Russian experts say that China does not have any attack on the Russian plan
inherited a Soviet nuclear arsenals of Russia’s nuclear forces have a strong force
China threat theory really exist?
Sino-Russian economic cooperation is far from being as fast as expected. One reason is that Russia itself has economic structure and the eastern part of economic vulnerability. China and Russia is still the framework of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization, under the regional cooperation in Central Asia. This organization in China to vigorously promote Chinese activities in the framework of the organization actively.
Western influential politician of Sino-Russian widening and deepening of cooperation demonstrated the dissatisfaction and unrest. In order to safeguard their own interests and undermine the process, the West long ago began to worry about, and want Russia has begun to worry about the “China threat theory”. These people are the most typical is Zbigniew Brzezinski, in a book he wrote, in addition to cooperation with Western Russia does not have more choices, “If Russia wants to preserve the most important thing in their own territory. It can be said without the help of Western Russia, Siberia, the possession will not last long.
but in fact the possession of Russia’s Siberia will be forever: this point can not be any doubt. However, Russia should not be alone, but to cooperate with neighboring countries to develop the vast expanse of Siberia, the Far East and northern coastal areas. Russia does not have any necessary and may be recommended as Solzhenitsyn could not accept Siberia and northeast by the “either from Europe or from the south of the country are distant continent” to national attention and national activities of the center transformation. Russia the right to ignore their own country in northeastern Russia’s development and prosperity can bring to the development of the region’s wealth tax. The the
Unfortunately, outside the United States and Western in Russia there are many analysts, politicians, and geo-politicians in an irresponsible manner, a different theory calls the “China threat theory” to frighten Russia audience. One of the more popular newspapers – “Independent Military Review, named Alexander, author of over 10 articles on the” China threat theory “. His articles always this type of vocabulary for the title: “Beijing Tigers soon skip to the” near abroad – the future of the military superpower, Russia occupied by China is inevitable. “,” Moscow is still facing a severe Select “,” China is preparing for a nuclear war “. These authors have been trying to explain the fact that China has too many heavy internal problems only through external expansion to solve the easiest solution is to invade Siberia and Kazakhstan. “China has developed to such a stage,” Alexander to believe it, China is already so strong, finding living space through the use of force. On the other hand, China’s a very serious internal problems and external expansion, then you need to transfer these contradictions. Some military experts have repeatedly said: “If the external expansion, China will not be able to survive the most favorable direction of the expansion of Russia, Central Asia, Kazakhstan can not exclude the possibility of Chinese military expansion.”  in accordance with Alexander’s view, Russia is only one choice – China’s peaceful expansion, or China’s military expansion. This conclusion is not only too pessimistic, is wrong. Attack on a nuclear power like Russia, is tantamount to suicide, China has no plan in this regard.
course, no one can stop China to build a strong economic, political, and military capabilities. I have no doubt, after 10-15 years, China will become the world’s most powerful military economies. Russia only with such a huge and rapidly developing countries are neighbors, we must learn to cooperate with China to cooperate in various fields, including the construction of railways and other infrastructure. Russia’s foreign investment is very interested in, but not enough to absorb and utilize. However, compared with the West, China, Japan, South Korea, interest in eastern Russia is more intense. Therefore, close does not become a new source of threat, but Russia’s new competitive advantage. All of these reasons to worry about China’s expansion to Siberia and the Far East are usually for one fact: China has a population of over 1.3 billion population of Siberia and the Far East has dropped from 29 million in 1990 to 26.3 million . In order to reverse this demographic trends, require decades of time and a great deal of funds. Therefore, economists and demographers believe that the introduction of labor from Central Asia and China is desirable.
China’s population output has continued in 1000, the main direction is Southeast Asia. Chinese immigrants in the western United States than immigrants in eastern Russia. In recent decades, Chinese immigrants direction of Australia and New Zealand, has nothing to do with Russia. Came to Russia’s Siberia and the Far East, China and came to the United States, Canada, Australia, South America, the people of China, the latter for permanent residency. The Chinese who came to Russia’s central region and the Volga River are regularly just to earn wages, not with family members. Many centuries ago, the Chinese had developed the area north of the Great Wall. But they stop at the Heilongjiang and Ussuri River basin, there is no further northward migration. China Heilongjiang, Jilin, Inner Mongolia, adjacent to the Heilongjiang River valley in the three regions of more than 70 million people in 2003. In accordance with the plan in Beijing, China in the coming decades will northern migration of 6000-8000 people. However, China will not be to develop the grasslands of Mongolia, Kazakhstan and southern Siberia, the cold zone. 1000 years ago overpopulation, but has not been to Siberia, but Russia came to this vast area. The generation of the Chinese civilization, precisely because they have year-round farming land. The development of Siberia, the Russian immigrants occupied the northeast of Europe and the Ural region accustomed to the cold. In the second half of the 19th century, unable to develop Alaska, Russia began to develop Sakhalin. The border line between the two countries today is an internationally recognized, whether in Russia or in China, people still remember the lessons of this tragedy of the Treasure Island conflict.
China does not have any of Russia’s war plans, even if only in theory. China and Russia are two big countries with powerful nuclear arsenal, and no one is able to bear the consequences of the conflict.
is worth noting that China’s expansion of Russia’s population has never happened before, not just the last ten years. According to the agreement as early as during the First World War, had about 500,000 Chinese laborers working in Russia. In Siberia and the Ural region, involved in the construction of Murmansk port, the construction of the railway to the port from 彼得罗扎沃 Trask. After the 1917 revolution, most of them returned to China. According to the census of 2002, 34600, long-term residence in Russia, China, 148,500 ethnic Koreans, Vietnamese 26,200 Japanese 835 . The National People’s Congress on temporary contracts in business and agriculture in Russia is roughly more than 1 million and not more than 50-60 million illegal immigrants from China. This figure is far lower than the illegal immigrants in Uzbekistan and Tajikistan.
the past 20 years the most important threat is not from China, but the Russian government neglect of the region. We can say, East Siberia and the Far East has been significantly degraded. This policy has improved in the last five years, but changes are still not fast enough. China has developed rapidly to become the most powerful nation in Asia, even in the near future will become the most powerful country in the world. All of Russia, on the whole of Asia, even Europe is beneficial because it prevents the intent of the United States dominate the world. Russia and China must develop an independent and friendly partnership.
China will reduce the purchase of weapons from Russia, like China, a country must learn to manufacture a variety of modern weapons. However, China will increase imports of raw materials, energy from Russia. Russia from China imported consumer goods, but should also be gradually set up joint ventures in the country. Not only to the production of a variety of light industrial products in accordance with the logic of the international division of labor, but also produced the influential Russian products. The the
Russia should expand cooperation with China on humanitarian issues in the coming decades, Russia, China will become an important partner than Europe.
must be in Russia’s greater efforts to promote Chinese language learning and research. In Russia is very low level of research in China, we do not know very well what is happening in China, such a rapid development of the huge country.
(Roy Maide Wei Jeff: well-known Soviet historian and Soviet holding different political views in the exercise of the Democratic Socialist faction “of the representative figure of the the Maide Wei Jeff 1956 the Communist Party of the Soviet Union in 1969 for writing about Stalin’s “Let history judge,” a book to be expelled from the party in 1989 to restore the Soviet Communist Party from the party from 1989 to 1991,, Maide Wei Jeff served as the representative of the Soviet people, the CPSU Central Committee members. Li Guanqun: Central Compilation and Translation Bureau)
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