Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

data for: the first island chain and the second island chain diagram

Zhang wood

the current situation of China’s recent decision to medium-term strategic focus in the East Asian region, the central task is to traction in the Taiwan Strait unification, in the eastern waters of the U.S. breaking the long-term imposed on China, and aimed at a naval blockade of Taiwan by China, Japan, South Island, the Philippines, Sunda Islands, and finally to the Malacca Strait, the so-called “first island chain.” As for Japan, Guam, south east off the Philippines’ second chain “, then a long period of time should not be the focus for China sea.

current U.S. strategists believe that China out of the “first island chain” is bound to conflict with the United States, but this understanding does not have credibility. Since the 20th century, the stability of the Pacific is mainly the result of cooperation between China and the United States. Half of the 20th century, Sino-US cooperation was mainly settled in Japan where the spoiler; half of the 20th century, Sino-US cooperation is here to quell the expansion of the Soviet Union. So, in the 21st century, China and the U.S. regardless of which party if the other party down, and that the results of who will benefit? It is only in Japan after World War II that do not obey the Yalta system of the country to determine the benefit at the expense of the legal rights to benefit from the Yalta system of Asian countries to go through one of the more brutal “War.”

China-US cooperation in the Pacific if possible? Not only possible, but there are deep historical premise. China and the U.S., are a vast territory of a world power, the diaphragm between the two sides nearly two million kilometers of the vast Pacific Ocean sea determined in accordance with their national strength and the resulting U.S. decision not to shake their ability to expand either the national foundation, Liangbai the both sides, two, and then either prosperity, so peaceful future of these two big countries with long-term, sustainable and therefore is invaluable.

War of the Pacific over half a century after the stability of the premise that the three were from Russia and the United Yalta system. At that time the Cold War between the Soviet Union the United States, but the adjustment of interests within the system of Yalta and consolidation, rather than to break the Yalta system re-start the distribution of benefits.

Similarly, the future stability of the Pacific without China, between the United States and Russia – in the South Pacific region is more between China and the U.S. – the Yalta system of cooperation. As long as the premise of this cooperation and the Yalta system is not damaged, then the interests between China and the Yalta can be guaranteed. In view of the Pacific theater during World War II Japanese war criminals, only one, therefore, to maintain the Yalta system, will ensure that Asia, especially East Asian countries, the interests of Yalta legal rights to protect the fundamental interests of these countries, will protect the peace in the region.

However, within the framework of Sino-US cooperation Yalta should be a prerequisite, and this is not the anti-fascist in World War II to make huge sacrifices, and for the establishment of the Yalta system make a significant contribution to China’s legal rights and interests have too much Yalta squeeze. After half a century of development, China has become a pattern in the world has a huge influence in the country, then if the oppression in China will be the “first island chain” west of the shallow sea, it is neither possible, nor fair, more China can not be accepted. In fact, the “first island chain” defense has become a tremendous pressure to feel the burden of the United States, the United States has no need, of course, are increasingly unable to hold the “first island chain.”

being the case, for America’s own sustainable development and prosperity, in order to maintain the United States in world politics should be the great-power status, the United States in the 1860s why not learn from the Governor Muravev see Russia Far East after the reunification of North and South America have been unstoppable rise of the United States, we recommend the Tsar to give up quickly in the United States intelligence Alaska – It is this wisdom, and Russia to ensure the sustainable development of nearly half a century later, and was laid to keep the Soviet Union was IMF to live – let go to China, including Taiwan, the “first island chain.”

1972, Mao Zedong, Comrade told Nixon, he likes right, this is because the United States in 1972, Nixon understood the philosophy right, to know what the boundaries of U.S. national power expansion. Today the U.S. right has become less likeable, because they have lost philosophy. Read a little point of history will know if the United States peaked in power in the Pacific, there was no effective control over the formation of the West Bank, and out into the Pacific to the sea, land and sea for China, a large country in terms of both is incredible.

Today, U.S. strategic thinking seems to be back when Kennan’s containment ideas, which whether in China or the United States are no different from the second disaster. Kennan later regretted not cope so that the “containment policy”, the U.S. force sent to the global containment of the Soviet Union no return, the result is pushed down the Soviet Union and the Yalta system in Europe, the EU large gains, while the United States and the use of the Second World War the Soviet Union pushed the two countries in Europe for world hegemony, the collapse and decline successively. Today’s U.S. strategists should do to reflect this. (The author is a Beijing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics Professor of Strategic Studies Center.)

(“Global Times” January 11, 2011 14th Edition)

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