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U.S. think tank, said India and other countries can only have no choice but to face China’s rise

Date:2011-10-10Author:adminCategory:International militaryComment:0

资料图:中国海军舰艇编队航行 information Figure: Chinese naval fleet sailed

According to the United States, “Eurasia Review Network” think tank, published October 4, “South Asia Analysis Group” (SAAG) The article said that China in the Asia Pacific region’s strategic emphasis on cooperation, but When it comes to territorial issues, it will be tough.

U.S. think tank, the article said, with China’s strategy in East Asia, for example, Since 2010, Beijing in the United States arms sales to Taiwan, Diaoyu Islands and the United States Han Huanghai exercise and other hard-line stance on the issue shows . Beijing said the country should “respect each other’s core interests and understand each other’s strategic interests”; and advocate “shelving disputes and seeking common development”, to strengthen bilateral cooperation in this region and regional cooperation.

U.S. think tank The article said that China plays an important role in Southeast Asia (China and India have an interest in the crossover region), because it is the key driver of regional development. In economic terms, its performance is very good, particularly that of ASEAN to establish close trade relations. China and ASEAN signed in 2010, China – ASEAN free trade agreement, and much of this regional cooperation. In 2002, China signed the “Declaration of Action South China Sea,” but the declaration does not have legal effect, which significantly increased action to excuse the Chinese. There is no doubt that China and Southeast Asian nations in the ASEAN Regional Forum (July 23, 2011 in Bali) to accept a set of “guidelines” to better implementation of the 2002 “Declaration” does not means that China’s fundamental stance of the change, but more like a temporary and flexible strategy in China. East and Southeast Asia in China’s strategy, we should also consider another important phenomenon: the role of the United States in the region changes. U.S. President Barack Obama and Hillary have declared “the United States to return to Asia”, it is clear strategic focus is the United States from the Middle East to East Asia. The alliance between Japan and South Korea Washington to inject new vitality; the United States and Singapore have successfully formed a strategic partnership relationship. Meanwhile, the US-Vietnam relations and Washington’s relationship with Indonesia is worth noting.

U.S. think tank, the article said, the fundamental position of the Sino-US differences, which affect the development of the strategic environment in East Asia. United States issues at the Diaoyu Islands, “US-Japan Security Treaty” under the protection of which is considered a serious provocation to Beijing. Although in order to avoid angering China, Obama does tend to clear position. The second example is the United States that the South China Sea territorial disputes should be resolved through multilateral mechanisms; and China have opposed. Another point is that ASEAN is not bent on China: Myanmar relies heavily on Chinese aid; Malaysia and Singapore hope the U.S. can peaceful coexistence; but Vietnam, Indonesia and the Philippines to China as a major political, economic and military power of the short-term and long-term impact of that alert.

U.S. think tank, said the article, it seems that China does not welcome the intervention of India in Southeast Asia; against India and Vietnam in the South China Sea oil exploration activities is a good example. Beijing is also on the integration process in East Asia, India, play a major role in reservations, it is that India, Australia and New Zealand are the “foreign”; China’s policy is that this process should lead ASEAN and Japan and South Korea. To address this difference, New Delhi and Beijing should be a bilateral exchange. India should also work with Japan, South Korea and ASEAN countries to establish a stable relationship, these countries have welcomed India’s participation in the regional cooperation. China – ASEAN Free Trade Area of ??the benefits is far from India has recently signed similar agreements with other countries can and the service sector is still not included in the India – ASEAN Free Trade Area in the agreement; India needs to bridge the gap. In addition, India in the protection of sea lanes to provide capacity building assistance; India and ASEAN countries can also be found in many non-traditional security cooperation in the field. As China’s strategy in other surrounding areas, like China in South Asia is also based on Beijing’s domestic development strategy of “peace around the” needs. Since the late seventies, Beijing’s consider a gradual change in the region to maintain peace in the surrounding environment.

