Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

Data Figure: Russian S-400 air defense missile systems

gamekeeper invite Bear to play with the rabbit, but the bear was wondering, how holding the hands of guards bear hunting gun? Russian representatives to NATO Dmitry Rogozin with the political implications of such a hidden joke describes the November 20 28 NATO countries and Russia summit held in Lisbon. Indeed, the enemy of the former Soviet Union first time to invite Russia to join NATO summit in Lisbon, to Russia as the imaginary enemy of the European missile defense system to invite Russia to participate in this global concern of the Lisbon summit could not help but think of “Banquet.” NATO’s why suddenly “kissed” Russia is Russia really need help, or a novelty? Russia actually tough to single-handedly to attend the meeting, which back in the end what plan? A Lisbon summit like a dangerous game in the “Hunter” and “Bear” between start.

newspaper Zhuangao Qin Shang Yi

■ “Hunter” and “Bear”

in read “Hunter” and “Bear” game before, it is necessary to understand both life experience. Look at the “hunter” NATO’s origins: born in 1949, the United States as leader, role is to guard the “European hunting”, the predecessor of the former Soviet Union against the Russian bear attacks. Response to the “hunter” group, the former Soviet Union and Eastern Europe in 1955 is also a bunch of brothers put together a tit for tat with countries of the Warsaw Pact Organization (“WTO”), being their own boss, so the Cold War began. These two military organizations to ideology as “offensive and defensive weapons” in the European continent and the Atlantic waters are often tense, close to the brink of war several times.

the early 1990s, the Cold War, automatic dissolution of the Warsaw Pact, while NATO will remain there. Later, the former Warsaw Pact small brothers have abandoned the “bear boss” refuge NATO, Russia to go it alone caught in a situation. Past ten years, because the United States fear that Russia’s nuclear strong force, both soft and hard to step up containment. Hard means is constantly pressing for NATO enlargement, to win over former Warsaw Pact members defection, capture the name of fighting terrorism in Iraq and Afghanistan, Russia, South along the battlefield, and deployment of advanced anti-missile weapons to countries such as Russia, Poland, door, bent on dying in the drum to within Russia; soft side means is limited to rhetoric to trick Russia signed the Treaty on nuclear weapons to destroy nuclear warheads in order to reduce its nuclear forces, on “democracy” and “freedom” sugar-coated bullets to fight corrosion Russia, to surrender.

Russia’s first political deception, resulting in the former Soviet Union, Warsaw Pact dissolved, followed by repeated economic and deceived, so that decades sink, slump. However, the unexpected outbreak of triumphant in Europe when Russia has cropped up two tough guy Putin and Medvedev, never refused to bow into submission. In order to resolve the NATO offensive in NATO expansion, missile defense deployment of weapons, color revolution, Putin and Medvedev to the U.S. and NATO head, especially in 2008 Georgia, Russia and impossible a lesson to NATO, Europeans see the Russian bear is not anger again already, angry terrifying side. In the fight against terrorism, Russia and China to cooperate with Central Asian countries form a joint rigid barrier. Thus, manipulation of NATO encircling Russia, the United States will face great obstacles. In this context, NATO occupation of a sudden to pull Russia, the European anti-missile system, NATO carrot and stick tactics had been given a “criminal record”, this seems no exception.

■ follow the U.S. and Europe suffered enough

This time the shine of the NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen said something profound words: ” I think I am going to witness a new relationship between NATO and Russia, the beginning of this great strategic value. “

Rasmussen would look very plain, but these subtleties unlimited. Interpretation of the bright side, that is, as a friend to Russia, so Russia occupied it with a new strategic relationship with the West beginning of your enemy; toward the other side of the interpretation is to Russia as a “prisoner.” Russia and NATO struggle for decades, fighting each other Warsaw Pact is gone, now only subject to NATO control, only to follow with little brothers is “amnesty”, “captured.” This is of course Russia does not recognize a thing. Russia must also have their own strategies, they can hand discord among, or to a root of the problem of NATO is also unknown, which is both close to the mysterious place.

