Experts on the South China Sea: Southeast Asian countries difficult to bear fruit in Latin America against China
South China Sea issue comic
international situation will be over the South China Sea. Super high-profile intervention, or between China and Southeast Asian countries to choose sides in war, or from the sidelines. The Grand Chessboard already planted, every step of the Lazi may indeed affect the whole body.
Let us first listen to the ocean from neighboring countries and third-party expert opinion, perhaps a bit harsh, it may not completely correct, but at the moment, we can before making any decisions.
third saw the South China Sea: China’s response to the South China Sea cooperation to mention practical advice
[author] Kaerseye Australian Defence Force Academy professor, expert on Southeast Asia
for the defense of some of China’s actions has led other countries feel uneasy in the face of this “security dilemma”, China needs a practical way to deal with
” International Herald Tribune “article in Vietnam is sending signals it will support continued U.S. military presence in the region, in order to maintain the balance of power. Vietnam and the United States also shows the slow development of its military-military relations. Vietnam and the U.S. military engagement should not be considered closer to the United States, but the development of a large country with more military-to-military contacts as part of the process.
Philippine Foreign Secretary Alberto Romulo on the South China Sea, the United States refused to issue a statement reflects a view of U.S. involvement in helping to resolve conflict in the South China Sea may complicate matters. Also shows that some Southeast Asian countries that the solution to the South China Sea territorial disputes, the best way is held by China and ASEAN consultation, without any third-party involvement.
should promote the effective implementation of the Universal Declaration of the South China Sea
However, ASEAN to reach a consensus on the issue in the South China Sea there are certain difficulties, because only 4 among the 10 member countries is the littoral states. South China Sea with China to discuss how the problem between them there is great differences. U.S. proposal is made in the ASEAN Regional Forum, is the voluntary and consensus based on the support member of defensive diplomacy. Although the United States diplomatic intervention would complicate the issue, but it may also push the parties – China and ASEAN – to create a platform for serious discussion, thus avoiding the necessity of U.S. intervention.
Southeast Asia, people are not buying the Bush administration’s account, even in the United States during the Bush administration dismissed. But now, Obama has changed government policy, signed the “Treaty of Friendship and Cooperation of ASEAN”, ASEAN has also appointed a permanent representative in support of multilateralism in the area. So, want to participate in Southeast Asian countries and China and the United States in multilateral institutions, they do not want to see friction between Washington and Beijing and competition, thereby undermining regional stability.
the rise of China’s economic growth in Southeast Asia has brought benefits, in general, and China in regional affairs and play a responsible big country. The most important is that China’s economic growth for its impact on the development of ASEAN is concerned, and entered into China and ASEAN – ASEAN Free Trade Agreement. Since 1999, China has negotiated with all ASEAN countries and reach long-term cooperation framework agreement, some of which have been elevated to the level of strategic partnership. Today, Southeast Asian countries to actively look at China, and China’s reputation has also increased accordingly.
now the most important issue that needs to be addressed is that in 2002 China and ASEAN signed the “Declaration on Conduct of Parties in the South China Sea” can be effectively implemented. The Declaration set out a number of cooperation and confidence-building relates to the field. However, after eight years, no progress. Today, China and ASEAN are discussed by the Joint Working Group to implement the Declaration. China should cooperate to make some practical suggestions, and then by the joint working group will submit these proposals to the ASEAN – China Senior Officials’ Meeting. These issues should be in October of the ASEAN – China be resolved before the summit.
United States signed a maritime agreement?
China’s recent exercises, must be placed on the 1995-1997 Taiwan Strait crisis of the background into account. When the U.S. sent two aircraft carrier battle groups, China was infuriated. Since then, the Chinese Navy will seek to develop through the “first island chain” capability, and developed a “sea defense” doctrine. China’s military exercises is legal. However, the lack of transparency and without prior notification of military exercises, has been concerned about China’s intentions. China’s actions caused a “security dilemma”, that is, for the defense of the action led China other countries feel uneasy.
Sino-US military actions of the friction between them. Where the rise of nationalism in China the central government a great deal of domestic pressure. Widely believed to become more self-confident Chinese military leaders, because they believe that American power and weakened the economic crisis. Chinese military leaders are not the only think so, many Western analysts to the rise of China as a power shift, indicating the end of U.S. dominance. American power in decline, but the U.S. can not allow that impression growth.
now meet China and the United States when talking to resolve their differences, including the signing of maritime agreement, to resolve the military conflict between the two navies.
Australia’s diplomatic and military capabilities in the affected areas, security is still quite limited. The construction of the regional economy and rapid development, including China, making the neighboring countries have to stand up to invest in modernization in order to gain more maritime capability, which also led to gradually reduce Australia’s leadership in this area. Australia as an ally of the United States, customary international law and based on international law to maintain the current safety of the high seas. Australia will also prudent measures to maintain territorial security. Australia is also very willing to transparent on the basis of reciprocity, to continue to develop relations with the People’s Liberation Army.