U.S. think tank The article said that in addition to “peaceful surrounding” factors, the rise of India also contributed to a change in Chinese strategy in South Asia. Evidence Beijing is willing to establish with India for peace and prosperity of strategic partnership, signed a similar “on resolving the border agreement on political guiding principles” and “common vision of the 21st century” and other agreements, stable relations with New Delhi. China has not to India as a threat, and vice versa, then India is not China as a threat. Beijing has risen to world-India level, the Chinese realized that cooperation with India to resolve the WTO, climate change, global financial system, global issues such as UN reform is necessary. To a certain extent, China and India in recent years on some issues, more and more common interests; in effect, the Sino-Indian relations greatly improved. In addition, there are some factors that affect China’s policy toward South Asia; including the boycott of the United States “surround strategy”, the economic development of border regions, with South Asian countries to strengthen cooperation in energy exploration, oil transportation in the Indian Ocean to protect security, access to other State of the “one China” policy support, and ensure that countries in South Asia and anti-terrorism cooperation on regional issues. Chinese and Indian governments have played down their differences, the Indian Prime Minister, Special Envoy of the July 2010 visit to China, Beijing to New Delhi said they would respect each other’s “core interests and major concerns.” Chinese Foreign Ministry said bilateral exchanges did not receive individual issues impact; India also held the same view, sending a high-level delegation to Beijing. India, however, executives have been that China is becoming strong in South Asia. Indian Prime Minister said, “China is ready to find a foothold in South Asia, we have to face this reality. Strong performance of China in other ways, but will be difficult to understand how to develop.” Indian Defense Minister commented that “China is increasingly tough It is improving the military in border areas and infrastructure. “

U.S. think tank, the article said, there is no doubt that China’s hard-line since 2009 led to its balanced policy toward South Asia questioned. China in the Sino-Indian border has taken a tough stance, China’s growing insistence of southern Tibet, China’s territorial claims against Indian Prime Minister to visit the region to resolve the border issue between the two countries seems in sight. So far, representatives of both countries have conducted 14 rounds of border talks, but no substantial progress. Chinese experts as the border issue as “imperialism” of the estate, against the McMahon Line. Both sides agreed that the border issue is very complex and require long-term efforts. China and Pakistan to further consolidate the “all-weather” partnership, and now, China is building through the Indian-controlled Kashmir, connecting China and Pakistan’s road and rail projects. It is reported that Chinese engineering troops in the Indian-controlled Gilgit – Baer Ti Stan areas; India expressed concern. Moreover, as Beijing is strengthening in other neighboring countries of India’s strategic presence. It is trying to Gwadar port construction and other infrastructure in South Asia, although not formally classified as strategic resources and trade routes core interests, China’s presence in the Indian Ocean has become increasingly important. New Delhi construction in neighboring countries worry that China’s potential military applications port.

U.S. think tank The article said that China will by strengthening the strategic relationship with Pakistan to contain India in South Asia to dominate it? China has a well-known scholar, said the current policy is in India to dominate South Asia; they do not pay attention to other South Asian country’s “strategic autonomy” demand. China’s South Asia policy objectives will be to maintain regional balance of power, and all South Asian countries to achieve the strategic autonomy. India’s strategic autonomy should not be to the detriment of his country’s strategic autonomy as a precondition, India must change its policies, so that other countries accept their dominance. Overall speaking, China to India to take a double-dealing. On the one hand, “the 21st century partnership” has matured, the negotiation mechanism on border issues, military exchanges have been established. China in the Indian power, telecommunications and steel and other aspects of infrastructure projects under way, the two countries in financial crisis, climate change, such as multi-polar world and the changing North-South dialogue on the issue of cooperation has been established. On the other hand, Beijing is strategically taken a tough stance on India, the result is a lack of trust between the two countries, and it seems irreparable. India’s response to China’s policy change in South Asia? India should realize that China will change its hard-line in the current international economic, diplomatic and military influence in the definition. In such circumstances, India can strengthen economic assistance to neighboring countries to strengthen relations. Pakistan, Nepal, Bangladesh and Sri Lanka to India does not trust them through the development of relations with China to contain India. New Delhi should eliminate these do not trust, and if India is willing to share with the less prosperous neighbors, and this is achievable. At the same time, India should be on the “not enough space to allow the two countries while achieving their own economic development ambitions,” the assessment, to communicate with China. There is no doubt that New Delhi should also take effective measures to deal with China’s overall strategy in South Asia (India, this may violate the long-term interests).

U.S. think tank, said the article, in short, China’s Asian neighbors for the two elements there is a huge contradiction: on the one hand seeking to develop a win-win bilateral relations; the other hand, the territorial issue has taken a tough stance. India, other Asian countries and the United States on the issue of regional stability in interest, for them, no choice but to be prepared to face China’s rise. (Sri Lanka years)

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U.S. think tank, said India and other countries can only have no choice but to face China’s rise

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