Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

1 on 5, rescued the crew and soldiers to embrace Iran

Strait drill

same block

6 Fars news agency quoted Rear Admiral Fa Dawei as saying: ‘Revolutionary Guard Navy next month in the Strait of Hormuz and the Persian Gulf to hold another, code-named “Great Prophet 7 ‘large-scale exercise. “

Fada Wei also claimed that the military exercises next month will be” different from the past. ” As for what kind of different, Fada Wei did not elaborate, but he stressed: “Today, Iran’s full control of the area, control area all action.”

In addition, according to Iran’s Press TV 7 reported that Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard has begun in the eastern 6 border area with Afghanistan, codenamed as “co-martyrs,” the military exercise. Revolutionary Guards commander Mohammad Pa Ke Puer Army stressed that the main objective of this exercise is to defend the Iranian border security, improve the ability to prepare for the Revolutionary Guards Army, the Revolutionary Guards Army training in a variety of tactical and strategic asymmetric war.

Fada Wei claimed that the exercise is “great prophet” part of series of military exercises.

some analysts to judge, although the United States and other Western countries put pressure on Iran can still find a market for exports of crude oil. But, Iran had provided “a great discount.” In Iran, outside observers on whether Iran would close the Strait of Hormuz, a comprehensive analysis. Some analysts judge, even if Iran closed the Strait, and time will not last long, probably no more than a few days.

analysts say that if Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz, the United States and other countries will then be reaction, thereby enabling the two sides in military and economic aspects of direct confrontation. Compared with direct close the Straits, to engage in military exercises near the Strait seems to be more effective, equivalent to the “temporary blockade.”

U.S. Naval War College professor Nicholas Gewo Sijie Fu said: “They can produce a wide range of damage … … but it depends on how much they are willing to bear the pain.”

Gewo Sijie Fu that would close the Strait of Hormuz is Iran’s “last resort”, “compared to the action, they are more likely to threaten.” UK security consulting firm Janus analyst Henry Wilkinson agreed 格沃斯杰夫 point of view. He said Iran threatened to close the Strait of Hormuz at the economic level are more likely to put pressure on the West, the Western countries in terms of economic sanctions against Iran, there are differences.

the United States to exercise HMS rotations

seems to be tit for tat with Iran, the Israeli military said the evening of 5, will be held with the United States Code as “a serious challenge 12 “joint missile defense exercise routine. Agence France-Presse quoted a written response to the military report: “exercise includes an abstract, event simulation and field training, not the real world response to the events.”

“U.S. European Command and the Israel Defense Forces Israel held a regular periodic exercises, long-term strategic partnership between the two countries as part of “the military said,” These exercises advance planning is a routine part of their training, aimed at improving bilateral defense system interoperability. “

the party did not explain the specific exercise time. Israeli media reports, the exercises may be held in the spring, will be the largest exercise between the two countries so far.

last year, Iran and Israel escalating war of words. Israel said that increase the likelihood of military attack on Iran, Israel, Iran, covering a range of places, “Shahab-3″ missiles as a bargaining chip to respond.

Meanwhile, Britain announced the Type 45 destroyer “brave” was set at 11, left Portsmouth Harbour, to the Gulf waters rotations. “Brave” was intended by the Suez Canal in Egypt, arrived in the Gulf this month, the rotation deployed there Type 23 frigates. 6, a spokesman for the British Ministry of Defense told the “Daily Telegraph” correspondent, “brave” was stationed in “the Suez Canal to the east is the earlier deployment, complete a routine takeover.”

However, some analysts do not think so, they believe, given the “courage” was equipped with fire and first-rate technology, the British would like to transfer to Iran “important information.”

“Daily Telegraph” reported that “brave” is the strongest British naval firepower, one of the most advanced warships, cost about 10 billion pounds ($ 1.5 billion). It is a displacement of 8,000 tons, can carry 190 crew, equipped with the “Sampson” radar and “sea snake”-type missiles, and featuring an equipment “Seagull” anti-ship missiles, “Lynx” helicopters.

oil embargo countries tangle

in sanctions, Japan and South Korea came from the news seems to be detrimental to Iran, according to reports, South Korea is seeking other crude oil supply channels open in response to the U.S. government imposed pressure to stop buying Iranian crude oil.

However, Japan and South Korea to open up other sources of supply of crude oil the key challenges facing it is difficult to find alternative channels. Saudi Arabia is the only stage in the global oil supply situation paralyzed the country to increase production significantly, but if the European Union embargo on Iran, Europe, the demand for Saudi crude oil will also increase. French bank Societe Generale, said oil analyst 迈克威特纳, if the oil embargo on Iran in Europe, the UK North Sea Brent oil price will rise to $ 125 a barrel; If Japan and South Korea to join the embargo, oil prices will rise to $ 150 a barrel.

while Japan and South Korea’s efforts to diversify the supply of crude oil, but analysts say Iran’s crude oil exports 75% of exports in Asia, which will continue to play the biggest buyer of Iranian crude oil, and not obey the command of the United States.