However, the saying goes, no difficulty-yourself, two decades of fighting old enemies sitting together adventure, which only shows two things, one, there are difficulties need to help each other; II there is need for both sides to deal with common threats.

within NATO, mainly the United States and Europe boss brothers contradiction is reflected in two aspects. First of all, security. U.S. anti-missile system it touches the frame to Europe, but the Russian bear growling bear face to face, but it is Europe, the United States acts as a shield against Russian attack, hiding in the United States sit back and relax to the other side of the Atlantic. In the former Soviet Union, Warsaw Pact dissolved, the biggest threat facing Europe no longer exists, but the organization still pressing harder and harder to Russia, provocative look at from time to time, not only that, restless stir up trouble around the United States, make a down “rogue state” and “rogue states” such as competitors, leads to a “terrorism” everywhere beat, recently hype “threats”, and made to play in Europe along with the heartbeat.

heartbeat is not white to play, must have a money cushion. Previously, Europe was rich flow of oil, followed by the United States can withdraw money, points of interest. Which played into the fire like the boss, cronies, all play into it, it relates to the second problem – money.

from 2008 to the present financial crisis in the United States, Europe is a disaster area. First, the fall of Lehman Brothers, the UK and Europe involves a number of bank debt crisis, Iceland, Scandinavia the brink of bankruptcy; followed by Wall Street crisis, the euro has become successful, then “sovereign debt crisis” hit, from Greece to Spain, to today’s Irish, devastated by the initiator and the U.S. big banks. Backbone of the euro for Germany Greece did not come to the rescue in time to offend a large euro area, the last shot or the Chinese, the crisis was easing Greece. Recently, the U.S. launched the second round of the quantitative easing monetary policy, large dollar devaluation, the eurozone crisis alert remains.

however, that the European concern is that the United States may now be “shift the focus of” the. Obama took office, abandoned after the first U.S. president came to visit the practice in Europe, visit to Asia, the United States “Sheouruya” tendency evident, often recently released strategic center of gravity “eastward” signal, which Europeans fear that the U.S. annual provocative Russian bear, stir a large stall things, the European pocketbook emptied, leave his ass beat, and left Europe for many years is an angry Russian bear and a mess.

In this case, reduction of military spending was rampant in Europe, everyone from the carpool (Economic Community), now began to fight, “bodyguard” (defense integration). But why pay high “bodyguard fee”, mainly because the Russian bear in, if the Russian bear to make friends with, naturally save more. “Bodyguard fee” that if the Russian bear as “bodyguard” one, would not even better ? This is to invite Russia into NATO, the main reason for hunting.

■ containment of China? Russia worried about NATO’s “illegal guns”

For Russia, with close to NATO, security and economic issues are still the main cause. After the disintegration of the former Soviet Union, Russia is not only a big country Gone, even old little brother who have also defected to rival. From the time the “boss” of a fall become a “Guanggansiling”, which made Russia feel the most is “Money is not everything, but no money, is totally unacceptable.” Russia’s national economic slump led to decline, shrinking a large number of global military presence, are not subject to diplomatic constraints, seeing the front door of NATO is supporting the missile in addition to “roar”, but no way. However, in Putin’s tenure, Russia’s largest oil and energy, playing cards, the economy beginning to pick up strength began to recover, allowing Russia to re-experience the glory of the year’s major powers, tasted the economic recovery, “Honey,” the Russian bear aware, Military and defense is important, but economic development is more important, the most important of which is Europe’s energy dominance in the marketplace, energy-poor Europe also needs the support of Russian energy, especially in the Cold War has ended, the two camps have not re- exists, greatly easing the security situation in Europe’s case, Europe and Russia economic cooperation, energy cooperation, in particular, has become a win-win choice.

reason are willing to join the Russian anti-missile system, partly because Russia that the United States and European anti-missile system development is irreversible trend, with its futile protest, it is better to join in, as far as influence on the ABM issue. Anti-missile system in the form of influence, the U.S. also showed willingness to cooperate, Obama took office, the former Bush anti-missile system plan be modified so that prior to the Russian threat to their great flexibility to launch large-scale missile Small missile systems, Russia’s participation in the anti-missile system to provide a space for discussion.

Some analysts believe that Rasmussen stressed that Russia and NATO’s “new relationship between Western countries” with the United States this year, the eastward shift of global strategy and clearly announced a series of military actions and diplomatic efforts which reflects the stepped up around the West blocking the eastern country at China. This is the Western media is not shy. British “The Times” says that the reason why the Russian Bear “horrible” to “cute”, because Russia knows that “the greater integration into the European economy will help strengthen Russia’s former Soviet backyard – Central Asia ability to resist Chinese pressure. ” Voice of America, said, “China replaced Russia in Central Asia,” the momentum that the Russian concern.

However, years of ill feelings between Russia and NATO can not eliminate day. “Hunter” and “bear” joke actually reflected in the treatment of Russian NATO anti-missile system (“gun”) on the alert state of mind. Russia’s “Independent” issued a document that Russia and NATO to strengthen mutual trust in the long way to go. As Dmitry Medvedev warned, if Russia and NATO on missile defense talks with Russia can not dispel concerns that NATO has insisted on the implementation of anti-missile system may trigger a new arms race. After all, it bears than hunting rabbits, even more important to avoid the shotgun.

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