Scholars said the Korea-US speculation on North Korea to collapse the peninsula want to change the security situation
data for: November 28, 2010, in the South Korean capital Er Xinan about 170 km of a beach South Korean soldiers participated in landing exercises prior to training. Xinhua News Agency/Reuters
China Daily News: English, “China Daily” on March 1 speech version of the article: starting from 28 for Korea-US joint military exercises, the Korean People’s Army, 27, said in a statement, The military will take firm measures against the upcoming Korea-US joint military exercises.
since last year, the Korea-US media stir. “Korean collapse” theory, that the one-sided development of the Korean military hamper national economy, distorting domestic society, and ultimately lead to state collapse. On the other hand, the Korean military equipment behind the face of well-equipped and powerful coalition of Korea, the Korean army may Yichujikui.
In fact, since 1994, the former North Korean leader Kim Il Sung died so far, “North Korean collapse theory” is always heard, and much worse. Especially in the last two years, the Korean “economic collapse” theory, “political collapse” theory, “regime collapse” theory, “the military collapse” theory after another, never quite to push North Korea is suspected, stirred and the whole Korean Peninsula peace and stability in Northeast Asia, so that powder keg from a recessive to dominant heat theater rapidly evolving US-ROK military exercises prove safety Korean military security, and trying to impact the stability of the regime, causing the height of the world attention.
basis, Korea and other countries not only enthusiastically participated in the “North Korean collapse” theory, proposed a deal with North Korea and the collapse of the specific plans and military plans, or even a military rehearsal. South Korea is positioned as the 2011 ‘to prepare the first year of unification’, clearly for the reunification of Germany-style “absorption unity” in preparation.
“on North Korea to collapse,” the fundamental reason is that parties speculation, distortion and outright hostility. Since the outbreak of the Cold War, the Korean issue has been a pain in the eyes of the United States, especially the North Korean nuclear issue has plagued the U.S. politicians and strategic industry thinking. United States and other Western countries tend to North Korea and the neo-interventionism, axis of evil, failed states, such as strategic thinking linked to hopes North Korea’s economic collapse and the regime, as a prerequisite for a stable Korean Peninsula, and to further involvement East Asian security.
Korea in the Korean Peninsula issue has always hoped to prevent being marginalized, and lead a unified peninsula, South Korean media hype, “North Korean collapse theory” can be a long time.
can say that the nuclear issue, “the day the ship incident,” Kim Jong Il health issues such as Korea and Japan is a clear excuse for the United States took the opportunity to Bing Yellow Sea, the Sea of ??Japan, put pressure on the DPRK regime, while contribute to both offensive and defensive capabilities of the United States, Japan multilateral security mechanism, squeeze China’s strategic space. South Korean media is getting worse, will rise to strain routine military exercises “North Korea sudden,” trying to influence North Korean political situation, and even accelerate its economic collapse and political strife, to achieve the goal of leading a unified peninsula.
collapse of the United States to North Korea based on its conceptual “operation plan 5029 into a workable plan of military action, highlighting the response to the North Korean regime collapse, mass riots, residents of a mass exodus, nuclear weapons and other weapons of mass destruction falling into the hands of rebel forces, large-scale natural disasters and other mutations appear to plan events, even in the Korea-US joint military exercises to simulate the coalition occupation of Pyongyang. Lee Myung-bak government will be the keynote of its policy to maintain stability and by the exchanges and cooperation absorption into a unified preparation. At the same time, the United States to cooperate with China on several proposed for the collapse of North Korea may be developing contingency plans, which serves as an ulterior motive.
years, three North Korean interests and concerns – - the security, political recognition and economic turnaround – were not realized, and plunged into a severe security dilemma. the current difficulties, North Korea severely denounced the practice of the U.S. South Korea and Japan, it also made influential changes, including: the establishment of the institutional successors; reaffirmed DPRK’s commitment to denuclearization of the position has not changed, is willing to restart six-party talks as soon as possible; clear that North Korea needs a peaceful environment in order to concentrate on economic construction, strengthening and Russia economic cooperation, policy changes and economic development of the new program being implemented gradually.
the Korean Peninsula and China’s national security association exists between the natural, has always been China’s strategic security buffer zone. Peninsula security dilemma caused by the constraints of the overall environment for China’s peaceful development in the other hand, the Korean Peninsula is the impact of China and the United States to contain the key element of the current big country an important battlefield strategy game. The current situation does not significantly ease the peninsula, with heavy U.S. back to Asia, is closely related to strategic needs, reflecting the U.S. use of military exercises to curb North Korea, containment of China’s motives.
China’s fundamental policy is to maintain peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, the peninsula if the bloody conflict, First, both the people who suffer the peninsula, it will also undermine regional peace and stability, affecting neighboring countries, may lead to aggravation of the situation for any upgrade to undermine regional peace and stability behavior, the Chinese are firmly opposed to unambiguous.
“North Korean collapse” theory of conspiracy is a fundamental change on the Korean Peninsula and Northeast Asia security situation, the relevant parties but did not seriously study the propagation of a country will lead to the collapse of the serious consequences of confusion based on this, China will not listen to some experts The so-called “abandoned towards theory”, but take a positive response efforts.
These include: a strong appeal to all parties to maintain calm and restraint, do more to ease the situation is conducive to peace and stability of the peninsula, return to the six-party talks as soon as possible, and promised to work together with the relevant parties; a stern warning to the Korea-US Multimodal speech, clearly pointed out firmly against the foreign military vessels and planes to other Chinese coastal waters in the Yellow Sea and affect China’s security interests; strengthen North Korea’s political contact, through high-level visits, special envoy on North Korea DPRK and other support to express and deepen China-DPRK friendship; the DPRK to provide the necessary financial support, and actively help North Korea cope with the Western economic sanctions and financial sanctions, vigorously strengthen economic cooperation with North Korea .
China is willing to work with other parties, in order to prevent unstable conditions the Korean efforts to properly resolve the Korean Peninsula issue, the fundamental is to eliminate the current enveloped in clouds of cold war on the Korean peninsula, and resolutely oppose “North Korea collapse theory “spread through the active cooperation of the parties concerned to promote North Korea into the international community.
Looking ahead, China’s strategic response measures include: to further deepen political and economic ties with North Korea, made clear the DPRK stable support to further strengthen economic cooperation with North Korea to encourage North Korea into the international community constructively; actively urge North Korea abandon its nuclear program; create conditions for resumption of six-party talks, North Korea abandon its nuclear program and actively promote a conducive international solutions, and contribute to North Korea Peninsula of international security cooperation; Korean economic cooperation to a new breakthrough, between Northeast Asian countries to promote economic cooperation in Northeast Asia peace and stability in the long term. (The author is Professor of International Strategic Studies, Central Party School Men Honghua , School of Administration of Jilin University, Associate Professor Jie Lu Xiao Xi edit)