Iran as a major importer of crude oil, India is also facing pressure to reduce the purchase of Iranian oil. Indian Foreign Secretary 兰詹马塔伊 said that Iran is essential for India’s energy security, the United States to understand India’s position.

fact, not only Japan and South Korea and India tangled soil, the European Union is not monolithic, November 4, some EU diplomats said EU member states have agreed in principle on the Iranian oil embargo agreement. However, the EU Foreign and Security Policy High Representative Paddy Ashdown’s spokesman Michael Mann subsequently denied the claim.

Some analysts believe that the EU sanctions camp may join in self-defeating, because crude oil prices likely to heavily indebted euro zone member states face greater pressure. 6, some European diplomats said, in response to the debt crisis in Europe, the European Union will be a few months after the Iran oil embargo.

U.S. rescue

Iraq do not appreciate it

Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar · Salish 5 with Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmed Davutoglu met, then held a press conference, announced that Iran is prepared with the United States, Britain, France, Russia, China and the six-nation talks in Germany. He said, “I personally believe that Turkey is negotiating the best place.”

EU Foreign and Security Policy High Representative Catherine Ashton previously suggested that the choice of Turkey as a venue for negotiations, Turkey has agreed.

lower profile in Iran for negotiations, a timely and to the episode is also quite interesting: U.S. Navy 6 announced that the U.S. had just left the Persian Gulf, “John Basten Nice” aircraft battle groups in the Arabian Sea on the 5 rescued 13 Somali pirates hijacked the Iranian hostages.

Iranian Foreign Ministry on the 7th of the U.S. military to rescue the Iranian hostages “welcome”, but efforts to play down the impact. Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi said it was the U.S. “humanitarian gesture” unrelated to state relations.

Interestingly, the Iranian navy began last December 24 held in the waters in southern Iraq 10-day large-scale military exercises, during which it is “John Basten Nice” aircraft carrier battle group was sent to Persian Gulf and through the Strait of Hormuz, Iran has been warned.

official statement at the same time, Iranian media lukewarm, and even issued a challenge. Semi-official Fars news agency worded. The news agency said: “basically said, in the Arabian Sea and Gulf of Aden trade from pirates in the hands of rescue ships and fishing boats, is completely normal thing, while a U.S. helicopter from the outset, recording under the rescue operation, so that the look up like in a particular location, with a particular actor’s Hollywood drama, which shows that Americans want to publish events through the media, portrayed as the savior of American warships image. “

Fars News Agency said the Iranian Navy had previously helped the crew of other countries, such as last April in the waters off southwestern Pakistan a group of pirates, thwarting their attempt to hijack oil tanker, but Iran has not released the news. Today, the U.S. high-profile rescue, is to “prove the existence of the carrier in the Persian Gulf waters reasonable.”

seems to be a coincidence, Iran’s Atomic Energy Organization 席费雷敦阿巴西 Dawa Ni 7, announced that Sherlock multi-core facilities will be operational. Faure latest multi-core facilities are completed Iran’s uranium enrichment facilities. The facility with uranium enrichment capability, can produce purity concentration of 3.5%, 4% and 20% of the uranium.

In diplomacy, Iran is also trying to find a breakthrough, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad – Ahmadinejad’s visit to Latin America, 4 8, left the country. Some analysts believe that the face of Western economic sanctions pressure on Iran expected to consolidate the relationship with these Latin American allies.

before departure from the country, Ahmadinejad said, this time to visit all countries’ resistance to American oppression “and advocated” anti-colonialism. ” Ahmadinejad said that Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez is “heroic resistance to oppression”; Nicaraguan President Daniel Ortega is leading a “revolution in Iran as the revolution.”

the situation in Iran continues to lumpy. Military is still the swords: Israel will hold joint military exercises with the United States, Iran’s military also announced that next month will be re-drill the Strait of Hormuz, the British were “brave,” the destroyer is scheduled for 11 rotations to the Gulf waters; foreign seems to be on the slightest warmth: Iran ready to restart nuclear 5, said negotiations, the same day, the U.S. military is very “happened” to rescue from the hands of pirates 13 Iranian hostages. However, Iran 7, not only in the “welcome” at the same time focus on “cool” and “do not play gooseberry” to announce new nuclear facilities will be put into operation. Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad went to Latin America, 8, is left to seek allies to help.

Iran’s recent vicissitudes, its wonderful fully comparable to Hollywood movies. But, in fact, all the play in high-wire act, and the world is this pinched the cold sweat.

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