Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

Huangyan Island

Japan’s Foreign Scholar magazine’s website on May 14, the original question: the Philippines, why dare to compete with China

in the military, the Philippines is absolutely not the Chinese opponent. But it is not flinch in the South China Sea for historical reasons. China’s Huangyan Island confrontation small Asian country, the formation of “effective coercion and deterrence”. Does not mean that Southeast Asian countries in the South China Sea dispute will despair, and automatically quickly surrendered.

military superiority can not ensure that the wartime victory, not to mention the peace during the dispute. Power in the competition to occupy a favorable situation. But weak country is not no way. Manila could hope to consume the advantage of Beijing’s worth a try. This sounds a bit familiar? Since the 19th century since the Opium War, China in every military conflict in the weak side, but the most important struggle to win the final victory.

David and Goliath concept for a long time. The two sides deadlocked refused and the intruder Carthaginian commander Hannibal to a decisive battle, the Roman rulers fee known as the “delay the home side and eventually defeating each other. Similar British naval theorist Sir Julian Corbett recommended that the admiral, “active defense” in the adverse circumstances, waiting for reinforcements, and to seek allies, or a variety of strategies to consume the enemy forces, the situation in the final reversal and emerge victorious.

Chinese people since ancient times at delaying tactics. Such as Corbett, Mao Zedong its persistent strategy known as the “active defense”. Mao pointed out that the 1930s had occupied most of China’s armed forces have inherent advantages. Vast territory and abundant human potential power into the available military strength is needed is time.

leaders of the Philippines, these are they expected to win the precedent of the Huangyan Island diplomatic victory. Head-on battle in the Philippines almost no chance of winning. Vulnerable countries, Manila, you can resort to the law and be able to change the situation of the external forces.

Nevertheless, Manila is still in an extremely unfavorable dilemma. Why an open provocation to China has a strong position? “History of the Peloponnesian War” by Thucydides that “fear, honor and interests of the three most intense motivation to promote social action. In his book, Athens messenger leader Milos Island, when the interests of both sides in conflict, “the strong voluntary act of the weak was bound to punish”. Still admit defeat without any reinforcement of Milos was the massacre of the Athenians.

fear, honor and interests of a small country such as Milos, and the Philippines to face such as Athens and Chinese superpower. But Beijing can not count on the Philippines because they only consider the relative strength of surrender. Philippine leaders to beg for foreign support, they also know that Milos option. ▲ (James Holmes, Wang Kuaicong translation)

reported:

Philippine Deputy collectively referred to as the Huangyan Island and difficult to resolve should be together with China development

Philippines users said that the government can not represent the people on the Huangyan Island

the scholars

said solve the Huangyan Island, the Philippines, the deadlock is not necessarily anti-war is not

our country will be fishing moratorium period in the Huangyan Island fishing boats fishing Philippine law enforcement

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