U.S. media said the recent U.S. invasion of Iraq-style invasion is not
article, the Iraq war on U.S. foreign policy had a profound effect, it allows the U.S. to pay a huge “direct” and “indirect” costs, in the near future the U.S. will not launch the invasion of Iraq-style, but will take a limited focus , targeted interventions
[United States, "Christian Science Monitor" website article] December 10 issue: how to change the U.S. war in Iraq
it has been called “far in the sky “or remote-style military intervention, through the use of unmanned aircraft and ship-launched missiles to clear the target person in a foreign country, without ground troops.
With the end of the 8 years of war and occupation to leave Iraq, the United States are increasingly using remote control and limited intervention of special forces tactics, this situation reflects the war in Iraq on U.S. foreign policies have far-reaching impact.
will not launch a similar recent invasion
Harvard University’s Belfer Center for Science and International Studies professor Stephen – Walter said: “After the war in Iraq , there will be relaxed after a period of excitement, we will not mention even with the war in Iraq did not launch a military operation similar to that we can no longer afford any lengthy occupation, or trying to change a country’s domestic policies of the . “
In other words, the U.S. will not launch such a war such as Iraq, and will be the focus of limited, targeted interventions, such as Pakistan and Yemen in the interventions. Walter said: “We will concentrate our efforts to kill bad guys, rather than trying to reshape the whole society.”
With the U.S. military withdrawal from Iraq, a thought a few months will be the end of the war’s high cost for those who will develop in the next few years of U.S. foreign and national security policies. Panetta said Secretary of Defense, the U.S. soldiers and their families paid a huge price war, nearly 4,500 soldiers killed in Iraq.
but he may have underestimated the point that the war brought to the United States the cost of more than $ 800 billion, but coincides with the time of rising deficits. Iraq and Afghanistan wars combined price tag of more than $ 1.2 trillion.
most foreign policy experts said, the war and bring the high cost of capital is undoubtedly the U.S. war in Iraq is not in the near future intrusion cause of action. But there are other reasons, some people believe that Iraq is in many respects a doomed adventure worth the investment.
Washington, Brookings Institution Saban Center for Middle East Policy Kenneth Pollack, director, said: “The United States will not forget for some time the reconstruction of Iraq was a failure, we get simple lesson is invading a country, but it is very difficult to rebuild, need to make huge long-term efforts. “
the high financial cost of the Iraq war will be the next generation in the Washington, This is evident in defense spending: it will limit the choice of the U.S. military modernization.
Research Office, Washington Institute of Foreign Affairs James Lindsay said: “The Iraq war has brought a huge financial burden for us into this dangerous phenomena of today’s financial environment has played a significant role, and these both will influence the future: we need a new aircraft, new ships, new weapons systems, all of which need to spend a lot of money. “
” indirect “costs may be more significant Lindsay said that although the Iraq’s “indirect” costs may be “direct” costs of the same material, but the war brought to the U.S. foreign policy, “indirect” costs may be more significant. It is particularly worth mentioning is that Iraq has attracted the attention of the United States, the United States should be more concerned about the rise of China as a world power. .
he said: “I do not want to say that I think every American foreign policy are derived from the Iraq war a mistake, because is not the case, but the war certainly played a role, so that we develop a bad habit, only concerned about one thing, but not the world is undergoing a major shift for a response – this is the rise of China. “
war in Iraq and Afghanistan are making too much attention to a U.S. the future prosperity of the United States does not have a significant impact on the region.
Lindsey said that Iraq spent 10 years in the United States that the best time, and now the United States had to be vital for America’s future well-being of the area – East Asia – to rise to catch up.
perhaps, the indirect costs will be another war, it tarnished the U.S. military as an efficient, almost no limitations of the image of U.S. foreign policy tool.
Walt of Harvard University, said: “In the past people the impression that the U.S. is almost inconceivable that it could get any task.” From the first Gulf War to Afghanistan and Kosovo intervention to the initial raid. “But the one to take over the (Iraq) after the difficult political stage, all screeching halt and now we choose to use military force when and where to be cautious.”
Walter pointed out that the Bush Doctrine may not have entered the tomb, a U.S. president will not consider any pre-emptive action selection completely abandoned, but may in a very long period of time, the U.S. president would not use force as a.
former U.S. State Department Iraq analyst Henry Pakistan, said the pre-emptive war doctrine as a history of ideas can be thrown into a pile of paper. NATO intervention in Libya, the United States in the practice of the operation clearly shows Meizai Yi postwar “new silence.”
real test is whether Iran
Some experts believe that the war in Iraq in the end what the U.S. foreign policy influence, the real test lies in Iran, perhaps the time immediately is imminent. International Atomic Energy Agency from the Obama administration’s cautious response to the new report can be seen that the impact of the Iraq war. In early November release date of the report provides the most detailed evidence that Iran seeks to obtain create and launch a military nuclear capability.
However, the former CIA and National Security Council analyst Pollack said the Persian Gulf region, in addition to Iran, he was most worried about the U.S. experience in Iraq led to the Americans do not want to intervene in world affairs. This coupled with budget constraints, may cause Americans do not want to play a role in these areas.
Egypt is currently Pollack called “U.S. vital interests” of a case, although he said there are many other examples. He said: “We can reduce the twelve billions of dollars in aid for Aye, this is only a fraction of our huge deficit, but that will be formed if more civilian government, said:” Americans really abandon us away the without them we can do the same. ‘how we do it? “
Pollack said:” I fear that after the withdrawal of Americans tired of Iraq and our attention to domestic issues are too obsessed with the end In foreign policy will be foolish, penny wise. “(author Howard Laffer Rankine)