Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

Syria, Navy and Air Force held on 20 December combat military exercise to test the classification ability of the military response to any aggression. It is reported that this exercise was held in Syria in the second month of military exercises. Syrian Foreign Ministry spokesman said the exercise is not a party to convey a message, but also acknowledged the current situation in Syria complex.

CCTV “global vision” program December 21, 2011 broadcast, “show both offensive and defensive military and other mediators Syria? “Following for the show:

Moderator labor Chunyan:

Next we want to come to attention to Syria. Syria has an article today on a military two messages, the text is Syria’s upcoming new draft constitution, which is 38 years since the first time the Syrian constitution. Force of the Syrian air force and navy recently carried out a lot of combat exercises. How to interpret? Today, the studio hired the Chinese Institute of Contemporary International Relations, Vice President Mr. Li Shaoxian, and our special commentator Mr. Song Xiaojun.

first two, and the audience we first look at a video with friends, learn about the latest situation.

(Play video)

Opinion: Syria constitutional amendment intended to ease the resentment out of the woods

Li Shaoxian:

I think it is the case, constitutional Ye Hao, accept the Arab League Mission Ye Hao, in fact, is a step in trying to get out of this predicament now is that now the government is in fact Bashar consistent, it is consistent with what? They have confidence and feel that their situation through domestic pressure, through some internal reforms, by accepting the mediation of the Arab, it is hoped that the peace out of the current predicament.

constitutional amendment is a very important element is the separation of powers, decentralization, also said in the past it must have to change this system, because the great grievances now, and now the opposition has been made publicly Bashar step down this way, so he must make a considerable change, so by the constitutional significance of the revival of the past dominance of the Socialist Party, the right to gradually let go, he has promised in February to hold national elections in March, national elections requires political parties, I guess this will develop in the constitution, release political parties, the establishment of political parties, all candidates.

are reviewing: U.S. hard-line classification exercise parties “gearing up”?

labor Chunyan:

for Bashar al-Assad, Syrian officials, including now made this gesture, we see the attitude of the United States, or the response is still very tough, for instance, I see the U.S. State Department spokesman Newland she has a position, on the one hand or a request for Bashar al-Assad to step down; the other hand the hope that the Arab League’s Mission to the early in place. This is how to interpret it? Syria is now all the gestures are just stalling tactics, only to drag a period of time?

Song Xiaojun:

United States as the Obama administration, and now China is very passive, so that the problem for Syria’s political stance on many issues is a vote to domestic fishing attitude, he does not no tough votes, it is very clear.

labor Chunyan:

good, we enter a period of advertising, wait continues.

Then we have for some time, Mr. Sung and then come back to our analysis, you see the U.S. stance, it is now the one hand, or to continue to put pressure on Syria; the other hand it is also said to be dependent on the role of the Arab League’s Mission. Do you think the Arab League Mission to play a role in what?

Song Xiaojun:

I think now with Syria or the Arab League Mission of the time there is a communication and coordination in Iran, it should be balanced in the end how much the power of Turkey, Britain and France how much power, because the Arab League’s main mission is its monarchy countries, which fear that the Arab Spring swept to their country, they will have to make some gestures to the final but also for the country, the United States is for the general election.

labor Chunyan:

OK, that today’s “global vision”, thank you for watching, and thanks to our two experts, thank you.

Explanation:

Currently, Syria, the situation remains volatile, internal conflict continues. The past two days, the province and other places in Freud Lieb, government forces and rebel conflict has killed at least 150 people were killed and only 20 that day, Freud Freud Lieb Lieb provinces have provincial At least 47 people were killed. The same day in 20, the Syrian Air Force and Navy live-fire exercises conducted to test the Air Force’s combat capability and the ability to respond quickly act of aggression.

Although the Syrian Foreign Ministry spokesman said the exercise is not a party to convey a message, but some analysts point out that this series of exercises designed to demonstrate Syria’s armed deterrence, the exercise is to the West to the warning, caution them not military intervention against Syria, or may lead to regional war.

the Syrian side of the tough exercises, one side will also make preparations to meet the Arab League Mission of the advance team to prepare. 19 this month, Syrian Deputy Foreign Minister the Arab League headquarters in Cairo Shoemaker Dade, signed to allow the Arab League mission to Syria to send the agreement signed the day of Mission Agreement for a period of one month, the total number of about 100 people, and A Union 20, said to be 22 to send an advance team, the advance team from the Arab League Assistant Secretary-General, led by Sami Air Asia Bazar, comprises experts in security and legal affairs.

