strategy? The Pentagon did not intend to estimate the total amount of China’s nuclear weapons, although usually it is far less than the United States. However, that view of Beijing plans to substantially increase nuclear weapons will not disappear.
last year there was speculation that the Chinese nuclear warheads up to 3500, is based on rumors that China’s huge underground network of tunnels, but their credibility is very low, but some people still believe that Beijing saw a strategic opportunity to build nuclear arsenals .
3. What is the goal of the Chinese navy? U.S. analysts commonly used “string of pearls” to describe Beijing’s attempts to establish the network of overseas naval base strategy, in fact, Chinese people did not do so.
Pentagon report did not discuss whether China plans to build an American-style permanent forward base, but has been speculation that China will eventually its construction of the port (for example, to send troops in Burma, Pakistan and Sri Lanka).
report also referred to as “the next 10 years China may build aircraft carriers and auxiliary ships, this is purely speculation. Do not know, the Chinese just want to build several ships carrier as a symbol of great power status, or to build a multi-ship combat aircraft carrier maintenance of territorial claims, or the construction of the American aircraft carrier battle group, intended to send troops to the world.
4. China in creating what space capabilities? China’s space growing power. The report refers to the formation of the GPS satellite network to launch Temple One development of the land-based anti-satellite missile in order to improve the anti-space capabilities.
Nanjing Military Region, Fujian Province in a certain regiment of rocket squad live-fire shooting
but failed to mention one of the most ambitious space program: the development of the “Dragon” space plane, and related advanced propulsion systems. Their presence increased the risk of a military space race with the United States.
5. Paper tiger or fire-breathing dragon? All these unknown merged into a larger problem: People’s Liberation Army truly do? China’s army without battle-tested, have not played a major battle since the Vietnam War in 1979.
times of conflict, the PLA can achieve the expectations of the country? Corruption and lack of actual combat disadvantage would seriously undermine its combat effectiveness? The answers to these questions may be buried in the basement of the Pentagon somewhere safe, anyway, have not seen in the latest report.
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