Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

11 24, some taeyonpyong evacuees arrived in Incheon, South Korea Hong Kong. South Korea and North Korea 23 pm in the disputed “northern boundary” near the fire. Xinhua News Agency issued

[Russia " Independent "website article, 24 November] Title: North Korea to use dangerous methods to attract the attention of Washington (author of the Korean Institute of Russian Academy of Sciences Far East Research Center, Alexandria heat Bin)

foreign news agency reported yesterday that an alarming message: exchange of fire occurred in the Yellow Sea. Korea, North Korea shelling the island, Korea artillery fire hit back. Pyongyang said the shelling was launched first in South Korea.

shelling incident in the long ago, Pyongyang to the U.S. Los Alamos National Laboratory demonstrated the former head of North Korea’s uranium enrichment facilities. There were also reports that North Korea has begun to build their own light-water reactors.

1994 for the United States promised to North Korea build two light-water reactors, but the United States and its allies did not do so. Although the North Korean light water reactor to be built in their own inferior to many, but the meaning of signals Pyongyang clear: you do not want help, we build on their own.

now shelling took place between two Koreas. Do not rule out Pyongyang deliberately shelling this tough attitude that the Obama administration the DPRK since the implementation of “strategic patience” policy, ignoring the normalization of relations between the DPRK disappointed.

next month, the six-party talks will be protracted interruption for two years. 2009, North Korea tried to launch satellites, many people will interpret this as a test-firing intercontinental ballistic missiles, the UN Security Council condemned North Korea to make angry, and then announced its refusal to participate in the six-party talks. Later, however, hinted that it might return to Pyongyang began the process of negotiations, of course, is the abolition of 2009, the Security Council sanctions on North Korea’s nuclear test in the case.

However, the United States, South Korea and Japan do not seem ready to negotiate. They insisted that North Korea take concrete actions to show sincerity to give up its nuclear program. In other words, they demanded that North Korea unilaterally make concessions, and obviously in no hurry to return to negotiations, no need “for talks and negotiations.”

“strategic patience” policy aims to encourage the North Korean regime collapse. United States developed this approach is clearly taken into account: on the one hand, in late 2008 early 2009 when the deteriorating health of Kim Jong Il, may withdraw from the political arena, which will lead to North Korea’s turbulent political situation; the other hand, the West of the United Nations general sanctions against North Korea plus the United States and its allies unilaterally limit, make it difficult to North Korea’s foreign economic and trade exchanges, to make it complicated economic situation, should eventually lead to the party and the people’s discontent.

But things toward another direction, a top North Korean political stability. They held a party meeting, updated the CPC Central Committee level. North Korea uranium enrichment facilities of modern technological level of U.S. experts so amazed, it is repeatedly confirmed a series of expert predictions – sanctions will have little effect, even if there is a little bit of success. Evolution of the nuclear issue many times the situation shows that sanctions are likely to have a negative effect.

therefore, arrange to visit North Korean nuclear facilities, U.S. experts are invited to the United States in the dialogue. While Pyongyang is likely to understand, even if you can not let the U.S. make concessions to a minimum, it can not guarantee adequate security, or even access to foreign investment, these investments can not be achieved without economic modernization. But this incident shows that North Korea sheep tried very unique way to persuade Washington to take seriously the call for North Korea to fulfill the promise of early 1994, the international commitment to normalize relations.

[Bloomberg News website reported on November 23] United States and Asia, analysts said that North Korea attacked South Korea, the behavior of a small island and its own nuclear program progress Disclosure of the United States back to the negotiating table are part of the strategy.

American Institute of Foreign Affairs Director of the Center for preventive action, said Paul 罗斯泰尔斯, shelling can be seen as “provocative actions as part intended to force South Korea and the United States to return to the negotiating table.”

Stiles said in a telephone interview, North Korea’s strategy is “a repugnant action until the United States said, ‘Well, we talk about it, as is now so quiet you down.

during the Clinton administration’s Secretary of Defense William Cohen said the economic sanctions so eager to restart six-party talks on North Korea.

[U.S. "Time" magazine Web site in November 23 article] Title: Behind the two Koreas exchanged fire: Kim Jong-un successor

Seoul, analysts say, will showcase the recent nuclear fire and 23 is a reasonable link Pyongyang now ongoing leadership change. Both highlight the Kim regime’s “military-first politics” concept.

Just a few weeks ago, Pyongyang confirmed that Kim Jong Il’s regime in fact the son of Kim Jong-un will succeed him as ruler of North Korea’s next.

South Korea’s Sejong Institute, Senior Fellow Zhengcheng Chang (voice) said: “Kim Jong-un is currently affected by the more hawkish generals. His power base from the army, the military power than ever great. “

North Korea may be sent to the United States with previous similar signal: We’re still, you have to deal with us.