Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

Figure: March 11, U.S. Navy USS Enterprise to move into the Middle East.

the United States, Israeli officials said: April nuclear talks is the last chance for Iran to avoid undermining the

U.S. media has spread, the Israeli military has finalized the attack on Iran the three routes of nuclear facilities, the four goals. In Beijing on March 16, Israeli Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Lieberman said to the reporter: “will restart in April, an Iranian nuclear negotiator, is the last chance for Iran to avoid war.” Although the army attack on Iran nuclear facilities “sound” getting loud, but military analysts said the army air strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities there is a huge risk of failure.

selected three air strikes on Iranian route

a number of Israeli military sources revealed to the U.S. Cable News Network (CNN), in order to prevent Iran to produce nuclear weapons. the ambitions of the Israeli military in 2008 to develop three specific routes of the fighter air strikes.

the most convenient is the midline, Israeli warplanes directly over neighboring Jordan and Iraqi airspace, into Iranian territory. However, this may lead to intense diplomatic dispute between Israel and its neighbors.

south line, Israeli warplanes after the airspace in the northern region of Saudi Arabia into the Gulf waters, and then into Iran. Although Saudi Arabia has not yet established diplomatic relations with Israel, but also was seriously the threat of Iran’s nuclear Saudi Arabia, it is possible given the green light for Israeli attack on Iran.

last route is the Northern Line, Israeli warplanes entered Iranian territory by Turkish airspace to carry out air strikes against Iran’s nuclear facilities. Soil relations now has deteriorated, the Turkish government has said that will never let Israel through, coupled with Turkey’s air defense system is more advanced, if not to allow Israeli warplanes may find it difficult to easily cross the Turkish airspace.

these three flight path is very dangerous for the army in terms of But once the decision to take military action, Israeli policy-makers must make the final choice from. From the current point of view, the midline of the most may be selected by the army. Air defense system, Jordan and Iraq’s air defense capabilities are very limited, even if the two countries do not want to Israeli warplanes forced through the possibility of strikes against Iran suffered the risk of attack is much lower than the other two lines .

against the four goals each difficulty

addition to the finalization of the three alternate combat route, military sources revealed that the military has also identified the fight against four core objectives of Iran’s nuclear facilities, respectively, for the Natanz uranium enrichment facility, Sherlock enrichment facility in Isfahan uranium conversion plant and the Arak heavy water reactor.

Allegedly, according to the four targets of different difficulty, the army has also developed a different anti-countermeasures. Among them, relatively easy to destroy the Isfahan uranium conversion plant and the Arak heavy water reactor, two nuclear facilities are built on the ground, relatively easy to air raid succeeded.

difficult Natanz uranium enrichment facility. At nuclear facilities in Natanz, 300 km south of Tehran, Iran desert underground 25 meters, plus a special reinforcement material, relying on the aircraft difficult to be completely destroyed. Israeli Military Industrial Complex has been completed upgrade of the MPR-500 guided missiles, successfully penetrating bombs instead, but the Israeli military experts still doubt its performance, the new U.S. ground-penetrating bombs does not give parties .

to combat the most difficult, is near the Iranian holy city of Qom Sherlock uranium enrichment facility. Military sources said, even while warplanes and super-penetrating bombs, I am afraid it is difficult to destroy. Sherlock enrichment facility is the core facilities of the production of highly enriched uranium in Iran, it is believed that the facility is located in Qom, 30 kilometers outside of the underground 80 meters deep, around the deployment of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard air defense missile units can counterattack struck Army fighters. In recent years, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard has repeatedly held military exercises in the desert region of Qom, test-fired a variety of surface-to-air missiles.

air strikes are still a huge risk of failure

military analysts said that if Israel launched action against Iran’s nuclear facilities, at least out one hundred fighters at the same time long-range strike Iran, the entire operation there is a huge risk of failure.

Israeli Defense Ministry official confirmed to The Associated Press, once the use of force “use of American bombers, air strikes, the army is most likely to select. The official said Israel a total of over 300 aircraft of various types of fighters, about 100 fighters will participate in possible air strikes against enemy attack planes and other escort fighter.

At present, Israel has an F-15I fighter fleet, a total of 25 fighters, this is also the strongest army the current strike force. This type of fighter aircraft can carry three GBU-28 laser-guided penetrating bombs will destroy Iran’s underground nuclear facilities, the most important executive. At the same time, the army, four F-16I fighter fleet, 100 about fighter in the air extremely flexible, you can attack ground targets.

In addition, the army existing five C-130 and 4-7 Boeing 707 aerial refueling, and for the Air Force to provide intelligence, communications support, remote unmanned aerial vehicles. In order to strengthen the cooperative engagement capability of each fighter, the Israeli Air Force in recent years has been a series of long-range raid drills.

However, military analysts have pointed out that the long-distance long-range strike and air refueling capability twofold test of the army against Iraq air raids at great risk.

First of all, Israeli warplanes final choice of which an air strike line, and its flight path is at least 1931 one thousand meters, so long-distance raid, greatly increased the risk of a fighter. Once the fighters halfway be found or is blocked, the fighter pilot must give up the external fuel tank weight loss in order to fight back, which makes it impossible flew to the intended target.

, air refueling is also a problem. Army although 9 to 12 tanker refueling in hostile airspace, but no fighter escort, a huge tanker would have been ground anti-aircraft fire threat; deployed fighter escort, and will weaken the army combat effectiveness , so that the air strikes to face a huge risk of failure.

Lehigh University professor of international relations Raja Menon said on the 15th, it is more serious than tactical risk, strategic risk. Israel can not be a one-time completely destroy Iran’s nuclear research and development capabilities, and thus, its military operations only allow up and down the Iranian military and government to teach the parties reached a unified opinion: “We must create nuclear weapons, only to possess nuclear weapons, Israel did not dare to combat.” will now still hesitant or opposed to develop nuclear weapons part of the Iranians to join the support camp, then, Iran’s nuclear program to weapons of openness.

nuclear talks is the last chance in Iraq

to accelerate the pace of a military strike on the occasion in the army, Israeli Deputy Prime Minister and Foreign Minister is visiting China Lieberman, 16, told this reporter: ’5 +1′ is about to restart the Iranian nuclear negotiations, will be the last chance for Iran to avoid war. “

Lieberman said it would pay close attention to the situation in Iran hope that a new round of talks have made positive progress. But he believes that Israel has not yet found from Iran to stop uranium enrichment, the move to abandon its nuclear program, did not see the positive progress the situation after the implementation of the new round of sanctions. He said that Iran not only for Israel is the biggest threat to the world, including the entire Middle East region, including also the greatest threat.

in January last year, six countries, including Iran and the United States, Russia, Britain, France, China and Germany (5 +1) in the Istanbul talks, but no results, the talks were subsequently frozen. March 13, Iran’s Foreign Ministry confirmed that a new round of “5 +1″ nuclear dialogue will quickly start. The date and location of the new round of negotiations is still under discussion. Turkish Foreign Minister Davutoglu said he hoped the talks held in April at the latest. 14, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton had asked the Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov with Iran, said the current round of the Iranian nuclear negotiations will be to resolve the crisis in Iran, to avoid undermining the “last chance”.

Lieberman, 16, told reporters, also said he fully agreed with Hillary’s position. He said: “Of course we prefer to the international community to resolve the Iranian issue through negotiations and sanctions, but if not, I think it is our right to protect themselves and we will keep all options.” Our reporter Chen Xiaoru Beijing, March 19 Xinhua

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