Experts said the Huangyan Island, the Philippines, non-confrontation battle not have to look too serious
the China 310 ship
Huangyan Island, the Philippines, the confrontation nearly two weeks, the Philippines is now resorted to various tricks to force China to give way, including through incitement to anti-China sentiment in other countries to the situation to the international. 23 at a regular press conference, Foreign Ministry spokesman Liu Weimin, said: “is clear and firm stance of the Chinese Government to safeguard territorial sovereignty.” “Let the other countries to choose sides stand on the issue of sovereignty, it will only complicate the issue, will magnify the situation, not help to properly resolve the current state of affairs. “
confrontation can not be both the” decisive battle “
the Philippines in Huangyan the confrontation of the island, is both the sovereign will of a psychological battle. Philippine Foreign Secretary’s position, a greater degree is in pleasing their domestic audience, long-term confrontation, once formed, is also tremendous pressure of their own countries. Now that the formation of the confrontation, which party will not easily retreated, but do not have to confrontation between the results to see how serious confrontation between the two sides battle, no matter who should retire, they can not change the Huangyan Island The issue of sovereignty.
In my opinion, on the South China Sea issue, need to be taken in three aspects of measures: First, cruise, fishing protection, rights and law enforcement long-term, regular, persist in their daily law enforcement may more important than a momentary confrontation.
The second is to recognize that the current confrontation, more importantly, is not in dispute sovereignty, or that this is not only sovereign war, diplomatic warfare, propaganda warfare, psychological warfare, we see the Philippines in other countries call for is a diplomatic offensive in this regard should be more ownership of the Huangyan Island have now been finalized, but the relevant facts and law, or to issue more voice in the international community, to gain more recognition.
to maintain a clear understanding of the seriousness of the situation, once the other party the appropriate military provocation, it is naturally no doubt give the counter-attack, The goal is not to “festivals”, but to defend sovereignty.
□ Zhu Feng (Institute of International Relations, Peking University professor)
China to stick to their strategy pace
confrontation in the Huangyan Island solution, and gradually became the game of “brave” – ??to see who the blink of an eye. Therefore, the Huangyan Island confrontation may be a case of the islands dispute has also become a case to reflect the determination of China, “Li Wei”. Only by fully Levitra can echo the handling of foreign policy, in order to allow more countries to understand China’s policy bottom line and principles of conduct.
the Huangyan Island confrontation, the Philippine side of the strategic intent is very clear, that is, adhere to the Huangyan Island confrontation drag on, drag the attention of the international community, a Chinese sovereignty issue has dragged on into the international spotlight, but the Chinese once relent or loose gas, it is possible to make this intention to succeed. Treated as an emergency of this, China should be more resolute and more determined.
“Li Wei” Another aspect is to cruise in the South China Sea issue, law enforcement, long-term and normalization, and are not subject to interference and impact of any unexpected events. It should be said that in recent years China’s maritime surveillance, fishery and other departments in the exclusive economic zone, or even sensitive waters, the quantity and quality of the cruise enforcement activities are increasing, but compared with the demand for protection of the marine interests is not enough. In particular, in the event of emergencies, such as confrontation, collision or cruise enforcement when disturbed, must have its own strategic pace. If because of one incident to change our cruising enforcement measures, it will attempt to contribute to a small number of neighboring countries to create disturbances.
□ Zhouqing (scholars)
the United States in fact wish to see military conflict
was rare and hard-line stance in the South China Sea in the Philippines shoulder to shoulder “with the ongoing US-Philippine joint military exercises hang hook, said the Philippines in the United States banner, pull tiger, the United States said the military exercises with the Huangyan Island event, it is not aimed at China, but anyway the South China Sea water trip muddy, in line with U.S. interests “.
at the rim of the Pacific East Asia region, has become the world’s largest physical Economic Zone, China and ASEAN countries formed a free trade zone, the trend of economic integration of the East Asian region have also emerged, East Asia formation of the RMB the trend of the economic circle, the beginning of another. East Asian economies from the U.S. and the control will make the U.S. hegemony in East Asia first crash, which is not welcomed by the United States.
Obama took office, high-profile claims to lead the United States as the “Pacific States”, in the East Asian geo-strategy, the main measures taken are “sub-system of Asia” – intends to intensify the surrounding countries and China contradictions and conflicts in other countries opened from the Chinese side. To stir up trouble in the affairs of the South China Sea, it became the United States “return” to a Contact point of the Asia-Pacific.
Of course, at the same time, the United States does not encourage other countries to a military conflict with China, it is hope that the reached results, but turbulence can be controlled, which means that as far as possible to weaken China in East Asia regional economic and political influence, to protect the authority of the United States in East Asia.
□ Cheng Yawen (scholars)
China’s South China Sea region has undisputed sovereignty over the provocation of the Philippines is only vexatious. The Philippines is now facing the national issues of regime instability and economic decline, and therefore to maintain the heat of the Huangyan Island event can be transferred to national attention, temporarily ease internal contradictions, the psychological morbid.
– Song Xiaojun (media)
the confrontation of the Philippines is the will of confrontation, rather than military strength to compete. On military strength, the Philippines does not have any chance of winning. Therefore, as long as China’s political and legal inaction, stand firm and stick to it, the Philippines is bound to quit.your
– emperor (scholars)