Reputation within a decade China will have the ability to hit U.S. aircraft carrier battle group
9 January, the U.S. Navy – Karl Vinson aircraft carrier battle group in the U.S. offshore sailing
LONDON September 7 (Reuters): U.S. Foreign Policy magazine recently published an article that China probably has in the surrounding areas have a conventional military superiority. Chinese short-range missiles has been increased to 1500, its fleet of modern aircraft can be used not only to attack Taiwan, but also to the United States military bases in Japan, a devastating blow. In the next 10 years, China’s missile forces as long as the joint formation of its rapidly growing submarine, the U.S. aircraft carrier in the region can cause serious damage.
article said, so far, so important in the peace and stability in mind, the delicate balance of military power to change is difficult to detect. Even if they are detected in time, policy makers will respond lag. However, to maintain a favorable balance of military power of its own, the U.S. president’s key tasks. At this point, they have oversight over a decade.
Presidents sometimes aware of this military transformation, but it was too late. They developed in response to questionable decision-making, of making the problem worse. For example, President Eisenhower’s policy of large-scale revenge the loss of U.S. nuclear monopoly and the Soviet conventional superiority in Europe have some response. Eisenhower even wish cheaper to maintain U.S. superiority – through the reduction of conventional defense of President Truman construction projects.
at the time, with a policy of nuclear response to counter Soviet aggression does not look how prescient, but at least the president was aware of the seriousness of this balance of power shift. President Nixon and President Carter’s arms control plan of some arguable advantage is the strategic balance in response to the Soviet side of the tilt. Most of the time, U.S. policy makers did not realize until a disadvantage the opponent’s military power is constantly increasing. For example, Pearl Harbor, the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan, and 911 events.
article goes on to point out that the current military balance in Asia is shifting. Since the end of World War II, Washington and through the deployment of troops at the front area into the absolute ability to ensure peace in Asia. For example, 14 years ago, the People’s Liberation Army in the face of the waters surrounding Taiwan destabilizing missile tests, President Clinton to the area near the Taiwan Strait to send a carrier battle formation. The result is suspension of missile drill, Taiwan’s presidential election be held as scheduled, the conflict risks can be eliminated.
Today, no president should consider doing so again and again. Why? China is already in the surrounding areas have a conventional military superiority, is not afraid to take remedial measures will be developed into a serious incident. China’s growing short-range missile arsenal (about 1500), and its fleet of modern aircraft can be used not only to attack Taiwan, but also to the United States military bases in Japan, a devastating blow. In the next 10 years, China’s missile forces as long as the joint formation of its rapidly growing submarine, the U.S. aircraft carrier in the region can cause serious damage.
The article said that Beijing has been highly concerned about how the U.S. and Japan to avoid interference to control and deter Taiwan, but Washington does not take the same attention to defense. American ships construction project in a recession, our ability to protect Air Force Base no longer exists, the U.S. Navy and Air Force planning framework currently no indications of attention to this issue.
article said, as a country, the United States around the world have become accustomed to cynical projection naval and air forces, so that on our plane will be shot down, ships will be sunk views It sounds like science fiction. But in the past decade, China has been studying how to reduce our operational modes, the results of their efforts are emerging.
now, the U.S. attack on the Chinese mainland Taiwan President on how to respond to faces many difficult choices, most of which can choose to bring a greater risk. If the U.S. or its allies were attacked, Washington will eventually be deployed from other areas of conflict to the defense of superior forces, but this will take time, but just as the U.S. strategic budgeting and evaluation centers, “air and maritime operations,” the RAND report and Corporation (RAND) the “balance” the report indicated the need to attack the Chinese mainland military targets. Taking into account China’s growing conventional military superiority, the United States attacked China by President United States, Japan or Taiwan, the response triggered by devastating blow, it will be necessary and very difficult.
article says, the good news is the stability of measures to restore balance is not too late. China richer than the United States, more stable, just use the direction for expenditure of micro-adjustment, you can recover in the Pacific reassuring conventional balance of military forces in an attempt to reduce China to increase the solid defense of our strategic choice, So Beijing, but end up. U.S. to seek cooperation with China, is difficult to imagine a conflict with China, incredible. However, if the People’s Liberation Army clashed with the United States attempt, then the United States must be taken seriously for peace to take these measures. (Compiled: Spring)