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Indian scholars that the U.S. will not easily give Central Asia China (Mainland)

Date:2011-09-06Author:adminCategory:International militaryComment:0

资料图:美军在阿富汗的巴格拉姆空军基地 Data for: the U.S. military in Afghanistan, Bagram Air Base

People Liao political and military correspondent in India

“9.11″ dawn of the tenth anniversary, Ben Wang Reporters interview in New Delhi in India think tank Institute of Peace and Conflict visiting professor of international security experts Charlie and asked him to review the road to U.S. 10 anti-terrorism gains and losses, analysis of future trends of terrorism, and to explore the U.S. counter-terrorism strategies on the impact of US-India relations.

Reporter: If we “9.11″ as a historical turning point, then the U.S. government a decade long war against terrorism has been trapped in the quagmire. A time when “9.11″ tenth anniversary, you in-depth analysis about the United States in this unfinished war gains and losses?

Charles (India Peace and Conflict Studies Visiting Professor): “September 11 incident” occurred after the then U.S. President George W. Bush had to take immediate action. Was roughly based on information available to President Bush identified Osama bin Laden led the “base” organization committed “9.11″ terrorist attacks in the offense, as the “base” was organized by the Afghan the support of the Taliban regime, in addition to combat the “base” organization, the United States also decided to use force in Afghanistan.

Since then, the success of U.S. counter-terrorism forces ousted the Taliban regime, but also the “base” organization landed on the defensive. However, President Bush committed the biggest mistake is not completed in the premise of this work, they quickly began to open up a new battlefield in Iraq.

All in all, the United States in Afghanistan and Iraq on the battlefield performance of the two should have a lot of things need to sum up, it does exist among the gains and losses. I think the U.S. government a decade the biggest gain is the world’s eyes are on a non-state entities in such issues, making the countries in the world of the international security environment showed abnormal attention. Of course, its biggest failure is greatly consumed in this unfinished war, the U.S. strength, thus triggering the subsequent global financial crisis.

Reporters: Osama bin Laden is killed, it can be that the war on terror to an end, or the situation worse? The future development of the situation of terrorism in the end what will happen? What do you think the Obama administration for the new era of counter-terrorism strategy adjustment?

Charlie: No, not Osama bin Laden’s death means the end of the war on terror. That would be an exaggerated idea, because the “base” organization and its allies and affiliates currently spread over 60 countries worldwide. However, we also have reason to believe that the execution of the “base” organization with a symbolic leader Osama bin Laden will greatly frustrate its supporters. I have a kind of bin Laden because of their successors do not have a unique charisma.

the current speculation in the outside world, “base” organization still has the capacity to implement another similar “9.11″ terrorist attacks, of course, many people predicted that this scene may soon be repeated. Thus the short term, Obama must concentrate to prevent tragedy from happening again. However, in the long run, I think the U.S. government will try to avoid directly in a struggle with terrorist organizations overseas, replaced by a strong counter-terrorism operations in support of its allies.

Reporters: Osama bin Laden’s death would affect U.S. policy in Afghanistan and Pakistan? We see that the U.S. seems to have bogged down in the quagmire of the war on terror, then in the end the war but also how long?

Charlie: from domestic political pressure and economic reasons to consider, Obama certainly hope that as soon as possible to withdraw troops from the battlefield in Afghanistan, and stop sending troops. Earlier, the U.S. needs to get Pakistan’s support to the original transfer of troops stationed in Karachi to Kabul. Now, once the United States withdraw its troops from Afghanistan, then logically, it obtained from Pakistan’s support will likely fail. Therefore, the United States can not completely from Afghanistan and Pakistan to withdraw troops.

the United States Air Force base in the region to retain and fortifications, to ensure that the situation controllable. Meanwhile, the U.S. has in Central Asia geopolitical interests, which also determines the United States will not easily hand over to China in this important region. In addition, China should continue to support the economic development of Pakistan and Afghanistan. In fact, the United States believes that the ideal goal is to reduce the areas in Afghanistan and Pakistan military presence, increase its strategic presence in the region, but it also hopes that China will continue to assume the stability of the financial responsibility of these two countries.

Reporter: Could you look back over the past decade in how U.S. anti-terrorism policies affect the U.S. relationship with India? The U.S. anti-terrorism strategy, the South Asian region in the end how important?

Charlie: U.S. counter-terrorism strategy is the core of Afghanistan and Pakistan, which is only from the “9.11″ on the eve of the tenth anniversary of a successful kill Osama bin Laden, the action will suffice. “9.11″ occurred shortly after India began to United States cooperation. But when the United States did not accept India’s proposal, because it is not that bordering India and Afghanistan. Meanwhile, India also did not like Pakistan to provide logistical support to the United States.

In fact, the military situation in Afghanistan and India in order to play a greater influence, still need to be more active policy. Now it seems that the Indian government, mainly through development assistance and military support to help rebuild Afghanistan, but also help A training for civil servants, medical personnel, police forces and so on. Although India did not send any ground troops to Afghanistan, but the U.S. government that India can play a stabilizing role in Afghanistan.

correspondent: the media that the U.S. government is encouraging even “forced” India will play a greater role in international affairs, but India seems to have little reaction. Do you agree with this view? In the fight against terrorism, whether India will be more proactive in the future?

Charlie: I do not think the United States on the issue of any “forced” India’s problem, at least in the anti-terrorism matters. India’s most concerned about is their “enemies” of Pakistan will once again letting a terrorist attack on India, the United States has also been advised to use their influence to curb the Palestinians. As the United States needs to rely on Pakistan to provide logistical support, and therefore can not really effective in influencing the U.S. Pakistan. Once the United States withdraw its troops from Afghanistan, I guess China will rely on Pakistan to achieve its regional interests, until then, India may be forced to take a more active policy in response to an unfavorable situation. (New Delhi, September 6 People Power)

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