Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

” Guangzhou “and the U.S. Navy guided missile destroyer,” Chamberlain Lake “cruiser. Xinhua News Agency reporters Cha Chun and Ming She

Author: Long Tao Foundation of China Energy Strategy Analyst

Following Vietnam, the United States and South China Sea and the Philippines in military exercises, huh. As usual, both sides declared Cidiwuyin exercise is not aimed at China. In my opinion this is very boring: those small claws presumptuous of China, while the U.S. cowards in the South China Sea, initiate military conflict with China.

First of all, no war, no U.S. strategic aim of the South China Sea.

United States is not a party to the Asian maritime disputes, why is it so actively involved? This is the decision of the U.S. global strategy. Over the years, it is the global strategic management by local checks and balances. In Asia, the United States has successfully provoked China and Japan, and India is not and, they interfere with the situation in the Taiwan Strait, create tensions in the Korean peninsula. But the United States feel that this is not enough to prevent interference with China’s development, so he wanted to start up the Southeast Asian countries to China asking for trouble.

not only in the South China Sea, on the whole of Asia, the United States the most promising situation is this: the controversy is neither the country and not war, tangled into a ball, all help each other to help the United States, the United States boon. America’s most worried about the danger of being party to break the balance, as the United States would be forced to choose sides. Regardless of which side the United States, it is a price to pay.

Therefore, the United States in the South China Sea, the same as mine trip, carefully test the bottom line of China’s strategy. As long as China does not drew Sword, pushing it a little bit of small countries like the Philippines to move forward. Once the Chinese reacted strongly to the United States will immediately stop. United States will never promise that a small country on China’s provocation, to the extent caused by China’s military back on its own and certainly do not want to get involved.

Second, the United States has not launched the “new” war effort.

aside U.S. “smart power” of the play aside, the current situation on the United States is like the Chinese use of force in the South China Sea, it is not the “strength”: 20 consecutive years War has been “tired” out of the financial crisis. Unrest in Libya in early 2011, although the United States entered the war, but the weakness clear, always doing my part for the war leadership “defer again.” Obama is not more peace-loving than the former, but of circumstance.

now, the U.S. financial crisis has not yet turned around, the debt crisis erupted in Europe, which makes it difficult to recover the short term the United States. No money, all-metal case of the U.S. military is a turn off the machine. The sudden rise of the “occupation of Wall Street” movement sweeping the country, but also to the White House is reluctant to start a new war.

Third, the U.S. is more afraid of “Sino-US relations failure” ruin the results of the Cold War.

in China, emphasizing the importance of Sino-US relations a lot of people; but the Chinese Americans who ignore the importance of Sino-US relations. China attaches importance to China-US relations, of course, is to win the peace and development time; and management of the global aim of the United States, Sino-US relations from the world’s attention to the overall look of stability. China is the focus of the United States, focus groups is the world’s rising powers such as Brazil, India, Indonesia, Russia, the political perspective of the width of the big difference. China-US relations if the instability, not only two countries in all aspects of society will be overturned, the United States, the world’s overall strategy will be hell broke loose. The United States needs priority attention to those potential strategic rivals, it will take the opportunity to rise, the U.S. will fall into a loss of a critical situation.

Therefore, despite the numerous problems of Sino-US relations, but both sides have their own interests are to grasp the scale. U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton recently published “America’s Pacific Century,” a text, in the next decade on the U.S. strategic focus to the Asia-Pacific exposition, she said, “Sino-US relations can not fail”, the true meaning of which is the Sino-US military confrontation can not go the point. Otherwise, the United States, the world’s imperial ambitions will be ruined. Achievements of the Korean War in Japan, in the event of war the South China Sea, the achievements of Russia.

In fact, the drawing of the current U.S. approach is a strategy of psychological warfare. After the Cold War, the United States playing in the international arena, “the faint of heart”, always put myself not to compromise attitude, forcing the other to avoid direct collision and concessions. In the Cuban missile crisis in the United States have tasted the sweetness of the Soviet retreat, the U.S. repeatedly with sticks and carrots policy has enjoyed in the world. Now, the United States and around China teaching small countries play this dangerous game. China’s determination to die with fear to tell each other, in the South China Sea, this game must end, otherwise hit hit to see!

China advocates a harmonious world, but this idea is being malicious use of the United States and other countries, China’s foreign policy as a tool for extortion. China should change their thinking, others have repeatedly pressed the case, then no need to “firm” position to uphold peace, to let others speak for the sum of Chinese words. As long as China was a strong sense, must have a strong force, more likely, those with the highest consideration of their own security interests of countries, from off neglect, juggling the idea of ??China, back to the good with the neighbors the right track. ▲ (author of Chinese Energy Fund Board strategist)

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