Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

Figure: China’s R & D F -20 demonstrator.

the U.S. nextbigfuture website April 6 issue of the Journal article said, in recent years, China’s development of a number of domestic weapons; the United States and foreign observers seriously underestimated the progress of the development and deployment of these weapons. Therefore, the article on foreign unable to accurately assess the development of Chinese-made weapons.

article lists some of the reasons: 1) the message control and deception. Many aspects of Chinese military affairs in secret. In some cases, but also anti-complement false news or misleading messages. U.S. defense officials in recent years have been complaining about China’s military modernization opaque. 2) underestimated the development of China’s defense industry. The outside world has been rigidly believe that China’s defense industry is difficult to adapt to the development. But over the past decade, the development of China’s defense industry goes far beyond the expectations of the outside world. Although its development is still many problems, but the Chinese defense industry in the eighties and nineties, with considerable development. 3) difficult to understand China’s national security decision-making process. China’s decision-making process is not transparent, especially in military policy and national security issues. 4) underestimate the threat perception. Media, academic, and government, many analysts failed to fully assess to China in the United States constitutes a threat to China’s security concept. These threats is awareness because some things have been greatly stimulated. These events include the Taiwan Strait crisis of 1996 and the 1999 bombing of the Chinese Embassy in Yugoslavia things. 5) China has increased investment in science and technology. Over the past two decades, China’s efforts to develop scientific and technological innovation capacity. This greatly enhances the ability of China to develop advanced weapons. In addition, China to further understand the dual-use technology also contributed to the defense industry. 6) insufficient attention to the Chinese data. If the outside world is concerned about the Chinese data, and then past it is possible to avoid some false positives in the development of weapons. Concern on China’s official media and political science journals will help to improve understanding of the worldview of the Chinese leadership. 7) the trend over the past decade have been insufficient to know what the future of China’s defense industry analysis. In addition, observers should not assume that China’s military policy statement only has a face value, because this information can be deceptive. U.S. analysts and decision-makers should be aware of the ability of China to develop advanced weapons will further enhance the PLA’s combat capability will be strengthened.

In addition, the article also cited examples of some foreign countries can not accurately assessed. There are indications that the U.S. did not expect to “meta” class submarine development, but did not expect the Chinese navy has deployed the newer submarines with AIP system. Although the United States know that China is developing anti-satellite weapons, but did not expect the Chinese anti-satellite test in January 2007. The United States significantly underestimated the Chinese anti-ship ballistic missile capability, “Dongfeng-21D” with the initial operational capability in December 2010. The United States also underestimated China’s development of fifth generation fighter J-20′s ability, although the real strength of the people of the fighter is not clear. (Sri Lanka)

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