Huangyan Island, the Philippines use of force, more harm than good?
According to the Manila Bulletin reported on May 3, President of the Philippines spokesman Edwin – Rachel said that the Philippines will formally Huangyan Island as the Pana Tage reef “(PanatagShoal). When asked whether this call means the ownership of the Philippines on the island, Rachel said “the sake of brevity. He said the Philippine government has the confidence to get the ownership of the the Pana Tage reef “in the international court, and the Philippines will Huangyan Island was officially named as” Pana Tug Reef, is also taken in the circumstances of the Huangyan Island, the Philippines, confrontation is another major act of provocation, self-confrontation since the Huangyan Island, the Philippines on the one hand in the Huangyan Island to take tough measures, while on the other hand, accuse China of deliberately create disturbances in the Philippines this unwarranted provocation to China’s practice has aroused strong dissatisfaction of the Chinese people, after The World Wide Web has been the opinion polls, more than 8% of respondents supported the use of force to resolve the South China Sea dispute, and this result proves that in China has been the formation of resonance in the South China Sea disputes, has been recognized to exercise restraint and patience does not resolve the dispute, but even if the arrogance of some countries, for most people no longer believe that the use of peaceful means to resolve the South China Sea dispute, from the current situation, in order to completely solve the South China Sea disputes, force is the only option is the most good choice. In the face of China’s domestic emotions in the confrontation on the issue of Huangyan Island, the Chinese official media had published an editorial said, “China policy in the South China Sea from the emotional effects of domestic, defend the sovereignty of the Huangyan Island is China’s persistent policies and determination, we do not hope that the Philippines provocation to escalate the situation, but not unprincipled concession to the Philippines in order to avoid this situation. “Most people in the country committed to the use of force to resolve the South China Sea disputes, the Chinese Government’s position is not the slightest change. still in Huangyan Island on the issue to maintain the relative restraint in the hands of the peaceful settlement of the confrontation, the voices and emotions, the Chinese government suppression and diluted to rationally deal with the events of the Huangyan Island. The eighties and nineties, the Chinese government in order to adapt to the development of international situation raised “in my sovereignty, putting aside disputes and jointly develop” strategies in order to be able to avoid war, the use of peaceful means completely solve the South China Sea disputes, and in fact nearly 20 years, the Government of China has been adhering to this policy, maintain a considerable restraint and patience in the South China Sea dispute on the issue, in order to maintain peace and stability of the South China Sea for decades. Occurred nearly a month long event in the Huangyan Island, in China the Philippines has long been gearing up the face of domestic consistent with the common enemies, the Chinese government has maintained a considerable self-restraint and patience, in fact, if China is really moving to the Philippines will have any effect on generals, in the end more good than harm or more harm than good? In fact, by the hands of the Huangyan Island event and thought the PLA is completely necessary, but once easily out of the first shot, perhaps it will run out of control, the Philippines the use of force, China is likely in the South China Sea into a more passive, although the United States does not order to the Philippines and China go to war, but they will not sit idly let the lessons of China, the Philippines. Followed by China will once again detained on the “China threat theory” hat, while the neighboring countries will be more worried the one hand, they will step up military preparations to protect themselves. On the other hand will encourage them to hold together for warmth, the firm, they take refuge in the country outside the region will become the Western countries an effective tool for dealing with China. The international image of China’s peaceful rise will be broken, resulting in China for decades have been efforts to expand the international influence destroyed. Fact that the Nansha islands off the mainland of China, and easy to attack and hard to defend, even if we force to recover the island was occupied by the Philippines, it is difficult to change the passive situation in the South China Sea. Even more serious is on Huangyan Island event for Philippine use of force is bound to cause panic in Japan, India and Vietnam and other countries, they will set off a new round of arms race in order to safeguard the vested interests, so China’s neighboring tensions into the war, which is not conducive to China’s economic development. So in order to lessons in the South China Sea about the Philippines, you need to weigh the pros and cons, in fact, it is difficult to make practical action, the Huangyan Island incident is likely to last to nothing. Favorable aspect: the Philippines, not only in the South China Sea issue willing to serve as stands out, or provoke the most serious, the more important ally of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region and the strategic pivot, its military strength is the weakest one, the Chinese can focus on the advantages of air, sea, and quickly defeated the Philippines in a short time, and smaller losses in the country can win greater support. Although the Philippines has the strong support of the US-Japan in the South China Sea issue, but the United States and Japan is not an enemy of public order to the Philippines and China, the Philippines only to contain China’s strategic pawn. Huangyan Island event of the Philippine war, the Philippines defeat is the inevitable result, the Philippines defeat the United States, South China Sea Strategy will completely collapse, its elaboration of the encirclement of China will also be torn a hole, and China will be anchored to break the yoke of the United States, to the country road in the world, pose a direct threat to U.S. interests in the South China Sea and the Western Pacific region, so that the Chinese in order to achieve a breakthrough on the issue of territorial disputes, it is necessary to take the Philippines punches either surgery in order to break the Chinese unfavorable situation in the South China Sea, so set an example, a warning to others, and declaring that China’s position in the South China Sea issue and determination to the world! But the Chinese have to pay the price, although the Philippine war, will not pose too much direct loss, but the follow-up impact would be difficult to predict, so that the cause lies This is also the Chinese Government has been the South China Sea, the use of force.