Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

recover the Taliban are strong
Zhu’a U.S. technological advantage in the local newspaper almost no contribution to

freelance writer Bixue Tao Tian Jianwei

the eastern United States Time evening of December 1, Obama delivered a speech at West Point, officially announced its new strategy in Afghanistan, said troops in six months will be 30,000, the purpose is “retreating”, and ask NATO allies to also increase sent 5,000 people. However, the program has not been recognized by most Americans, its NATO allies France and Germany, also said it would not send more troops to Afghanistan, only the United Kingdom, said an additional 500 people to show their support.

said that troop withdrawal begin within 18 months

the evening of 1 reported the Associated Press, Obama said in a speech at West Point, surge Afghan war will bring “satisfactory results”, the first Marines deployed to the war before Christmas. Obama said the U.S. goal is “not to provide haven for al Qaeda, we must defeat the Taliban offensive, and to strengthen the Afghan government and its national army forces.” The Associated Press that the surge operation will cost $ 30 billion.

Obama’s surge plan did not even get the full support of Democrats, many of them tend to withdraw as soon as possible, while others worry that the war will expand the public tax increase. Because as of this fiscal year (to October 2010), the United States taxpayer protracted war in Afghanistan and Iraq had paid $ 768.8 billion. According to another Gallup poll showed that only 35% of Americans support the war crushed Obama, 55 percent of that should quickly get out. Obama’s surge strategy in Afghanistan before its release, also requires an additional 5,000 NATO allies. France and Germany have made it clear that it would not deploy any troops to Afghanistan, only the United Kingdom that an additional 500 people.

Maybe Obama knew that the adverse consequences of the war dragging on, he said in his speech, the U.S. military from 2011 withdrawal from Afghanistan in July. However, Republican Senator John McCain said that announcing the withdrawal schedule is a clear signal to the Taliban, that after the withdrawal of U.S. troops can be patient and wait until the large-scale counterattack.

“USA Today” reported 2 Naaobama with Bush’s speech, compared to seven years ago, said the two presidents at the same location of the speech revealed a completely different message. On June 1, 2002, the war in Afghanistan just getting on for six months, Bush said “the U.S. military must have an instant hit in any dark corner of the world’s capacity.” October 7, 2001, the United States launched the war on terror in Afghanistan, just more than a month on the overthrow of the Taliban regime. The current war in Afghanistan has dragged on for more than eight years, have not seen signs of ending, but the Taliban frequently offensive. In fact, Obama’s surge is also chose a last resort, commander of U.S. forces in accordance with Zhu’a Mike Ellis Patel program, the best way is to send more troops to 100,000, the second choice is 70,000, worst of 3.5 million (see newspaper 11 17 May 06 edition of the relevant reports). Obama also announced that the surge will begin withdrawing troops within 18 months, is quite upset, which Bush seven years ago in the same place confidence in the performance of speech is indeed quite different.

“worse than Afghanistan, only the Antarctic”

the U.S. troops will make more than 100,000 troops in A, together with other North about national army, early next year will reach 13.4 million. But the reality is – poor more troops in Afghanistan but also to accommodate it? United States, “Defense Dialogue” Web site reported, in charge of logistics for the U.S. Assistant Secretary of Defense Ashton Carter publicly said, “not even a nail produced” Afghanistan can not afford too large military operations, “Maybe on Earth, more difficult than the war in Afghanistan, where only the Antarctic. “now shrink from about 19,000 U.S. military logistics system faces excessive consumption of resources, external problems such as poor supply channel, has seriously hampered the U.S. military launched a massive campaign of action, had tug of war with the Taliban to form the state.

U.S. and NATO forces now Zhu’a necessary logistical supplies, essential to rely on land transport in Pakistan, accounting for more than 75% of the types of materials first arrived in Ahmedabad by the southern sea port of Karachi, is then installed in the container by truck through Peshawar and the Khyber Pass into Afghanistan. U.S. Central Command put this lines altogether three joints Dianka Lacy, Peshawar and the Khyber Pass, known as “Ka Baer corridor.”

because Russia does not allow NATO to use its airspace transport war materiel, “Ka Baer corridor” so far up to the light to meet the needs of 80,000 NATO troops will be overwhelmed. “Ka Baer corridor” to go through all the Pashtun areas of the world, but local people to the Taliban in Afghanistan has a natural intimacy. U.S. military logistics repeatedly harassing and even armed helicopters and “Humvee” military vehicles have been the Taliban, “received.”

U.S. experts preview the Taliban returned to power

since the end of 2007, the Taliban and Al Qaeda since the joint launch winter campaign, the Afghan government and the United States City lost ground forces continue to lose, even the city of Kandahar have almost no protection. U.S. technological advantage is almost no contribution to the local Taliban has formed a “tribe surrounded the city,” the situation. More importantly, since 2002, the Afghan Taliban fled into the tribal areas bordering with Pakistan, they get an inexhaustible supply of logistics, no matter how much it was hit, can quickly recover.

U.S. “Foreign Policy” magazine October issue carried an article that Stephen Cohen, Brookings Institution expert opinion according to the Pentagon, to simulate the Taliban regain political power, like the United States was forced to as the prospect of withdrawal of the Soviet Union.

according to Cohen predicted that if Pakistan failed to defeat in 2010 the territory of the Taliban forces, chaos will spread to Afghanistan. By then, the Taliban militants in southern Afghanistan is not only controlled, but also active in the northwest Pakistan tribal militants confluence, the formation of South Asia “violence center”, then they continue to move forward in northern Afghanistan’s Amu Darya river basin, the central government in Kabul until the overthrow , and 1996, this route is just the sudden emergence of the Taliban, Afghanistan’s offensive line dominate the line.