Although Syria has accepted a settlement agreement to allow the Mission immigration, the United States is still insisting Syrian president step down. U.S. State Department spokesman, said Newland December 20, the United States insist that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad to step down position has not changed, the United States worried that Syria accept the Arab League agreement was playing “delaying tactics.” Concerns about whether the U.S. will become a reality? Can the Arab League delegation observed by the Syrian Arab League framework to solve the crisis? Can Syria avoid international problems? Now all doubt.

labor Chunyan:

today’s topic, or start with the arms of this news talking about it, is Syria’s air force and navy had some recent combat exercises, let a children, side view picture, while the military experts, Mr. Song Xiaojun, please give us to interpret what, what is the nature of an exercise.

are reviewing: classification of air and sea military exercises demonstrate real deterrent

Song Xiaojun Commentator:

I think it is mainly sea ??and air, and in particular its Mediterranean coast, it is a very narrow plains, its crops and its processing zone in this area, even said that Assad’s Alawi ethnic group is also home here, which is Syria’s most affluent area. But it is now about four or five hundred kilometers between Damascus, in the interval of a mountain, walk through the whole process, that is, the army or the Golan Heights to Damascus side of the military wear have been very difficult, but that Syria must first demonstrate its long-range strike ability, the ability to login to the coast, which is outside interference that you do not, in fact, interfere with the ability to sign or not to interfere, but it means that you do outside interference.

another I think there is a very important, because Syria’s internal situation, the political process began to move toward peace talks, but also within the legend of today has millions of soldiers to defect, that is, the West can not support a pro-Western regime under the premise, it is possible to become warlords of Syria. We know that Syria is about 300,000 troops inside the Sunni account for a large number of classification, including freedom of the military have a precedent to go to Turkey. Will the financial pressure when it is relatively large when the troops do their own for the prison, into different parts to form a warlord-based, so the situation is the warlord of the West is the most beneficial. Different countries to different warlords, guns, cannon, so put it to separate, this is intended to Syria to respond through this exercise, you even think about interfering in one’s external and internal forces I have very strong organizational skills, I think it is mean.

labor Chunyan:

but also to strengthen cohesion.

Song Xiaojun:

right.

labor Chunyan:

Lee how to analyze it?

Li Shaoxian China Contemporary International Relations Research Institute:

I think it is the case, one is the ability to demonstrate it, one is showing its confidence. I think from the capacity perspective, we see more clearly, although it’s equipped Ye Hao, Ye Hao, or the ability to fight, I am afraid and the West is immeasurably, but at least, and Libya, Libya and Syria can not be more than is absolutely of. So it outside to show their ability, the ability to fight, to fight the invasion ability. In addition to the home or to keep the people, the military gather together, this is now very important for the authorities, as long as the high-level cohesion, general case, the West more cautious, not intervention, it is able to stabilize.

labor Chunyan:

So while the light muscle, on the one hand is to increase internal cohesion.

Li Shaoxian:

cohesion.

labor Chunyan:

have two effects. In addition, we also see, in fact, after tensions in Syria, Syria is frequently conducted military exercises, including also tested a while back, “Scud B” missiles from Syria now carried out several exercises of the situation, Mr. Song, you first to give us a simple analysis, the Syrian military in the end is what kind of level? This is 300,000 units, its strength?

Song Xiaojun:

I think that the Syrian troops, Syria’s population is very limited, but it raised 300,000 troops, and the more complete such a large weapon system, its legitimacy is that it has the Golan Heights, their common enemy, is not it is the common enemy of the Arab world, Israel’s occupation of its territory. Everyone to pay attention to it, in fact, behind the army of Syria, according to the past that it is backed up behind the whole Arab world, including now to impose sanctions on these countries, it is. In fact, its army’s combat effectiveness is not yet separated, that is, the power of the Arab world which it should be said is still relatively strong, especially in marine, tanks, weapons and supporting a more complete system, although the former Soviet Union, the equipment However, the quality of the training staff to use to achieve more efficient, because it is preparing for a long time in a situation. Coupled with the support of the Arab world, its political legitimacy is, because after all, Israel accounted for its Golan Heights.

labor Chunyan:

next step is to ask the two to read two text messages. The first news is, we know that the Arab League’s mission, the advance team would go to Syria tomorrow, and how to interpret this message it?

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