Commented that the Iraq war may be inevitable that China should prepare in advance
Date:2012-01-25Author:adminCategory:International militaryComment:0
Data for: January 19, 2012, two U.S. Navy aircraft carrier in the Arabian Sea meet.
in international politics, there is a famous “chicken game” theory. This is an American scholar’s, general content, the two parties to the conflict in the same lane as while driving a car on the opposite, if both parties are afraid to show their attitude to the conflict refuse to give way, the outcome is a head-on collision , a lose-lose; if one choice at the last minute compromise, the party will choose concessions are considered “coward”, reputation, but has avoided the tragic loss of conflict and greater benefits.
U.S. tensions with Iran is now very like playing a “chicken game”, the United States continue to increase sanctions on Iran efforts to reduce or stop the beat allies import oil from Iran, and to persuade other countries with the U.S. sanctions against Iran, Iran’s attempt to “drastic”, three U.S. aircraft carrier also has the Persian Gulf buildup.
and Iran so far has not shown any signs of weakness, a large-scale naval exercises, blockade the Strait of Hormuz warning, and “the return of toys UAV,” the performance of a mockery of the United States.
both sides appear to have stepped on the accelerator
All this shows that, on the road in the conflict, at least for now, the United States and Iran do not have any brakes signs, on the contrary, both sides seem to have the throttle.
If this trend continues, “Crash” seems to be unavoidable, the U.S. conflict with Iran will be further upgraded, and even does not rule out war. Concern is that the United States and Iran do not look like two cars the same level, if Iran is a car, then the U.S. is like a truck; if the last two cars collided, a greater loss The car will be – Iran.
However, in this “chicken game” to decide the outcome of the game is not just the United States and Iran, as well as others.
to stop Iran’s nuclear program, the United States and its Western allies in the past several rounds of sanctions against Iran, to Iran to make a lot of trouble. But, now brewing sanctions on Iranian oil industry was a real threat to Iran’s economy, “Gate of Life.”
The sanctions also means that, in forcing Iran to abandon its nuclear program, many programs, “without firing a shot” is still the best choice. It is also why the U.S. has threatened sanctions against all this time to continue to import oil from Iran to foreign companies, trying to force foreign governments in the United States and Iran to choose sides.
many governments do not cooperate with the U.S.
for the United States, this is not the first time, but this time, still unknown whether the work .
European Union has announced the implementation of Iran’s oil “embargo”, and the United States, which naturally is a good news. However, there are quite dependent on Iranian oil, and unwilling to cooperate with the U.S. State.
as a major importer of Iranian oil, one of the Indian government has made it clear that it would continue to buy crude oil; no intention of being a U.S. ally Turkey with the United States, South Korea in the tangle waiting to see. U.S. sanctions threat actually put itself another possible conflict – Iran’s oil-importing countries with conflict.
oil sanctions against Iran if failed, the possibility of U.S. military action against Iran will further increase. However, the use of force, the United States also faces constraints and constraints. Russian officials have said publicly that not only do not support new sanctions against Iran and does not accept any military strike against Iran.
China needs to deal with the worst situation
course, so far, Russian support for Iran’s mainly verbal, now do not know whether Russia will taken to provide Iran with advanced weapons, and other substantive measures to dispel the idea of ??U.S. military action against Iran.
for China, only from the perspective of oil supply, with the U.S. sanctions against Iran will undoubtedly increase its own oil supply no small trouble. Given that the U.S. conflict with Iran trend, we also need to make the worst U.S. military action against Iran to prepare in advance the layout, ensure domestic energy supply.
At the same time, in Iran, and not be limited to the issue from the perspective of oil, but also take into account the geopolitical and other factors. After all, even if the U.S. military action against Iran, the war there will always be the end of the day, many countries including China will need to import oil from Iran. (Party Army)
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