Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

3 9, Zhenhai U.S. military bases in South Korea, the U.S. Marine Corps Pacific counter-terrorism security team exercises. Xinhua News Agency/Agence France

Editor’s Note: March 9, code-named “critical decision” of the large-scale joint military exercises in South Korea started the Korean peninsula, North Korea caused a strong reaction. Following this, the rapid escalation of tensions on the peninsula, a great explosive trend.

why the US-ROK military exercise will lead to the escalation of tensions on the Korean Peninsula? This is not a routine exercise? North Korea is overreacting? This week, “Chen Hu Troops” will work with you to concern.

not entirely “normal exercise”

Chen Hu: I think it can not just use “regular exercise” to sum up this place on the Korean Peninsula US-South Korean joint military exercises.

we have seen, many elements of the exercise are well set.

timing is very sensitive to

precisely the time of the exercise and the DPRK Supreme People’s Assembly elections overlap, the timing is quite sensitive. Therefore, the West some of the comments that the US-ROK joint military exercises in the North Korean leadership may desire a change in the critical time to influence North Korea, a show of force.

large-scale military exercises

into the exercise the U.S. troops would only 26,000 people, together with the ROK forces, a total of There are as many as 7,8 million people.

spend a lot of large weapons

exercises use a lot of large weapons, including the largest U.S. nuclear aircraft carrier, “Stennis” No. This is America’s most advanced nuclear aircraft carrier, Nimitz-class belongs to.

news that the United States spent a stealth aircraft, although it can not determine whether participating in the exercise, but the U.S. media have begun to let out.

In addition, the United States ‘Aegis’ combat system destroyer participated in the exercise, and get attention.

Therefore, we can see that this exercise a large scale, high grade.

exercise content “hot”

exercise content designed some very hot action. For example, in the exercise, the U.S. military on a large scale to the “demarcation line” to promote.

the report said, in recent years, U.S. troops have been from the “demarcation line” march retreat, the U.S. military in the “military demarcation line” on less than a battalion.

in the exercise process, tens of thousands of U.S. troops will at once forward to the “demarcation line” in the vicinity. Among them, the range for firing artillery from the “military demarcation line” only a few kilometers. This action is designed to be very “hot”.

North Korea satellite launch: Japan to join the “challenge” ranks

Chen Hu: At the same time, the United States in particular expressed concern about the DPRK’s satellite launch.

North Korea announced plans to launch a satellite in the most recent period. But until the United States claimed that North Korea not to launch satellites but the test “Taepodong” 2 missile, also said that the time will be necessary to intercept missiles. In this exercise, just a considerable amount of capability to intercept ballistic missiles with “Aegis” destroyers participating.

should be said that this action implies a heavy challenge.

the same time, this challenge will mean a strong move to get other aspects of cooperation. Japan says that if North Korea fired over Japan objects may fall in Japan, the object may become targets in Japan. Even the satellite, the Japanese may also be playing.

We know that high-orbit satellites in the process, when flying over the airspace of other countries over the legal height, is permitted by international law. Therefore, this statement is not only Japan’s very tough, and some beyond the conventional.

North Korea South Korea moves extraordinary response to the usual

Chen Hu: North Korea have made a strong response.

3 5 March, the DPRK side said, “(North Korea) had to declare a warning in the military exercises, (North Korea) can not protect the airspace over our airspace in the vicinity, especially near the east coast of North Korea’s Korean airspace the safety of civil aircraft. ”

3 月 9 日 North Korea warned North Korea will all attempt to intercept the satellite’s behavior to be retaliation, interference in its peaceful space activities means war. Meanwhile, a full mobilization of the Korean military also announced to enter the full state of readiness.

North Korea’s response should be quite intense. But I think the DPRK has made such a response has its normal side. A country to express their will, it’s words, language is a habit. In fact, North Korea in response to this incident and its practice has been consistent. South Korea’s move some rather unconventional.

South Korea extraordinary move the message

Chen Hu: South Korea extraordinary move, the message is very rich, but also very complex.

changes in U.S. foreign military strategy

Obama became U.S. president, the United States in terms of foreign military intervention in a fully contracted state. Overall contraction in the U.S. foreign military state in Asia, the Korean peninsula whether there will be a special case, not only on the Korean peninsula with North Korea, South Korea, but also with East Asian countries, all Asian countries are closely related.

U.S. pressure, North Korea against

the U.S. These actions are to some extent, may exert a greater pressure on North Korea. At the same time, North Korea’s attitude that she did not afraid of pressure, not afraid of threats, the courage to adopt tough confrontational policies with the other confrontation.

of Japan to actively participate in

Another point worth noting: in the tensions caused by the exercise event and not just the United States and South Korea, Japan is also involved in some way with the incident.

example, the Japanese launch of North Korea’s attitude on the space flier that Japan is also actively involved in this event.

“accidental discharge” exaggerated

Chen Hu: I think, the more tension in the case, the parties involved in the incident but will become more cautious. Therefore, the inference from the current tension may be “accidental discharge” or a war of words is an exaggeration.

relative to the “accidental discharge” of this situation worry, this tension and high-intensity combat in the future if the situation would have a negative impact on the peninsula? U.S. hard-line move that the future will mean that the United States and Asia, the Korean peninsula is more concerned about some military hot spots, put more power? The answer to these questions may be more “yes” rather than “no.”