I do not think South Australia will play a mediation role, but support is conducive to regional peace and stability in any diplomatic effort. (Interview with this reporter in the belly win/order)
Expert Roundtable: alert the strategic intent of the United States in the South China Sea
system of China rarely seen in Latin America results
Borderland History and Geography of Chinese Academy of Social Li Guoqiang, deputy director and research fellow:
the United States continue to strengthen military cooperation with Southeast Asian countries, pledged commitment to security of some countries defense obligation, therefore, some Southeast Asian countries feel uneasy rise of China, while the United States against the Chinese feel expectations. The psychological reality is not only there, but also the possibility of the spread. But as Foreign Minister Yang Jiechi said, “the rise of Asia, with their dignity, the Asian countries to equal treatment, mutual respect, resolve each other’s concerns” and therefore with the United States in Asian affairs, to balance China’s idea is neither realistic is difficult to become a “general state of mind.”
the United States has declared its national interests in the South China Sea, exposing U.S. strategic intentions: through the South China Sea, to reduce China’s strategic space to contain China’s development, to contain China’s rise; long-term U.S. military forces in forward presence in Asia Pacific, seeking to occupy the strategic high ground in the Asia Pacific region; draw some ASEAN countries, increasing the gap between ASEAN and China and distrust, to ensure that its Asia-Pacific strategy.
But needless to say, in China and some Southeast Asian countries there are still some problems to be solved. Especially the South China Sea, with an impact on China and some neighboring countries, the development of bilateral relations is a major obstacle. In my view, to crack these problems, first, mutual trust, strengthen mutually beneficial cooperation in political, economic, cultural and other fields with Southeast Asian countries to establish closer links; Second, adhere to my consistent policy of diplomacy surrounding the controversial issues on the deal in principle and flexibility in the South China Sea issue, seeking an effective way to resolve the dispute, the other to take a more proactive stance and action, I firmly safeguard the sovereignty of the South China Sea, jurisdiction and maritime rights and interests.
“dislodge the wolf is not advised to run”
SUN Xiao-Ying, Guangxi Academy of Social Sciences researcher:
seizure occurs in Vietnam Paracel Islands and Spratly Islands and grab the behavior is the strategic goal of Vietnam’s maritime power determined. “Vietnamese Prime Minister June 13, 2008 approved the” 2020 Marine International Cooperation proposal “decision” Article 1, paragraph 2: “Sea and Coastal basic external work, and consistent long-term goals and tasks are: belonging to Vietnam sovereign waters, continental shelf, sand islands, Changsha Islands (Paracel Islands and Spratly Islands in China, the same below) and other islands, Vietnam established full sovereignty, strong management and safeguarding sovereignty, sovereign ownership and jurisdiction. “in 20 years ago the Vietnamese scholar, said: “For my country, occupies the East China Sea islands of sand and Changsha, and their integration into the territory of the motherland is very important, far more important than the development of its coastal islands.” Of course, This a “into” also shows that the so-called yellow sand and Changsha Islands, Vietnam does not belong to the original.
U.S. hegemony used to, this time a little too high-handed style and no power, so that any place can become its national interests, but care to get through? For U.S. involvement in the South China Sea, the young people around me said, “The wolf is not dislodge advised run.” Young people than I dare to think and think too much. Of course, the “fight” mode can be varied, such as a variety of “text fight” and “martial arts.” I think the key lies in our own – not an easy fight, but not afraid to fight, ready to fight. Once in a hundred years to avenge the humiliation of the Chinese nation in war, but will not be in the territory of the humiliation of losing the sum. (Reporter Liang Hui, Lei interview repair/finishing)
Expert Perspective: China needs to show the courage to solve the problem
Zheng Yongnian, Singapore [author] East Asian Institute National University
dare say the United States really is. Vietnam and other Southeast Asian countries in the eyes, naturally with the United States ran
“International Herald Tribune” article for the current status of the South China Sea, South China Sea issue China raised their own core interests, to mention it is no problem, but only the first to have the ability to protect. Chanting slogans can not solve the problem, we can not improve China’s international status, nor help to resolve the matter. National interests to heart to pursue.
standing in the position of countries such as Vietnam, China wants to engage in bilateral negotiations, but do so for many years, little progress at all. That Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia, ASEAN member countries as naturally wanted to multilateral negotiations. Vietnam, Malaysia, the South China Sea issue to the International Tribunal, that is, wants to engage in international multilateral. Now China’s economic growth so fast, these small Southeast Asian country’s natural feel time is not on their side, so look very urgent, pull in the United States makes sense of. But for China, compared to the multilateral, the South China Sea issue of great power politics is the most difficult, is the most reluctant to see China, China will further exacerbate the problem more difficult to solve the South China Sea. But from the perspective of the country, these are the interests of maximizing the performance of a rational choice.
appears in many Southeast Asian countries, although China is a major economic power, military power, but China’s lack of sense of great power play. Is not a big country, rapid economic development, which is a large country? No! In international politics, can solve the problem considered is a big country. And this, in Southeast Asian countries view, it is precisely the absence of China. In contrast the U.S. approach, you can not agree, but the U.S. really dare say. Vietnam and other Southeast Asian countries in the eyes, naturally ran with the United States.
back to the South China Sea issue, China believes that bilateral negotiations can resolve the dispute. But the question is, over the years, bilateral negotiations simply do not carry. In fact, the Philippine Foreign Minister to speak out against U.S. involvement, but confessed ASEAN and the South China Sea issue China’s affairs. This shows that he very much hope that China and ASEAN to take as “10 +1″ This multilateral mechanism. China worried that multilateral negotiations will limit their actions in the South China Sea, but in fact, ASEAN has in Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, this sovereignty dispute with China’s quest countries, like Singapore, but there is no sovereignty dispute with China, a country they can play coordinating role. (Interview with this reporter Liang Hui, intern reporter Lei repair order)