Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

8 6, Japan mark 64 anniversary of the atomic bombing of Hiroshima was the anti-nuclear, anti-war, anti-American holding arm demonstrators march in the city of Hiroshima, Japan. Xinhua News Agency issued

Recently, former U.S. House Speaker Newt Gingrich in a speech in Washington that in the near future, China needs North Korea’s denuclearization and select one of Japan’s nuclear armament.

the United States as Japan’s ally, had been the Japanese requirements, it made a “nuclear umbrella” commitment, purpose is to discourage attempts to develop nuclear weapons in Japan. However, either in America or in Japan, hoping the sound development of nuclear weapons in Japan, never corpuscles. In North Korea “nuclear” has become uncertain in the case of Japan requires the development of nuclear weapons will certainly be more intense the desire, whether the United States will change now is based on a “nuclear umbrella” policy?

from the U.S. approach to nuclear issues, the practice of double standards always see, can not rule out the possibility of nuclear weapons in Japan with their acquiescence. But exactly how this possibility is no doubt the need for careful evaluation, of course, the views will never converge. There is a very important decision to scale: Japan to develop nuclear weapons, whether it is merely a threat to the DPRK and China, or pose a threat to the United States will sooner or later? If only the former, then very likely; if also the latter, this possibility will be greatly reduced.

Americans, then how much credibility? I think, justified. The United States is a supreme national interests of countries, both allied or enemy, are from the U.S. interests, but also challenges the United States will never allow any country in the world “leadership position”, which also includes his natural allies. The United States have historically eaten Japanese losses, “Pearl Harbor” is the U.S. always a pain, he will not forget this history. Today, despite the passage of time, the United States and Japan become allies from the enemy, but against Japan in case of loss of control to re-expand, and even the United States again went the opposite, I think this will be a long-term strategic considerations in the United States the necessary content.

this reason, the US-Japan alliance is not “monolithic”, the two sides on the issue in the future rather dilute, or even a “woolly-headed.” In this case, the U.S. nuclear-armed Japan is unlikely to acquiesce, support and even help Japan build nuclear weapons, it is fantasy. Of course, Japan’s technology point of view, he is fully capable of becoming a nuclear state, but no such domestic and international political climate in Japan in order crossed the “nuclear threshold” by no means easy. Among these, the constraints of the United States is critical, as long as the United States to Japan out of control, the developments will be difficult to predict.

From this, the former U.S. president’s remarks, intimidation and pressure on the Chinese elements, is clearly essential. United States is now the one hand, let out, to talk about North Korean nuclear threat is not the United States, on the other hand in spreading the risk of nuclear-armed Japan, suggesting a possible nuclear threat to China, its purpose is to China’s “stuck” . Therefore, the United States, understatement, it is inevitable that some self-deception. China’s principled stance on the DPRK nuclear issue, the DPRK nuclear issue will not now change the difficult situation, not because of some of the intimidation and pressure distortions. On the nuclear issue, the United States do not have to play a “Japan card.” ▲ (author Beijing scholar.)

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