Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

According to the United States, “Jamestown Foundation, April 12 Journal article said, the modernization of China’s nuclear forces is not the pursuit of the number of advantages, but mainly to enhance the viability and reliability of nuclear weapons nuclear deterrent capability, but also appropriate increase in the number of nuclear weapons.

article that the Chinese nuclear retaliatory capability is not surprising. Over the years, China’s nuclear forces are relatively weak ability to resist the threat is not until recent years began to pursue the modernization of nuclear forces. Mentioned in the 2006 Defense White Paper, China’s nuclear strategy is to “build a meet national security needs, a small but effective nuclear forces. However, the Chinese government has not explicitly stated the number of nuclear weapons needed to achieve this goal. Some U.S. experts estimate that China currently has hundreds of nuclear warheads, but their conclusions only consider the number of nuclear weapons that may be required by China’s future nuclear deterrent, and there is no reliable basis.

Chinese strategists view may make this clearer. They are strongly recommended to strengthen the modernization of nuclear forces, while expanding the scale of nuclear weapons. However, they do not agree to make thousands of nuclear weapons, the pursuit of view of the nuclear balance with the United States and Russia. In China should build a nuclear strike capability in the face of powerful enemy intelligence and reconnaissance, precision strike and missile defense capabilities, but also has sufficient strength for reliable secondary nuclear strike. Chinese strategists believe that the construction of large-scale nuclear power will reduce the benefits of nuclear power, will exacerbate the strategic instability. For example, the Academy of Military Sciences, Major General Yao Yunzhu that China should adhere to the policies of the development of nuclear weapons, deterrence performance is not completely proportional to the number of nuclear weapons, has a higher viability and reliability of small-scale nuclear forces, nuclear experts can also constitute effective nuclear deterrent.

, many observers believe that the next 10 to 15 years to deploy more advanced nuclear weapons; the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency, agrees to submit to Congress annual threat assessment “. Last year, the U.S. Defense Intelligence Agency, said “China is currently only less than 50 intercontinental ballistic missiles that could attack the United States, but this figure to 2025 may be doubled”.

article, there are three important factors affecting the development of the Chinese nuclear forces in decision-making. Overall, the perception of the external security environment and its relations with major powers is an important aspect; Second, from an operational point of view, the potential on pit road mobile and submarine-launched nuclear forces nuclear deterrence and general deterrence is also an important factor; Finally, to measure the development of future missile defense system, because it may harm China’s enemy deterrence of nuclear retaliation.

Chinese scholars said that missile defense is the most important factor to determine China’s future demand. For example, Yao Yunzhu the deployment of U.S. missile defense is the most important factor in the development of China’s nuclear force “. In addition, she believes that efforts should be made in the case faced with a missile defense system to maintain a reliable nuclear deterrent capability. China may continue to strengthen its nuclear forces, until it considers its own nuclear forces of sufficient size to deal with any situation.

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