Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

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Feng Zhaokui: Do not underestimate the possibility of U.S. military action against North Korea

to prepare for November 28 to December 1 US-South Korean military exercises in the Yellow Sea mishap occurred, Japanese Prime Minister Naoto Kan asked during military exercises in principle, all cabinet members to stay in Tokyo, a pinch to be able to reach in one hour under the jurisdiction of ministries and agencies. North and South Korea, after the shelling, the Japanese government by deploying additional P3C patrol aircraft and electronic reconnaissance EP3 increased vigilance. In addition, the Air Self-Defense Force to Bang Matsumoto (Shizuoka) and AWACS airborne warning control unit also has access to 24 hours standby. Although the chief correspondent in Paradise Valley by the conference, said: “do not think the present situation is an armed attack or armed attack close to the situation,” but those in power fear the occurrence of Japan “armed attack situation,” the psychological tension is evident .

we all know, the United States use of force is a good country, which has long been the U.S. government in October 2001, the name of counter-terrorism war in Afghanistan, and in March 2003 despite strong opposition at home and abroad, insisting fabricated reasons for the Iraq war and other facts proved. Now, however, many people in Asia, the United States the possibility of another war seems underestimated, reflecting some of America’s high-handed, reckless character of some lack of knowledge.

In fact, as early as the 1990s, the United States had to prepare to fight a second Korean War. According to historical records, in 1993, the U.S. military has started, “North Korea something” when the issue of Japan asked the United States supports Japan. In August Hosokawa cabinet took office, the Japan Self-Defense Forces Joint Chiefs of Staff room as the center of the third study, once the “emergency on the Korean Peninsula,” Self-Defense Forces will take action. The study was completed in March 1994, code-named “00 operations.” At the same time, the U.S. envisages a second Korean War, in Korea and Japan gathered 400,000 troops, 200 ships and 1,600 aircraft. U.S. asked Japan to play a forward base and logistical base for the role. Around March 1994, Japan received dozens of documents from the United States, set out the requirements of more than 1,000 items, including “South Korea’s territorial waters to mine” and so on. Japan to organize the requirements of the United States, in December 1995 for the 1059 induction, which involves the U.S. military in Japan to provide airport, port, transport, supply, mine clearance, telecommunications, security and other eight elements.

So, why the United States stress the Japanese study was not such an action against the DPRK war plan? In fact, this is the United States for global strategy and to strengthen US-Japan military alliance is an important tool. International politics scholars generally believe that alliance have fundamentally from the member states are a common threat that more clear, the vitality of the stronger alliance. However, with the Soviet Union, Cold War, Soviet Union, Japan-US alliance to lose the “common enemy”, which is facing a common threat or loss of a “common sense of threat,” the alliance as a living body, “the driving force,” the danger of this crisis sense of conflict with Japan and the U.S. economy, although still very sharp, the United States felt the need for the Japan-US alliance as soon as possible to find common, “not abstract” threat to an end appeared in Japan at the moment, “US-Japan alliance after the Cold War is no longer necessary exist, “the mood, the Japanese honestly feel that they alone can not deal with facing a threat, deliberately raised this” threat “to the seriousness of making sure to deal with this threat to the security interests of the alliance must be greater than to pay costs.

from the 1994 U.S. planning a second Korean War, perhaps we can determine the current U.S. triumphantly to vigorously exercise the Yellow Sea to the use of force is not necessarily true. However, the U.S. military action against North Korea will have many benefits, in addition to strengthening the alliance, but also expected to destroy North Korea’s nuclear program, with the war to get rid of the U.S. economic crisis and so on. Given that the U.S. high-handed, reckless, good use of force of character, the two Koreas need to very careful to avoid playing the brink of war strategy, especially to avoid the recurrence of accidental discharge incident, so as not to get burned, asking for trouble. (The author is a researcher at the Japanese Academy of Social Sciences.)

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