Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

2003 年 9 14, the day U.S. Marines arrived in the Philippines, will participate in the Philippine-US joint military exercise (information ). Source CFP

newspaper intern reporter Zhang Tao Tao

6 18, the South China Sea issue in Vietnam and the United States in a joint statement. On this day, the fourth round of US-Vietnam political, security and defense dialogue in Washington.

in Vietnam in the recent warming of the sea differences, the U.S. appears to be trying not to take any official party position. With the United States, “Washington Post” reporter’s words, “U.S. officials carefully to avoid being dragged into this conflict.” However, many commentators have acknowledged that the U.S. influence on the development of this important event.

the recently concluded US-Vietnam dialogue and statements show that. Voice of America reported that the current tension on the South China Sea, the U.S. argues that the situation is not conducive to regional security and stability, and led to regional maritime security and economic development concerns.

view from the foreign media reports, the South China Sea in Vietnam on the issue of differences in the United States on how to ensure that views of U.S. interests are not uniform. As for the situation to which the United States does not judge different people of the same.

the neutral or the U.S. intervention?

one view, the South China Sea region of the equilibrium is broken, and U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton are inseparable. U.S. Carnegie Endowment for International Peace Foundation Senior Fellow Pei says that Hillary last July some remarks in Hanoi, Vietnam was a watershed.

At that time, intensive meetings with representatives of ASEAN after the Clinton told the press in Hanoi, Vietnam, to achieve freedom of navigation, free use of shared waters in Asia and the South China Sea to international law “consistent with their national interests.” , and that a claim against any party seeking to use or threaten to use force.

in the recently published in Japan, “Foreign scholars” magazine website article, Pei said, in Clinton said Powell’s remarks, the Chinese have been trying to “charm offensive”, and make it in this regions have received an absolute advantage. And Hillary’s “shocking remarks,” was published, the issue of China in the South China Sea dispute appears to be isolated.

this problem in the Vietnamese sea differences occurred, the United States remains concerned about the attitude shown. However, Washington did not seem ready to fully involved. Recently, the South China Sea to discuss the current controversy in Washington held a representative of each country to participate in the “crowded” discussion. Participate in the discussion of the two senior officials of the U.S. Department of Defense released only a few brief statements, and to avoid any of the parties stand on the position of encouraging the parties to calm down.

“to solve the South China Sea dispute is not a U.S. thing.” One official says.

in the fourth round of US-Vietnam political, security and defense dialogue after the formation of a joint statement, both sides said the South China Sea to maintain the security, stability and freedom of navigation in line with the international community’s interests, all the South China Sea territorial dispute would be settled through diplomatic channels and peaceful settlement of a cooperative manner, must follow the “United Nations Convention on Law of the Sea” consultations to resolve.

the other hand, including Jim Webb and John McCain is currently including some U.S. senators that the United States to China should be condemned.

“I think our government’s position in this matter is too weak.” “Washington Post” reported that in the United States Foreign Relations Committee meeting, Weber said, “We have always said The U.S. government does not take sides on the issue of sovereignty, but do not choose the position is a position. “

Webb from Virginia, who presides over the supervision of the United States Senate has always been the policy of the Committee on Southeast Asia. He said the U.S. should “condemn China’s use of force to promote the multilateral negotiations to resolve the South China Sea area caused by territorial disputes tensions.”

“This does not mean a military confrontation, but we must send a clear signal.” Webber said.

but Zhefan proposal is not currently being accepted. U.S. State Department spokesman Mark statement said the United States called for diplomatic cooperation to resolve the territorial dispute, and force can only further strain the situation.

how to determine the prospects of the situation?

the South China Sea dispute on the prospect of U.S. think tanks and media have also analyzed.

6 14, the United States and six countries in ASEAN and the waters near the Strait of Malacca, began a 11-day joint military exercise. 17 Associated Press report said the exercise took place in South China Sea, tensions on the occasion, at the same time, China’s increasingly bold behavior in territorial waters, are increasingly causing concern.

but “New York Times” said that China and Vietnam military conflict is unlikely. The newspaper also determine the tension will bring diplomatic problems, is likely to lead the U.S. to participate. And this case had common last year, the United States had foot in the South China Sea dispute.

However, the “Time” magazine 13 comments, “South China Sea, tensions – Vietnam war where to go,” expressed concern about the future. The comment that the situation seems to have become uncontrollable.

U.S. media and academic circles and even in the event of conflict between the results predicted. American maritime network of experts published an article 17, if the Vietnam war caused by conflicts around the South China Sea, Vietnam lost. The reason is that although war is still possible to follow the traditional way of tactics, but the construction of the Chinese Navy in recent years has far exceeded the newspaper.

“The Chinese Navy has 63 submarines, including six nuclear submarines; and 26 destroyers, 56 frigates, missile boats 172, 427 hunting submarines, 41 mine-laying ship, and a large The troop transports and landing craft, while Vietnam is only about 120 ships. “the site said.

“Time” magazine also believes that if conflict broke out, “the strength of the Vietnamese arrived, but Beijing.” However, the journal that the complex can not ignore the history of Vietnam: 1979 Vietnam war, Vietnam suffered heavy casualties, which it attaches great importance to the modernization of the armed forces.

“Of course,” commented the last journal, “Who does not want to see history repeat itself.”

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