Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

picture of the rocket trajectory red line, blue line is the airliner routes, white block is the first cut-off rocket into the sea at the bottom waters of the Sea of ??Japan.
picture of the rocket trajectory red line, blue line is the airliner routes.

4 5 March, after a North Korean rocket launch (the newspaper on April 7 edition of 06 ~ 07 have been reported), the success of the satellite orbit into the international community’s strong desire to understand the mystery. Japan and South Korea to the United States is “opportunity” from a different angle to crack North Korea’s military secrets.

Kim Jong Il watched in tears

British “Times” 7-day reported: “In North Korea announced two days after the successful launch of the satellite, The international community failed to launch on North Korea in the end agree on what the United States, a research organization released a first batch of photos at the launch of North Korea, dragging these photos clearly show the rocket smoke into the sky, but what happened next ? Nobody knows. “

7, the North Korean media have said the main” light star 2 “launch achieved” complete success. ” Korean Central Television broadcast a rocket launch rare scene, watch the launch of the Kim Jong Il moved to tears. “The Times” interpretation is: a successful satellite launch by North Korea to show national strength, but also sent out Kim Jong Il good health information.

reputation launch a “failed repeat”

The United States insists North Korea launched a “repeated failure.” U.S. North American Aerospace Defense Command officials said North Korea and the rocket flight route the same as in 1998 and 2006, are aimed at Hawaii, but including the launch, including “all ended in failure.” U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff Vice Admiral Cartwright said the North Korean rocket question should be in the second and third stage separation technology, which is a key technology.

Korea Aerospace Research Center, responsible for the development of South Korea’s chief scientist Huomu Luo satellite (sound): “North Korea launched a satellite can not be true, because they do not build satellites.” Korean ” Central Daily News “8 quoted a government source as saying North Korean missile over the Pacific Ocean 485 km up to place, due to insufficient thrust failed to put a satellite into orbit. 485 km with North Korea announced the “light star 2″ minimum orbital altitude (490 km) have not been achieved. In addition, the speed of the satellite into Earth orbit to be 7.9 km/sec. But North Korea’s rocket launch, the average speed of only 1.19 km/s, the speed is not enough to push the small of course, the satellite into orbit.

Some experts do not agree, “said the failure”

However, U.S. experts on Korea and Japan “failure to say” do not fully agree. South Korea, “Asian Daily” reported that North Korea this launch shows that North Korea’s long-range rockets surge capacity, because the second stage rocket launch site, 3192 km from the crash site, the equivalent of twice in 1998. Vick also believe that U.S. military experts, North Korea test-fired the fastest performance in the early summer of this year comparable to the U.S. “Hercules” a new ICBM missile, North Korea launched the very successful performance in rocket – launching ground preparation time from 2006 20 days to 12 days, fueling the past three days from the time reduced to 1 day. Korea Institute for Defense Analyses expert Jin Dayu said: “Whether from a military or political point of view, it can not be said to defeat the North Korean long-range strike capability demonstrated, but also to the missile range to cover the United States and with the United States ‘challenge’.”

North Korea took the opportunity to break the four secrets

course, the US-South Korea and Japan from North Korea fired gained valuable intelligence, in which North Korea break the most significant military and aerospace secrets.

Korean rocket “road map” to emerge. 7 AFP quoted U.S. global security research organization, said North Korea “Taepodong-2″ missiles at least three different models, parts and components produced by North Korea and Iran. The initial model, which is “Taepodong-2A” type first stage rocket from the Korean manufacturer, the second, three research and development by Iran; “Taepodong-2B” North Korea still type the first stage design and production, but the first two is North Korea, “Nodong” (also called “labor”) in the middle part of the missile, the third level is a modified Iranian rockets, nicknamed the “Iranians”; “Taepo-dong-2C/3″ type, the first , two of North Korea’s “Nodong” missile, the third-level R & D production by Iran.

Korean long-range land-based radar to track ships and marine performance not. North Korea is now the land can not be achieved radar tracking of an object is launched, its ability to track far more than Japan. The DPRK arranged a pre-launch the boat, marine satellite tracking and control, but due to a mechanical failure half-way back.

aircraft crashed near the launch site exposed to insufficient maintenance. South Korea’s National Intelligence Service told AFP in the launch process, the Korean Air Force fighter planes were scrambled on the fly rocket launch site and to protect the airspace, but a MiG-21 crashed near the launch site, the main The reason is that aircraft maintenance can not keep up.

Korean rocket and satellite research and development system is unreasonable. AFP quoted experts as saying that South Korea, North Korea’s rocket and satellite research and development institutions are too scattered, fragmented, in the event of an accident, can not quickly find out the reason, is likely to fail again.

United States, Japan, “of trying to punch through”

7, Reuters reported that the launch of US-North Korea South Korea and Japan to provide a “good opportunity” , the three parties also started to play “wishful thinking” to enhance missile defense capabilities, Korea and wanted to play, “offensive” brand advocates research and development more than 1,000 km range missile, to cover the whole territory of the DPRK.

a U.S. missile defense experts said, the rocket launch in Korea, the United States, many experts are “Steady.” When the firing end of the relevant analytical data has been baked. These data and intelligence will be essential to study North Korean missile. The expert said: “We recorded all the details of the launch, which helps future missile defense system to spend more accurate data.” The expert said that all the intelligence information gathered by the U.S. National Aeronautics and Space Intelligence central processing, the agency is responsible for long-range missile data analysis.

Japanese media reported on the 7th, the Japanese Defense Minister Yasukazu Hamada said the government fall in the Sea of ??Japan is considering salvaging the wreckage of the Korean rocket. Although the exact location yet to be further confirmed, salvage, there are some technical problems, but the Government is doing this project in order to clarify the North Korean missile’s performance and other technical parameters.

According to Korea, “Chosun Ilbo,” 8 said the request for additional South Korean missiles with a range of ideas in the rise. Under the current US-South Korean missile agreement, South Korea missile range can not exceed 300 km. To this end, South Korean experts said the case of war, 300 km North Korean missiles can not attack the rear of the main strategic objectives. North Korea after the launch, Korean ballistic missile capability gap is widening. Therefore, South Korean experts and the military’s request to extend the missile range to 1,000 km, so as to ensure Jun Han in Jeju Island, Korea and other South Korean rear area attack throughout. But some analysts say, if you extend the range to 1,000 km, Tokyo and Beijing have also been incorporated into firing range, neighboring countries will be extremely sensitive, so be careful to deal with this problem.