In the South China Sea, the Philippines, why come to a 180-degree turn?
According to the United States on the 7th, Bloomberg reported, the Philippine President Aquino III, said in an interview a few days ago, he signed an agreement with China, open-minded exploitation of oil and gas resources in disputed areas in the South China Sea, the political deal with the South China Sea territorial disputes between the two governments are independent of each other two issues. Although China maintains that the South China Sea, “putting aside disputes and seeking common development”, but the Philippines has refused to conduct joint exploration in the coastal waters of its dispute with China. Aquino III remark background in the Philippines has been going on nearly a month of confrontation between the Huangyan Island, Aquino move seen as intended to goodwill. In fact, the Huangyan Island, the confrontation month to the position of the Philippines is always very tough, but now the 180-degree turn, even a rare agreement with the Chinese joint exploitation of ritual Beach, but in the end prompted the Philippines in the South China Sea The problem occurred on the 180-degree turn? First: the real purpose of the United States in the South China Sea has been reached, the United States is fully aware of the provocation of the Philippines in the Huangyan Island has been close to the endurance limit, the slightest mistake, the Philippines or by Chinese military strikes, the United States do not want to offend China to the Philippines, do not want to of the two countries in the Huangyan Island conflict, because the U.S. failed to completely eliminate the financial economic impact of Barack Obama faces an election also hope to get help from China on economic issues, in some major international issues, the United States also needs China’s help to resolve. The Philippines as a key U.S. ally in the South China Sea and return to the Asia-Pacific “on the issue is an indispensable strategic fulcrum, if China and the Philippines conflict in the Huangyan Island, the U.S. dilemma, thereby disrupting its elaboration of the South China Sea strategy, in order to safeguard U.S. interests in the South China Sea, the United States also had to let the Philippines in the South China Sea issue emergency brake to prevent the forced corner, which could cause China’s military counterattack. Huangyan Island confrontation continued to long fermentation January, has countless ties with the United States secretly supported and provoked the confrontation of Huangyan Island, the Philippines, the United States intended to increase the Sino-US strategic dialogue meeting held earlier chips in order to force China has promised to or to make concessions on some issues, but now the Sino-US strategic dialogue has ended, the United States Discovery China in the South China Sea issue on the bottom line, so Liang Guanglie’s visit to the United States to promote the Philippines in the South China Sea dispute settlement, which maintenance of the parties with vested interests in the South China Sea. The current Philippine reason why the South China Sea issue, suddenly weak down, definitely get the hint or put pressure on the United States has reached it purpose in the South China Sea does not require the Huangyan Island, the Philippines continue to fan the flames. Second: In the Huangyan Island, the Philippines has the Chinese forced a corner in the Huangyan Island confrontation between the month-long, the Chinese government has been to swallow, to maintain a high degree of restraint on the Huangyan Island, the Philippines has kept advised in the Huangyan Island still bent on the issue, the Chinese government is difficult in the country an explanation to the public was an unprecedented violation of China’s great power status, while at the international level, for which China has no turning back on the Huangyan Island, only the tough shot, in order to exchange for China’s face. On the 8th People’s Daily rare Posting tough accused of provocative behavior of the Huangyan Island, the Philippines, adding that Huangyan Island last straw would be no need no longer brook. At the same time 8 days, the website of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs news release, tougher compared to the position of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the People’s Daily issued a document, the Chinese side urged the Philippine side Caesar walking in the vessels of the waters of the Huangyan Island, must no longer interfere with the Chinese fishing operations, but shall not interfere with The Chinese government official boat carrying out public duties. China is also well prepared to deal with the Philippine side to expand the events. Done in the Huangyan Island, the Philippines seems to have been incensed by China, the Philippines still precipice, I am afraid that inevitably befell unharmed. The Philippine government seems to have seen the Chinese government in the South China Sea issue on the bottom line, in order to prevent the force counterattack was China’s Huangyan Island, the Philippines had to goodwill, in order to avoid making the same mistakes 32 years ago in Vietnam scene . Third: The Philippine wrong and angered the Chinese people. Make a big fuss of the Philippine government in the Huangyan Island, intended to take this incident to the transfer of the domestic line of sight, thereby easing public on economic issues, dissatisfied with the Aquino government. The face of Filipinos in the Huangyan Island, emotions, and have held anti-China activities, requirements planning Huangyan Island, the Aquino Government’s aim seems to have reached. But some Filipinos do not buy the account of Aquino, actually in the media articles that Huangyan Island. In China, the Philippines has done in the Huangyan Island seems to have been incensed by the Chinese people, after the media have launched nationwide questionnaire survey, more than 80% of respondents believe that the use of force in the South China Sea should, although the Chinese government claims China policy in the South China Sea is not affected by the influence of public sentiment, but the Chinese government must not neglect the power of the private sector. Affected by the events of Huangyan Island, China has a large number of abatement Philippine banana imports, leading to the Philippine banana nowhere sales, resulting in Philippine enterprises are worried about a few days ago, China is the third largest trading partner of the Philippines, the Philippines in the South China Sea disputes do not consider China’s stance threatens to lead to economic sanctions, which the Philippine economy is even worse, may even lead to the downfall of the Aquino government. Since the Philippines and the U.S. objective has been achieved, how can Aquino will not just leave. In fact, in the confrontation on the issue of Huangyan Island, the parties’ positions are very clear, China does not want to play, the Philippines did not dare to play the United States will not allow the Philippines to fight. In the South China Sea issue has been committed to safeguarding regional peace, taking into account the interests of all parties, not the Chinese government is incompetent, in fact, China’s Huangyan Island are many ways to counter the Philippines, China and the Philippines have sufficient means from time to battle enemy’s military, and economic means alone can completely destroyed the Philippines, China is currently the third largest trading nation in the Philippines, the trade policy of China to the Philippines, is both a gift, but also the transfer market, but also to help the foundation for the development the steps of construction, the Philippines continues to Huangyan Island to Beijing, suffered afraid I do not just export bananas frustrated, but more stringent economic sanctions. Before the situation in the two countries the possibility of military conflict in the Huangyan Island is almost zero, although the Foreign Ministry and the People’s Daily rare strong language, but the situation of the Huangyan Island has not yet to the point of non-use of force can not be. Since the US-Philippine provoke a confrontation between the Huangyan Island objective has been achieved, advise Aquino should just leave, without further provocation to the Chinese position in the South China Sea, otherwise, if it is really anxious to provoke the Chinese, the Philippines, I am afraid that the loss of not only the Philippine friendship and the future I’m afraid no place in the South China Sea. (Author: Ping Shanzhi)