Secret Huangyan Island confrontation: the idea of ??the United States and China’s choice!
China and the Philippines fermentation continues in the event of confrontation of the Huangyan Island, In this regard, the United States to take “no position” sidelined, and after the U.S. high-profile claim to “return to Asia” and U.S. Philippine large-scale joint military play a puzzling contrast, can even see signs of Sino-US relations closer to the events.
the United States on this issue is how to consider? This should be considered.
First, the United States, the Philippines without prior coordination position, the U.S. does not want the Philippines to become thugs. The United States to return to Asia, is the leader to be done in regional affairs, wants its allies to act in accordance with the unified command of the United States. While the confrontation between the Huangyan Island, the Philippines, the case of coordinate positions in advance with the United States without authorization to stir up trouble, unable to end the U.S. military Shiyou call support if the United States acquiesced in this behavior, then the U.S. will become a small country of thugs not a leader, this is the United States do not want to see.
Second, the Philippines is too weak and can not accept any responsibility for the U.S. does not want to blanket. Has the military capability to review the intervention to the United States, its allies, the United States more willing to make a puppet stand in the first line, for example, South Korea, South Vietnam, Japan, China’s Taiwan region, and so on. Philippines, the strength is too weak, navy equal to none, once the U.S. military intervention can only directly block in the first line; and the strength of the Philippine economy, maid overseas labor income alone can not compensate for the increased U.S. military intervention in additional military spending. Therefore, the U.S. is not willing to undertake such a responsibility, to take such risks.
Third, more emphasis on transaction processing needs the United States on the international need China’s help. Middle East Gulf region is now the hottest regions in the world, the Arab-Israeli conflicts, sectarian contradictions of the Muslim religion, the Iranian nuclear issue, Syria, are likely to lead to World War II, the United States recently held there for two large-scale military exercises. And the Gulf Huangyan Island in the U.S. eyes it is short weight, Huangyan Island angered China, led by the Chinese counterattack in the Middle East, Afghanistan and other places, the United States is clearly not worth the candle.
Huangyan Island for China, the Philippines is very important, not important for the United States. If the United States must be covered with the Philippines, then select the target of the island of the industry as to secure more valuable. It’s like the United States to help Chiang Kai-shek Paul Golden Gate, Paul Taiwan, Chiang Kai-shek to give up Chan Island also pressing.
Fifth, China and the United States to respect each other’s bottom line. Nuclear powers to respect each other’s bottom line, this is a basic principle. China’s bottom line is very clear that Huangyan Island sovereignty must not be controversial; the U.S. The bottom line is very obscure – the freedom of navigation. The United States, “the substance of the freedom of navigation is required not to put into force, the South China Sea to become the theater, the freedom of navigation in the United States of course, be affected; another deep step, to ask the Chinese to adopt peaceful means to solve the problem (other countries do not have to take Africa and Africa peace the ability of the means), is equivalent to “maintain the status quo. Thus, in the case of mutual respect for the bottom line, red in the first line of the fishery boat, it sounds like a grade worse than the weight of the ocean surveillance ship while the United States to the sovereignty of the Huangyan Island “no position”, which is the result of a compromise reached by both sides.
In addition, there is another possibility, the United States to pursue its values ??have a new idea. The United States to spare no effort in China to implement its values, for example Super Girl Li Yuchun once on the cover of the United States “times weekly” of, in the ultra-female highest charting the process, there is a cell phone text messages to vote the link, the United States think this is the first vote So give the uproar and respected. Although it has been found that SMS voting, there are a lot of fraud, making this an example of the halo lost, but we can see that the United States in the implementation of its values ??was deliberately all-pervasive.
Although the U.S. strenuous effort, often counterproductive, for example, the United States to support the “independence”, the result can only make the Chinese people generally objectionable. Also change thinking in the United States, for example, the Luo someone took over the class of Mr. Hong person, disturb the tactics will have significant changes. Similarly, in the Huangyan Island stance, this attitude to repair the U.S. image in the hearts of Chinese people is beneficial, and beneficial to the implementation of its values, through negotiation, compromise, and to promote China’s institutional change favorable to the direction of favor in America.
As a result, the other hand, China’s choice, current initiatives is almost only – with military backing, the first civil behavior, and then administrative action through a tough war of nerves maintenance of the sovereignty of the Huangyan Island. This mode is not the first, has been practiced in the Mischief Reef.
some people do not understand, no, this is the most appropriate action. A lot of noisy “Sword”, bearing in mind, any form of Sword must have the appropriate strength backing, there must be appropriate tactics to display, otherwise just hot-headed on the Sword, ask for it may be more big. Several contest the United States after the founding of New China, the Korean War, to Vietnam, the shelling of Kinmen, the liberation of a country Island, Xisha naval warfare, coastal areas, air defense operations, air defense operations of Hainan Island, has a complex consideration of the strength behind the surface of the carefully planned and strict policies are by no means alone the word “Sword” can be explained.
, “swept the South China Sea, such as Volume I” unrealistic to take the Huangyan Island mode (also known as Mischief Reef mode), a little bit of control is a realistic option. In addition, “CNOOC mode” is also worth to actively promote.
should be noted that these models can not completely solve the South China Sea issue, the final war is inevitable. Gradually crowding out the actions to achieve a certain amount of accumulation is bound to the core interests of neighboring countries in the South China Sea, with the core interests of the United States a positive encounter. This inevitable, the Chinese can not be avoided, can get get get in prison, and gradually advancing to meet the final showdown moment. The confrontation of the Huangyan Island, to borrow the famous “Swallow” – “for the Philippines to more severe it!”
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