Jin Yinan: Bulava missile launched repeated failures reflects the shortcomings of Russian workers
Tromso in northern Norway December 9 people found strange aura, caused by suspected Ebulawa
Zhongguang Wang missile tests fail Beijing, December 17 news (reporter Li Yan) December 10, the Russian Defense Ministry painful to admit, “Dmitry East Vanscoy” strategic nuclear submarine underwater for 9 in the “Bulava” missile test ended in failure. Relevant special committee investigating the failure of the missile tests. This missile test-fired several times previously by the first-stage rocket failure due to failure. So how else the deeper reason? In this issue, “a South Military Forum” section which, in the broad military reporter interviewed Li Yan Jin Yinan, director of the National Defense University Institute for Strategic Studies Major.
Reporters: 15, according to Russian media reports, the “Bulava” missile tests many failures, scheduled for December 22 to start the construction of the fourth ship, “Borei” submarine program has been canceled. Russian Defense Ministry admitted Jan. 10, 9 for the “Bulava” missile test fails, this is the “Bulava” missile test-fired a seventh defeat. Russia to develop, launch the “Bulava” missile can be said to spend a lot of money, it is estimated that tests take at least $ 1.2 billion, Russia’s why so much blood under the original development of the “Bulava” missile? This missile of Russia’s strategic nuclear deterrent force, What is the point?
technical complexity caused by submarine-launched missile “Bulava” repeatedly failed to launch
Jin Yinan: We say “Bulava” missile which is a species of shallow intercontinental ballistic missiles launched from Russia’s nuclear deterrence strategy overall layout point of view, it must form a land-and sea-based nuclear deterrent capability.
land-based nuclear deterrent capability, the “Topol” missile of this series, led by Russia, of course, it also has some of the large number of other models, led by land should say more mature. Sea repeatedly found problems, “Bulava” in it, in fact, from the side effects, this relatively new model, while its power is relatively large, it is far more range, mainly high precision, penetration ability is relatively strong, Russia it has high expectations. Because land-based missiles, such as Russia, the U.S. deterrent to the formation of Russia’s land-based deterrent to the United States largely through the Arctic hit the United States. United States is now with the construction of the Alaska anti-missile system, in fact, already has a blocking function, weakening the Russian land-based strategic nuclear deterrence against the United States.
sea-based deterrent would not play in the past through the Arctic, such as the Russian Pacific Fleet, which if continued driving south, we often talk about breaking the Sea of ??Japan, and then into the depths of the Pacific, from sea-based deterrent United States, the actual direction from the equator to play in the past. Direction from the equator to play in the past, the United States so far there is no defense system. The United States should re-establish order to cope with a sea-based defense system, cost and price will be extremely high. This is in Russia today, despite a strong land-based nuclear deterrence capabilities, and also spare no effort to develop submarine-based, sea-based nuclear deterrent capability “Bulava” system.
“Bulava” system is now very well, just about the same as you, firing seven failures, and only five succeeded. So now Russia has stirred much controversy, that is, the system should not continue development.
of course, see the technical conditions, submarine-based launch from a submarine-launched it much more difficult than land-based launch, because the submarine, the first volume by the impact of the submarine, the missile can not do much, so the submarine base missiles, including Russian “Bulava” has a feature that is relatively short and stout, short, fairly thick; second submarine-based launch, there are many problems that submarine-based launch a submarine to the surface which is basically cold ejection is not a direct ignition, launch into the air 30 meters to 50 meters, it re-ignition, the rocket engine really started.
then underwater to the surface from about 30 meters to 50 meters, 70 meters high or even complete ejection is cold, so we can see the complexity of submarine-launched missile technology than land-based missile launch conditions, technology is much more complex, and launch conditions are harsh. Emission from the flat land you can break the atmosphere, the submarine’s pressure to break the water, then into the air, to re-ignition above sea level, it is the system itself is more complex, submarine are the same for any country. Submarine-launched technical complexity and environmental conditions of the countries want to have a submarine-launched missile system, is undoubtedly a very big technical challenge, this test there is still very serious.
reporters: “Bulava” missile launch repeated failures, in addition to technical reasons, there are no deeper reason?
“Bulava” missile shot repeatedly alluding to the Russian military system failures there is a problem
Jin Yinan: Overall, Russia’s submarine-launched missile submarines are not equipped with two year The problem was, it is the problem for decades. According to the analysis of Russia, and Russian military system now has a relationship, because a “Bulava” missile of its size to nearly 600 cooperative enterprises, any of a number of companies is a problem, obviously has an impact on the missile launch .
Russia say now, “Bulava” failure, it checked the time in technology, lack of effective oversight mechanisms. Of course, from a larger perspective, I think the Russian side, “Bulava” missile failure, not just the technical supervision mechanism, it is with the Russian industrial system and national defense system has a lot to this defense system of Russia and the West are not the same: Russian military has long been a relatively closed system, not to engage in technology transfer, or technical cooperation, it has some technical updates, the speed of impact. Quality standards and it can in their own business in their own quality standards within the system to complete the self-stick, is a big problem.
I think from a broader level, the “Bulava” missile is just a representation only, it may be alluding to Russia’s military regime existing problems, may to some extent a little tendency to terminally ill .