Analysts said the United States if the decline may be passed on the crisis, China will become the scapegoat
the Superman of the crisis . Xiao Chengsen painted
newspaper reporter in the United States Wang Tian Zhang Yang
the United States known as the concerns about the decline of “traditional”, but the danger of decline, it seems stronger than what times. The financial crisis hit, the fiscal deficit of over one trillion dollars, “China’s rise and rise of others, so many Americans in the” one down together “, sincerely felt that the crisis.
talk about America’s decline “does not know what to say?”
“American decline” topic in the 2012 U.S. presidential election will not be absent. Republican presidential candidate Mitt Romney said Obama and his senior government officials concluded that the U.S. is in irreversible decline. Obama later said that any talk about the U.S. was in decline “did not know himself what to say.
U.S. media reports, Obama’s remark from an article, its author was recently published in the United States to create the world “neo-conservative thinker, Robert Kagan, he served as Roma Special Adviser of the Nepalese national security and foreign policy. This thin booklet, at the right moment to become a booster, politicians have reason to believe that the United States did not decline, but also must not decline. Read the whole book, you can feel so much Kagan is to demonstrate the United States did not decline, but rather that he is to warn the Americans absolutely can not allow America’s decline, because the decline of the United States is likely to mean the end of the liberal international order.
He believes that “between economic growth and international influence is not simply related to the future the only able to influence the U.S. position of strength, China’s economic growth. He warned the Americans in front of the real danger is to believe that the United States has been or is about to decline, or that can temporarily give up the responsibility of the world in the clean-up of domestic affairs. Kagan said that the Empire or country will eventually decline when the decline of the United States when far from coming. The biggest problem facing the United States is the ability to solve the most pressing economic and social issues, if the United States can not solve its financial crisis, are likely to face economic decline, thereby affecting its ability to maintain military and international influence.
the world’s center of gravity from west to east transfer, means the end of Western global hegemony?
is not every American strategic thinkers such as Kagan confidence in the United States. American scholars of international relations, Brzezinski said, the world’s center of gravity from west to east transfer means the Western global hegemony of the end of world power began to disperse, no longer concentrated in the hands of the West or the United States, Asia is rising, people around the world, political awakening and restlessness often with anti-Western sentiment. He warned that the U.S. can no longer when the “world police”, because the United States has made itself facing bankruptcy, the loss of the grievances and international legitimacy. He expressed concern that the United States increasingly extreme gap between rich and poor. He criticized the highly partisan American politics and was thrown into the political deadlock, also criticized the American people on the outside world “ignorance” and do not want to make short-term sacrifice in exchange for long-term rehabilitation.
Brzezinski said that some European countries and India, Japan has begun to evaluate the decline of the potential impact and countermeasures to their respective national interests. He believes that in the “post-American”, which country to become the dominant force, the international community is likely to fall into a great power rivalry, unstable or even chaotic. “In fact, the strategic complexity of the world in the 21st century, the big states can not obtain hegemony. But those who dream of the United States today collapse may regret in the future, post-American world will become increasingly complex and confusing.” His revival itself, while promoting the formation of an expanded cooperation in the West (from North America, Europe, through Europe and Asia, to Japan and Korea), and in the east support can be adapted to the complex balance of China’s rise.
Princeton University professor John Ikenberry believes that the “post-American era,” the international order will remain stable, “based on international law and institutions and the establishment of a liberal international order” in the absence of the support of American power can also be self-reliant, the emerging powers will support this order. He believes that the United States can maintain the alliance networks and partnerships, and multilateral policy to maintain a strong. Robert Farley, University of Kentucky assistant professor, hegemony means never at any time to achieve any desired result by the United States hegemony in fact means to commit the terrible mistake but do not need to suffer the terrible consequences, and now as the U.S. reduce the gap with other big countries, narrow the room for mistakes in the United States.
