Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

Russian expert not long enough while the Russian conventional forces to fight two wars

newspaper freelance writer Peak

According to Russia’s” Independent Military Review “November 26, a reports, the Russian Institute of Political and Military Analysis, deputy director of the Russian Army Chief of Staff Alexander 赫拉姆奇欣 谢尔盖斯科科夫 quoted as saying that Russia is facing the future mainly from the western, southern and eastern military threat The problem is that the Russian military has enough power to deal with it?

enough troops to fight two battles at the same time

According to the Russian Ministry of Defense published the “2009-2012 military reform plan,” after the reform of the Russian Army will be formed standing 85 combat brigades, including 39 synthetic brigade, 21 missiles and artillery brigades, seven air defense brigades, 12 communications brigade, two combat brigades radio, the rest Airborne Brigade. Concern is that if the above three strategic directions of the two simultaneous wars, the Russian ability to cope with it? Reported that, even if all the full tour of all 85 series, and modern weapons and equipment, well-trained soldiers, its strength is still insufficient, because they are studied with the downsizing from a large, fire must be greatly reduced.

Russia’s main strategic direction of the south facing guerrilla threats, mainly by the Ministry of Internal Affairs team is responsible for peacetime, but if the war expanded, still need federal troops to intervene. Guerrilla warfare is generally carried out in the mountains, while the Russian military are only two mountain brigades, is too limited.

strategic direction in the west, the Russian military will face “very aggressive” in NATO. The latter’s military power, the U.S. Army had only 10 divisions, 11 brigades, eight National Guard divisions, 15 brigades, the Marine Corps has four divisions, while the other 27 NATO countries have 24 divisions , 254 brigade and a large number of independent groups, and other units. NATO in Europe a total of 13,000 tanks, 25,000 armored vehicles, 15,500 artillery pieces, Russian conventional military power is insufficient to meet existing such a serious threat.

prepare for the U.S. invasion of the Far East

more analysts said the war with Russia if the United States deliberately, most likely choose from the Far East war. At present, Sakhalin and other places in Russia to deploy only a brigade, the powerful U.S. fleet can be implemented against the Russian Far East coast, the Russian Navy and Air Force can not afford to fight. Dominant in the United States Air Force, the case of Japan and South Korea, the Russian air defense brigade of seven inability to implement effective protection of the army, and lose the protection of Russian anti-aircraft tanks and infantry combat with the enemy in front is not likely to be eliminated.

Russia’s largest neighbors in the Far East China, the number of troops is the absolute advantage. Of course, the possibility of military conflict between China and Russia close to zero, because the two countries have negotiated solution to the territorial dispute.

this situation, the effect of the Russian army reform is questionable. Right now the program is used to respond to the threat a bit of overkill in southern, western and eastern respond to the threat of force and not enough. Therefore, Russia only two choices: First, make every effort to develop nuclear weapons, and announced that even conventional invasion would have been counter-use of nuclear weapons, and to develop air defense forces to cover ground forces; the second is based on the defense guidelines expansion of the Army at least twice, and to strengthen the air defense forces, Army aviation recovery preparation, especially in the Far East should be particularly strengthened artillery force, to restore the preparation of division level, in response to a possible invasion.