Will want to recover the Diaoyu Islands by China’s five major pain
First, as the Diaoyu Islands Japanese occupation and control. Under international law and international practice, the decision of the ownership of an island there are three main factors, the second, who first discovered; third, who is named after whom the first; fourth, who was on the continued effective management. There is no doubt that in the first two factors, China enjoys advantages, but in the latter issue, we are completely passive position.
in the international community, power is the most important factor in international politics been so naked as power politics. The reason why the decision will have sovereignty over the islands, the third factor, and then the power to protect their own interests are directly related. Many islands, part of the island near its original state sovereignty; but the country after the occupation of these islands, he wanted to have long, so relevant in so-called international law or practice under the enforcement powers produced.
according to international practice, if there is a dispute of the islands, is a country occupied by five years after its sovereignty rests with the occupying all. After World War II, the United States, China, Britain defined by the Potsdam Proclamation and the Penghu Islands Taiwan returned to China, but which does not require ownership of the Diaoyu Islands. Japan in the United States without authorization to send troops after the withdrawal of occupation of the Diaoyu Islands Diaoyu Islands, and continues to this day. The Japanese dare to do that, mainly in the context of the Cold War, with American covert support, and that time the relations have deteriorated between China and the Soviet Union, China’s naval power alone is not whom do nothing.
Although we claim that a verbal claim to Diaoyu Islands have been our territory; but because of the Diaoyu Islands is currently in Japan, the actual control. China’s navy fleet has been fishing near the islands, but never visit these islands, the military, let alone the actual control. Now, time continues to fifty years of Japanese occupation near, words, time is very detrimental to China in a matter of time, we can not afford to consume.
Second, the position of Taiwan, the Diaoyu Islands. Taiwan is China’s Diaoyu Islands dispute affecting an important factor. Although Taiwan is not independent country legally, but under the influence of the ruling Democratic Progressive Party eight years have been a number of dark people, they cling to the doctrine of independence. Deal with these dark sides are on very significant impact on the Diaoyu Islands issue, there is a problem whenever the Diaoyu Islands, the mainland’s only in the distance waiting for the Navy, as the case may be, almost no conflict between Taiwan and the Japanese navy to send the case directly Navy went to help.
of the reasons, apart from the mainland to avoid unnecessary military conflicts in Japan, another important reason is fear of the dark green island who post inappropriate comments, made adverse action. For example, in 2009, Taiwan’s navy and the Japanese naval confrontation, the former DPP legislator Caiqi Fang overreaching, that the Diaoyu Islands is Japan’s territory.
is not Taiwan’s ruling Democratic Progressive Party is now, but they still have great influence in Taiwan; and we are most worried about is that the DPP once again came to power, the ruling Democratic Progressive Party government with a territorial exchange with the Japanese “sovereignty”, that the DPP government recognizes the Diaoyu Islands are Japanese territory, the establishment of Taiwan is a sovereign country of Japan.
because the delicate nature of cross-strait relations, there is a problem whenever the Diaoyu Islands, the mainland, one can not directly send troops through the Taiwan Strait; second is worried about taking action will cause adverse reactions in Taiwan. If Taiwan and the mainland together, then the disputes on the Diaoyu Islands in China the situation will be greatly changed. Currently, the Ma administration has not set up obstacles on the Diaoyu Islands issue, and the two sides stand on the Diaoyu Islands issue is more consistent; Unfortunately, the two sides on this issue is not substantive cooperation. One reason, naturally a few discerning minds.
Third, Japan has the backing of the United States.
American play on the Diaoyu Islands issue of the role is not an option, the first issue of the Diaoyu Islands will have a reason why, for historical reasons is to allow the U.S. to Japan secretly. The second is far, U.S. policy toward Japan over the Diaoyu Islands who still acquiesce. If there are no covert U.S. support for Japan’s spine straight so how could cobalt? U.S. support for Japan’s actions reason is very simple, first, the Chinese navy to blockade the sea depth; the second is to involve China, so China can not concentrate on economic development and the third is through the sharing of Japan on the Diaoyu Islands in China collected on the marine and naval intelligence, further understanding of China’s marine and navy; fourth in the event of conflict or war with China in the case, you can borrow the Diaoyu Islands.
Despite the recent U.S. announcement, with Japan over the Diaoyu Islands is not within the An Baofan; but familiar American people know, on the one hand, the United States is the world’s most bad faith of State; the other hand, as Japan’s military ally, In the United States and Japan can never be a military conflict due to the Diaoyu Islands issue, when nothing.
put aside when the United States would make military conflict did not say how to react, even in public opinion, the United States, the leading barometer of the state of world opinion, because of its special relationship with Japan, because of its concerns about China’s rise and growth, it also published in the issue can not be any comments could be beneficial to China. Although public opinion is not a fundamental means to solve the problem, but public opinion in the importance of solving problems in the era of globalization must not be overlooked, who ignored who passively.
Fourth, the lack of Chinese naval power.
Last year, the Chinese Navy was founded six years at sea parade may be held for China’s many military fans happy one, because in the course of the parade, they usually can not see see a lot of advanced naval equipment; also see since the establishment of the Chinese Navy has made great progress. But we must understand that the Chinese navy starting late. Sixty years ago we have a relatively regular, real navy, naval equipment, however, that time is very poor. In contrast, the 1920s Japan had been an aircraft carrier.
ordinary people in China now, China should still argue there should not be an aircraft carrier, also has been speculation that China is not an aircraft carrier. China is indeed one of the few countries that have strategic nuclear submarines; other naval vessels, but the strength of China is not optimistic. Perspective on the current situation, a nuclear war between major powers is unlikely, even in the event of war between great powers, it may just be limited in conventional weapons contest. Although the Chinese navy to the Gulf of Aden to escort a certain extent on the exercise of our navy long voyages, but that is only the beginning; Chinese naval power and naval history of Japan and the United States and other countries over a hundred years, compared strength is still very different.
Fifth, the fear of China threat theory.
Although to some extent, the China threat theory is a good thing, because it shows from the side of China’s rapid development; but it is more a result of the deterioration of China’s international environment. In particular, are special such as China country: big country around everywhere at the same time, a small country on the one hand and the other big countries formed a military alliance to seek to find safety, among other small countries to strengthen cooperation and coordination.
Without a stable surrounding environment; no good around the relationship, such as China rise of emerging countries, it is difficult to guarantee stability. If China is to take tough measures in the East, at least as important as the South China Sea and the Diaoyu Islands, it will deal with more complex; because the South China Sea Islands more countries involved, international relations and the situation is more complicated and confusing. All kinds of China threat theory has made China a very passive in the international arena; if properly take further measures will only exacerbate this situation and could not ease.
rise of great powers has always been in the bush rather than on the broad road completed. In the face of so many negative factors on the issue of the Diaoyu Islands (South China Sea can not be optimistic), the Chinese government go from here, I believe the vast majority of Chinese people are very concerned about, or even the vast majority of overseas Chinese and overseas Chinese are concerned.
No country will automatically retire in territorial disputes, disputes in the South China Sea in Vietnam completed its efforts in making last-ditch struggle, not to mention the strength of the weak and rebellious than the Japanese, Chinese do. Strength of only the problem of territorial waters and territorial disputes, the prerequisite and guarantee, how to solve, but also on the relevant state leaders and decision makers of wisdom, do not think that all problems can be solved with the strength. Timing, location, and the ‘day’, its importance can never be ignored.
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