China-US experts on capital, Yun believes that the United States are facing a new turning point, three new factors in the context of globalization, one the United States as a “world leader” of the increasingly heavy burden. The so-called virtual economy farther and farther away from the real economy, the widening wealth gap in the context of globalization to the point of unbearable, these problems are in the corrosion of the American democratic system. She pointed out that the vitality of the American system has always been its effective mechanism for correcting errors, but the greedy tycoon of capital, the vested interests of the military industrial complex and the overall situation regardless of partisan struggle, it may be the kidnapping of American interests.
Zi Yun pointed out that the United States since the end of World War II to the status of the biggest strategic goal is to maintain its unique world leaders to guard against any potential challenge. She believes that “the United States regardless of how difficult it must be the super power in a very long time, far more than any dick”.
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences released at the end of last year, “the international situation beige book” that, subject to the restrictions of the U.S. domestic political and economic situation, the United States alone has been unable to bear the leadership responsibilities of global affairs, and other power centers there is no force to replace the United States leadership position in providing global public goods, the world situation to enter the era of a “leaderless”. Yellow Book stresses, compared with other big countries, the economic advantages of the United States is relatively narrow, but the overall strength is still leading the United States is still the most powerful country of the world’s comprehensive national strength.
talk about “America’s decline will be referred to the” rising China “?
when talking about “American decline”, often have a haunting topic, is the rise of China “. “China is potentially the greatest challenge in the United States, a minority of Americans hold this view.
Kagan believes that if the United States decline, could become the “second superpower” is China, while China and Russia’s national identity so that will ultimately harm or subvert the “free economic order. He said that China’s rise for all of the challenges facing the United States the “most obvious”, despite these challenges than encountered in the United States in the Cold War challenges. Kagan questioned the “China model” is very effective on the strategic decision-making, in the long run may not be able to flexibly adapt to the changing international economic, political and strategic environment.
Brzezinski believes that the future of the United States and be able to avoid confrontation, to avoid the decline of the big country in the history of the rise of great powers the situation head-on collision, in part because the US-China economic interdependence with each other clearly hurt each other end will hurt itself.
Zi-yun, that, so far, the fundamental interests of China and the United States there is no irreconcilable conflict, there is no territorial dispute, the decisive factor in the future Sino-US relations between the two countries is how to solve their own internal problems. If the U.S. does not bail out, it would difficult be passed on to the international up, China will become a scapegoat, causing tension between the two countries. She believes that the worst-case scenario is the U.S. into the quagmire of an arms race in China, relations between the two countries toward a vicious circle, point to the end of the dangerous and unpredictable; the best situation is that China and the United States have their own to find an effective way to overcome internal difficulties, the two national relations have entered a relatively stable and healthy circulation.
Wang Jisi, dean of the Institute of International Relations, Peking University, and Kenneth Lieberthal, director of the Brookings Institution, John L. Thornton China Center such as the recently jointly launched the report “China-US strategic mutual suspected: parsing and response, Wang Jisi pointed out: “The general view is that long-term perspective, the United States is essentially an ongoing decline of country the U.S. financial turmoil, huge deficits, high unemployment and anemic economic recovery as well as domestic political polarization, as the a few of the many signs of American decline. “They believe that despite the rich exchange of experiences between China and the United States on many issues, but the Sino-US relations does exist a large number of deep strategic interaction doubt, and there was a growing trend; China concern China’s strategic position in the United States, the United States concerned about China’s influence in the international system, as well as the ability to promote the long-term principles and interests to see what impact will the United States.
the United States in decline? The United States is in continuous decline, or going through a difficult phase, will eventually restore? For the U.S., the decline of “an option”, or the inevitable fate? If the U.S. really in decline, then who will be replaced, or the world will be plunged into chaos disorder “? For these problems, there is no more than the Americans themselves eager to explore the answer.
commented that the United States will not suddenly decline over the United States, China still needs half a century
the U.S. Rand Corporation The article said that interfere in the Taiwan Strait or to the U.S. hegemonic decline
Meifang Zhang said the United States is not the decline of the F-20 to promote America to adjust the military budget
hot comments: to see America’s “soft hegemony from the prisoner abuse scandal “The decline of