Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

12 27, the Iranian navy’s a mini-submarine exercises in Amman Bay side of the Iranian flag raising.

2011 年 11 August, the IAEA headquarters in Vienna, published the latest report on Iran’s nuclear issue, Iran’s nuclear program may have military applications, “expressed serious concern.” Report that, at least until the end of 2003, Iran had “organized and systematic” in the “nuclear explosive devices and related” activities.

IAEA report on Iran, while not currently trying to build nuclear weapons, give a clear conclusion, but Iran’s nuclear program has military applications, has made the most explicit statement so far. Some media came after the IAEA’s latest report has 12 appendices, with documents and photographs that Iran “is secretly developing nuclear weapons,” and produced computer models of nuclear warheads.

report came out on the nuclear front and rear legs, the question of military action against Iran by Israel and Western countries, the media storm.

nuclear crisis in Iraq is heating up again the sensitive period, Iran would lead to widespread international attention.

2011 年 12 24, Christmas Eve in Western countries does not seem at peace. On this day, the Iranian Navy began east of the southern Strait of Hormuz at the vast sea for 10 days, code-named “guard 90″ large-scale military exercises. Nuclear crisis in Iraq is heating up again the sensitive period, Iran would lead to widespread international attention.

the Gulf military exercises will be more than 2,000 kilometers across the sea, covering the eastern Strait of Hormuz to the large areas of the Gulf of Aden. Held in such vast waters of exercises, the Iranian navy for the first time, Iran so far this is the largest exercise ever planned. Iranian naval exercises will be tested in a variety of types of missiles, torpedoes and other domestic new weapons and equipment, made its first two large destroyer “Jia Malan” was, made submarine, “Tariq” and “Qadir” number and variety of non- HMI also participated in the exercises.

with the outside world that Iran’s current exercise, do not rule out if the experience is intended to warn the West and the Western oil embargo against Iran block the Strait of Hormuz would be possible.

Strait of Hormuz is located between the southern Arabian Peninsula and Iran, the Gulf into the Indian Ocean must pass through, known as the “Gulf of the throat,” said. Nearly 40 percent of the world, the number of significant oil and natural gas transported here from all over the world, the Gulf oil exports to Western Europe, the United States, Japan’s vital sea lanes, oil and gas supply to the global strategic influence.

U.S. think tank recently published a report that the Strait of Hormuz, “the U.S. military and economic interests of incalculable importance.” It is estimated that, if Iran blocks the Strait of Hormuz 30 days, the international crude oil prices soaring, the United States will suffer a great loss for this; for sovereign debt crises are suffering from the European countries, will be worse. Therefore, to outside observers often compared to the Strait of Hormuz Western countries ‘weakness’, blockade of this water, they hold the Western Gate. Iran’s Strait of Hormuz at the critical point of an important strategic position, the narrow waterway is likely to be dealing with Iran in the hands of Western countries, a “trump card.”

a large number of analysts believe that Iran at this time such a large-scale military exercises, apparently with the West to Iraq on the grounds of the Iranian nuclear issue increasingly intensified economic sanctions, in particular the threat of the oil embargo .

recent months, due to the drastic changes in the Arab world was being forgotten by the international community over Iran’s nuclear issue, they pulled into the people’s attention.

the face of the United States to the deterrence, Iran warned that if the United States or Israel against its implementation, it will put the U.S. in the Middle East’s 32 military bases as targets, and close the strategic significance of the Hall Seoul wood Zihai Gap. Iranian Navy Commander saya that, at Iraq’s navy blocked the Straits easy.

the latest game in the U.S. and Iraq, “that war” has not yet started, but “Running” has already started. With the West fears Iran’s nuclear program on heavy, spy drones into Iranian territory increased. According to the Iranian official said that in the shoot down U.S. RQ-170 “sentinel” stealth UAV before the Iraqi army has intercepted four Israeli drones and two U.S. unmanned aerial vehicles. Iran uncovered Western spy case reports, Iran is also frequently seen in newspapers.

speculation that the real use of force is not easy. After some vigorous speculation in the United States and other Western countries, does not seem to act as fully as stir-fried. In trying to push through a new Security Council sanctions resolution efforts fail, the United States again unilateral efforts to increase sanctions against Iraq, Britain in November 21, 2011 announced financial sanctions against Iraq. European Union in its December 1 meeting of foreign ministers, decided to further expand sanctions against Iran.

from early December onwards, the UK and the EU began to promote the implementation of the oil embargo against Iran. Sources said that the EU is to persuade Italy, Spain and Greece, three major oil-importing countries to give up Iran’s crude oil imports from Iran, EU to form a unified position on the Iranian oil embargo. The outside world that attempt to crush the oil embargo, Iran, the exercise may contribute to a cause. Since December 2006 the implementation of three UN Security Council sanctions resolution, failed to Iran’s economy beating, the basic reason is that sanctions are not involved in Iran’s oil fields. The oil embargo if we should, it will constitute a major blow to Iran. Iran is currently the world’s third largest oil exporter. In recent years, Iran’s oil export revenues accounted for 80% of total foreign exchange earnings, accounting for 60% of government budget revenues. No doubt the stability of oil exports to Iran as well as social stability and economic development is essential.

Some analysts believe that the European advocate of the Iraq oil embargo probably due to the impact of the global oil market, huge and difficult to implement due to various reasons the United States to possible military action against Iraq is not for a moment, Hall Wood Zihai Gap will not be shut down temporarily. However, the nuclear crisis in Iraq continues to heat up, the long-term U.S. military confrontation with Iran to the case of the Gulf regional security and stability of the international community should be vigilant. (Xinhua News Agency Research Center Tangji world problems praise)

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