Hong Kong media: gestures constantly Philippines to fight what is wishful thinking?
Hong Kong media: see through the wishful thinking of the Philippinesthe
, agency Hong Lei, Beijing, May 16, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman, said China is committed to a diplomatic solution to the dispute over Huangyan Island, the Philippines, held a press conference on May 11. China’s demands that the public service vessels shall be unimpeded action in the Huangyan Island, the Chinese fishing boats can be free to carry out normal fishing activities in the Huangyan Island, the Philippine side vessel to leave the Huangyan Island. However, according to the Philippine Daily Inquirer reported on May 12, del Rosario, Philippine Foreign Secretary, on the 11th to the media said that the Philippines will never agree to these requirements. He also said that China and the Philippines to re-open diplomatic dialogue on the Huangyan Island event. He hoped that the dialogue can produce results, but Philippine diplomatic dialogue will only reach an “interim agreement” does not make the dispute was eventually resolved.
should be said that the Chinese Foreign Ministry’s position is firm, but also worthy of recognition. There are a series of illusions in the Philippines in the Spratly Islands, which led to last month have, Philippines trick: endless harassment of Chinese fishing boats, bringing an international arbitration, renamed Huangyan Island and want to remove the symbol of the island with China, incitement to global Filipinos Overseas anti-China procession. the Philippines reason why the heart chances, and constantly intensify the contradiction between the two countries, to make things expansion, complex, on the one hand, Aquino III tried to domestic rectifying the economic management of internal affairs and to restore peace inaction caused by the sharp contradictions of various domestic transfer to abroad, on the other hand is determined to eat, near a series of wishful thinking on the United States and other
eat first, given China. For a long time, China’s restraint in the South China Sea, calm and constructive attitude, and not in exchange for peace and tranquility. Some coastal States, especially in Vietnam and the Philippines has adopted the eating away of the South China Sea and its affiliated islands and reefs, pocketed the South China Sea resources, both China dispute sovereignty, but also at the introduction of third-party forces the internationalization of the South China Sea issue to exclude China, the Philippines, unilateral development in Vietnam, in total disregard of China’s good intentions, which makes our proposed “putting aside disputes and seeking common development”, this has become exclude China, and developed independently. Deng Xiaoping proposed “putting aside disputes and seeking common development” and in 2002 signed with ASEAN the Declaration on the Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea “has little meaning, has become the” inhibition “of the Chinese head, so that binding the hands. Over the years, with the help ASEAN to engage in one-on-one “horizontal”, did not want to encounter the United States swept the South China Sea countries, as well as Japan and India, Australia and other countries to build “two-tier vertical. It is in this case, the Philippines, Vietnam and other neighboring countries have a taste of great sweetness, they seem to have clung to eat given China’s determination.
the Huangyan Island, the Philippines, the confrontation escalating, April 30, the website of the Philippine Daily Inquirer published a defense experts in the Philippines Art. Villa Santa actually that: complex The arduous nature of the surrounding situation, economic construction and the change of government in the sensitive period, three major restricting factor for China’s Huangyan Island troops. Bluntly: “the struggle for public opinion around the Huangyan Island upgrade, will not hurt a hair to the Philippines. The contrary, China is down should weigh the embarrassing situation, to promote economic development and political stability, China unlikely to be taken in the South China Sea military operations. “his judgment is: as long as China does not send troops to the Philippines to mobilize international opinion to continue on the Huangyan Island” to discuss the axiom. The possibility of invasion of the South China Sea on the Chinese. Philippine Defense Ministry spokesman Peter. Jiawei Si 1 May also publicly stated that, although there are many voices advocating China sent troops to the exercise of sovereignty over the South China Sea, but he believes that these statements can not represent the position of the Chinese military. “Do not forget, there are many Chinese people are peace-loving.” These remarks are no doubt highlight their usual eating the psychological. China through quiet restraint, economic none other and cooperation, diplomatic protests and consultations within ASEAN is simply impossible to change them to eat the mentality, strong rights into China the only option.
