Luo Yuan: The two sides should not be required to build military trust unilateral military adjustment
data for : Major General Luo Yuan
China Society of Military Science, Major General, Deputy Secretary-General Luo Yuan
General Secretary Hu Jintao to mark the “Message to Compatriots in Taiwan” on the 30th anniversary, with great political wisdom and political courage, not yet proposed a unified national political relations in the case of the proposal, he said: “To help stabilize the situation in the Taiwan Strait, to reduce military security concerns, the two sides can conduct timely contacts and exchanges on military issues, security of the establishment of military mutual trust mechanism. “
General Secretary Hu’s remarks published six months, Taiwan has a number of retired generals as a private citizen to visit the mainland, both sides of the retired generals for the first time on the golf course assessed by, the descendants of the students were also Whampoa ancestors began their classmates then continued friendship, which are then well in advance of paving the way military exchanges.
but the military field, after all, is a very sensitive area, and authority of an official nature, the establishment of military mutual trust mechanism must be authorized only by private ways to promote the exchange of feelings, but it is difficult to effectively reach a military mutual trust mechanism . The present case, compared with the cross-strait economic exchanges, cross-strait military exchanges is lagging behind; received in various ways with the mainland, Taiwan, retired generals openness compared to the Taiwan side has lagged behind. It had been eagerly looking forward to giving the “two sides discussed the establishment of military mutual trust mechanism, security problems,” it is empty, no one came down. Study the reason, I believe that there are two mystery of thinking need to crack:
First, whether the establishment of military mutual trust must be Taiwan’s “ballot box poison”?
Taiwan at the end facing the county and city elections, Ma Ying-jeou faces three years after the issue of whether the re-election. Therefore, some people in Taiwan now explore the establishment of military security for fear of mutual trust mechanism will wear a red hat KMT, labeled as “betraying Taiwan”, “cast of” charges will lose points in the election. This concern is reasonable, after all, every move is subject to the island of Taiwan KMT’s other political forces, especially the “green camp” of the constraints.
but careful analysis, the island’s relatively stable political environment, from October 2008, the island’s “MAC” people on the island announced reunification and “independence” issues poll results can be seen, advocates “radical independence” of 6% to 14.8%; advocates “radical integration,” accounted for 1.5% to 2.1%; advocated “maintaining the status quo first, and then move toward independence” and advocate “radical independence” of the people, and 22.4% of 27.3%; advocated “maintaining the status quo first, and then move toward reunification” of people and ideas “radical integration,” the people and for the 6.2% to 12.2%; stands for “perpetuating the status quo” of the people accounted for 20% to 25%. From this, advocates “radical independence” is far greater than the “radical integration,” in favor of “maintaining the status quo first, and then move toward independence” is far greater than the “status quo first, and then move toward reunification”, and even greater than the “permanent maintain the status quo “. These people’s “Taiwan independence” short-lived fad will not fundamentally change, need to do a long, patient fight and transformation, they will not because the Taiwan authorities and the mainland “peace talks” and change their position. If the KMT hopes of victory in the meet, to accommodate these people who, that defeat in future elections is expected.
Therefore, the KMT fully understand that the “Taiwan independence” forces, while still quite a market, but also to see them at best 30% to 40%, 60% of the KMT still “promising space “, of which 10% are definitely two sides will support the establishment of military mutual trust mechanism, the other 50% who Xiaoyilihai, may also support this initiative. After all, the establishment of military mutual trust mechanism to secure a win-win move for both sides will benefit, why not? The key is to do the work. This is the test of the ability of the KMT, the power is what? Is to ask others to do, or guide others to do. What is the capacity? Is the ability to achieve their goals. If the KMT even this most basic ability is lost, it’s election victory in the future chances of being reduced.
Second, whether the establishment of military mutual trust must be pre-set limits?
Some people think that the establishment of military mutual trust, the mainland must first adjust military deployment. As everyone knows, not only do not contribute to military mutual trust, but poisoned the atmosphere of mutual trust of the military. I personally believe that the establishment of military mutual trust mechanism to have a few principles. First, the continent is to adjust military deployment, according to their own security needs, the decision independently, not pressure from the others. Yes, there is pressure of public opinion in Taiwan, the mainland but also the pressure of public opinion. Care should not be imposed. Second, whether to adjust military deployment, the subject of negotiations, rather than the premise. The two sides have not yet signed a peace agreement is still in a legal state of hostility, in this case how to adjust military deployment? Third, military adjustment should be equal, interaction. Adjust the mainland and Taiwan should be adjusted, if Taiwan is still the continent as the imaginary enemy, deploy troops, military exercises, procurement of military equipment, especially with the United States to maintain a substantial military alliance, the United States was the largest in mainland China Youyi potential opponent, in this case how to make a unilateral adjustment of the mainland military deployment? Therefore, both sides should show sincerity to seize the rare opportunity to actively explore the establishment of cross-strait military mutual trust mechanism for effective ways and means, at least, first to talk about it.
cross-strait military going through rough weather, with from Whampoa, the Northern Expedition, sub-darts in the “4.12″ massacre, together in the war against foreign aggression, fierce battle in the civil war, strife, and now to a new historical starting point. We should look at the big field across the Taiwan Strait issue, the great wisdom to deal with the Taiwan issue.
Taiwan is too small, difficult to show me a little of the Chinese soldiers Wen-Tao Wu quick response, let us jump out of the narrow geographical concept, but I have to influential Chinese big stage.
military perspective is too narrow, I can hardly contain the broad mind of Chinese soldiers, let us jump out of a purely military perspective, but also me “on the army attack plan” the essence of the art of war.
rolls on, difficult long-cherished wish of my uniform generations, let us wait out the negative attitude to the world a surprise, given the world an example.