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U.S. media said the number of PLA submarines cruising in the high growth (Figure)

Date:2011-09-03Author:adminCategory:China militaryComment:0

解放军093级核攻击潜艇海面巡航 PLA 093 nuclear attack submarines, sea cruise

LONDON June 30 news: According to the U.S. TheDay.com site contains 28 well-known national security risk analyst and professional writer Qiaoba Fu’s article said that although some of the authorities of The current strength of the two countries were compared, that China never intends to provoke a U.S. war, because if the Chinese do so, China will soon suffered a crushing defeat in the war. However, the Buff that diminish or distort the data (the current) and conclusions (always) the time limit, may produce an attractive, but there may be risk analysis. The article also highlighted the number of Chinese submarines with cruise compared to the early 21st century exponential growth, need to attract attention.

Buff said that in 2009 military report does not necessarily able to accurately predict the two countries in 2025-2040 the relative merits of liquidity in China, the United States especially tight budget – - Military Power Report, the two countries may stimulate the defense budget in the opposite direction. In the next few years, China’s equipment catalog is likely to be alarming expansion of the United States will remain stable or even decline.

He pointed out that those who believe that Beijing always had non-aggressive intentions of the people should pay attention to the Pentagon submitted to Congress in 2009 China Military Power Report. As this report points out, based on “misunderstanding or miscalculation,” the danger of the outbreak of accidental war is real, substantial, and the possibility of higher and higher.

recent indications that China will not have until 2016 to run an aircraft carrier, which implies that the United States maintains 11 aircraft carriers remain a number of advantages. However, Buff said, this view ignored the Chinese carrier fleet since 2017 may be rapidly expanding possibilities.

Makhmalbaf said, in the analysis of China’s submarine force, when some analysts have stressed that in 2009 the number of Chinese submarines, cruise only 12 times, but it ignores the 21st century, the Chinese submarine activities exponential growth. Moreover, the correlation analysis also ignored the Chinese purchase or build more diesel-electric submarines and nuclear submarine program. Therefore, the Buff that keep abreast of trends in the Chinese submarine is not to determine the required 21 U.S. Navy submarines world number 30′s the best way, from now on, the U.S. Navy on the need for annual funding and construction of two “Virginia” class fast attack craft and make adequate preparations.

Buff that in order to carry out “long-term war on terror”, and when necessary to prevent or win with China, Russia or other countries assume that any future “war” and fully prepared for the United States must trade-off between the two. U.S. Navy’s new maritime strategy made clear that due to the extremely destructive war could have and should therefore be prepared to deal with from now on to prepare. However, the Buff is also pointed out that the present and future trade-off theory has entered the formative stages, and to avoid errors in the conception and rhetoric error case, make the right choice.

Finally, Buff said the United States defense budget in 2010 will be finalized later this year, two key issues in this budget will set a long-lasting tone: one of the United States will soon be how much money in the defense area; second question is a more fundamental problem, namely how the United States to develop a rational or rational national security budget next year. This work requires a global strategy to support access to top-down rather than bottom-up statistics, but it also requires emphasis on rigor-related information. (Spring)

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