depend on the geographical advantages. Art Villa Santa, China sent troops to the South China Sea, does not account for the geographical advantage. By the Philippines’ control of the Kalayaan Islands and over 1000 sea miles away from the naval base in Zhanjiang, China, Chinese warships need two days to arrive, wait for the Fleet of the Chinese navy to do the war prepared, the Philippines and its allies have long open up to the surface. According to reports, the closest to the Huangyan Island, the Philippines, mainland China Forum, Bala Wei Song City in the Philippines, 220 kilometers away from Huangyan Island, the Philippine capital of Manila, 350 kilometers away from Huangyan Island, the only controversy with China Liyue Beach from the Philippines 85 sea miles. Southeast of Hong Kong, China more than 800 kilometers away from Huangyan Island, Guangzhou distance of about 1100 km Huangyan Island. From a distance point of view, the Philippines does have advantages. This distance across the limit for most of China’s fishery and other marine rights vessel is to reach the sea, it is difficult to fight the Philippines from the United States the introduction of the Hamilton-class patrol boats. After all, continuous sent 11 batches of naval fleet to the Gulf of Aden for the merchant convoy, which also shows that China does not afraid of the Philippines rely on the illusion of position and distance of long-term harassment or confrontation. Moreover, modern naval warfare aircraft carriers, aircraft, missiles and submarines, these seem the Philippines is now China’s attack can only look on in despair! Location and distance, even though China does not yet have “Prompt Global Strike” capability of the United States that one hour, but still in the door of the conflict, such a large country, has long been not a problem.
hold American thighs. January 5, 2012, the U.S. announced a new military strategy report entitled “to maintain U.S. global leadership: the priority tasks of the 21st century defense”. The new strategy suggests the United States will reduce the Army’s scale and reduce the military exists in Europe, moved to strengthen the military presence in the Asia-Pacific region, in order to protect the Asia-Pacific security and prosperity “. This is the second high-profile announced in the July 21, 2009 U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton visit in Thailand, the United States “return” to Asia on military and strategic restructuring and continue. With the United States is the strategic center of gravity shifted to the Asia-Pacific region, the South China Sea just become the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific, an “entry point”, which made the Philippines, Vietnam, feel their own opportunities to greatly take the opportunity to “fishing for a” impulse.
May 9, the Philippines Foreign Minister is a statement, citing the United States previous position on the US-Philippine Mutual Defense Treaty and the two relevant laws and regulations, as cited assist in the defense obligation between the Philippine-US. Philippine Defense Secretary Jia Siming said he will be the U.S. position to interpret the United States will protect the Philippines against any form of attack in the South China Sea. This seems to indicate that the Philippine side can misbehave in the South China Sea, have nothing to fear.
In fact, the United States’ return to Asia “is just the anemic economic recovery, creating contradictions and confusion, is to sell arms to gain an economic advantage, open up the market for the U.S. economic recovery. The Philippines has been trying to “US-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty” fuzzy commitment on the Philippine favorable interpretation, wishful thinking repeatedly said Treaty applies to the South China Sea, but the U.S. never be a clear response, nor has any commitment to Philippines. Even the Philippine Senate President Juan Ponce. Enrile also said publicly that the United States invoked the US-Philippine Mutual Defense Treaty is committed to protecting the Philippines, is not the first time, “but whenever we encounter a security threat, the United States helping hand extended by the time we get perfunctory and prevarication. “Therefore, the wishful thinking of the Philippines, and ultimately can only be platters come to nothing!
even if the United States to invoke the Treaty cheer for the Philippines, backed by constant internal and external problems in the United States, a record budget deficit for the U.S. military had to slashing military spending, coupled with the election approaching, the strategic center of gravity still can not withdraw from the Middle East, the United States what can have bold volume and capacity, the behavior of an insignificant allies “endorsement” substantive involvement of the South China Sea, to launch full-scale confrontation or war on the world’s second largest economy, either terminally ill, or Obama their government is really crazy! China and the U.S. domestic public opinion has been a fundamental decision of the Sino-US no way to move the Cold War or full confrontation.
(of Chu Zhao root Fudan University Center for Public Policy Research Fellow)