Experts say India does not have any use of force between the possibility of short-term
data for: Indian air force’s Russian-made Su-30MKI fighters
Indian Army had held a joint anti-terrorism exercises in 2007.
South Asia expert Ye Hailin, China Academy of Social Sciences
“Oriental Outlook”: How do you see the current network on the military power of China and India compare?
Ye Hailin (China Academy of Social Sciences in South Asia expert): There are many on the network compared to the voice of China and India, in addition to military power outside the high-speed rail, health care has also been used as comparison. In fact, China and India, at least in the short term is impossible to fight, because both are nuclear powers, have strategic missiles.
speaking from India, Pakistan and China are the two imaginary India’s defense modernization is to make people willing to pay for the industrialization and modernization of national defense reasons.
on India, China Internet, there are two very different perspectives. One is that China is far away in front of India, the other is that India’s strength in China. This often makes us feel: the Internet is the same we see India? These two views are in fact not the strength of the two countries and prospects for the objective evaluation, not based on a reasonable comparison of the model, more in order to demonstrate their views, for example, argued that China should strengthen national defense modernization, therefore the emphasis in India than in China has More import advanced weapons, or to satisfy national pride and autonomy to belittle India’s defense.
border “cold peace” the state will continue
“Oriental Outlook”: China will not improve India’s emphasis, such as a large number of troops deployed on the border, change the current situation?
Ye Hailin: China and India on the tactical situation in some areas are not balanced, not a big problem. The key is for China to maintain strategic advantage to strategic deterrence based. India does not have any use of force between the short-term possibility. China not to pursue a tactic of war to sacrifice the interests of peace and growth of their international environment. As for India, they are very clear, military action can not solve the territorial disputes with China, they just need a foreign enemy of the people to unite China, while maintaining an offensive posture, and strengthen its military presence in southern Tibet. They just military deterrence posture, did not intend to take any action.
Therefore, we can say that unless the international situation inscrutable change, or between China and India can not Bingge each other, the border “cold peace” status will continue.
present in the Indian Ocean, the two sides are still rules and layout of the stage, face to face will not evolve into conflict. India is still only “competition” (compete), not “confrontation” (confront), their strengths are on the rise, during which will be a lot of friction, but not to destroy each other for the purpose.
Source: Oriental Outlook
experts read: India’s military strength variables and constants
experts: Ye Hailin, China Society ASTRI South Asia expert commentators.
prominent naval and air forces
the strength of the Indian Ocean after the United States
to the status quo from the forces said that India and Pakistan, China no less. Sub-branches of the military point of view, then its naval forces in particular. India have always cherished the ambition to become dominant the Indian Ocean, on the strength of the Indian Ocean after the United States, the world will have more than a few aircraft carriers of the country.
Army is the main force in its 1.3 million troops, 90 million of the Army, in the disputed southern Tibet and India, the number of Indian troops and weapons in the aggregate have a tactical advantage, and can quickly adjusted from the normal state of war status.
Air Force, India, countries in the world to buy advanced weapons and equipment, in addition to strength and as much as other countries outside the U.S..
Indian defense weaknesses:
import of weapons and more low localization rate
but India also has some disadvantages. First, the basis of its defense industrial capacity. Import more weapons, but the digestion is not strong integration capability. The weapon localization not only lower than China, but also far below the United States, Russia, Britain, France and most other major military powers. This means that the war is not high and sustainable combat capability.
Second, India’s arms imports from the countries in the world, not standardized, the logistics departments of pressure is relatively large.
Third, we all know, India’s infrastructure is relatively poor, so the country’s military mobilization capacity is also poor.
However, in 10 years (in some Indian media hype, “there must be 10 years of Sino-Indian War”), India may have three or more major breakthroughs, such as invested heavily in strengthening the defense industry, improve infrastructure.
India ushered in the demographic dividend
China entered the aging society
In addition, India is in the early stage of industrialization. The general view is that China was founded in manufacturing, while India was founded by software and services. In fact, in recent years India has been emphasizing the importance of industrialization, such as a nationwide high-speed rail repair and improve the industrial and manufacturing standards. They have realized that the software can be uncovered from the pot of gold, but industrialization is the road to power.
Also, do not forget, India is about to usher in a huge demographic dividend period, while China is moving toward the end of the demographic dividend period, will soon enter an aging society.
above said are some of the variables. There is also a constant, is the location.
maritime security environment, excellent
land position at a disadvantage
from the sea, India Indian Ocean countries in a great location. At present, China only imported oil from the Middle East, we must go the Indian Ocean, in other words, India can China’s “close” – unless the Chinese maritime strategy overhaul. To break this, China is to invest a lot of resources.
but the location of the land, India and at a disadvantage. Indian land was a narrow triangle, both sides of the flank is not safe. If the Sino-Indian conflict, the Chinese attack on India’s densely populated areas, do not launch missiles, and India if you want to hit China’s densely populated areas, as separated by a Tibetan, it takes long-range missiles.
the most important point: India is catching up and surpassing the current state, determined to become dominant on the Indian Ocean, is its greatest strategic adversary Pakistan and China, both countries should have done everything you can. But for China, is certainly not the primary strategic focus of India, during the strategic assessment of China’s strategy must be the overall ability of a certain degree of “deduction” in order to make meaningful comparisons and India. Take all the defense potential of China and India, a direct comparison of all the defense potential of China and India are not fair. (“Oriental Outlook Weekly”)
Source: Oriental Outlook