Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

U.S. Navy stationed in Japan, “George Washington” aircraft
attack U.S. aircraft carrier battle group diagram

LONDON Dec. 15 message: U.S. Navy Lieutenant, Naval War College Professor of International Law James Claes recently in the latest issue of “World Affairs Journal” published a long article, supposedly China 2015 sea battle with the United States, the United States finally defeated the Chinese Navy, “George Washington” aircraft carrier. The “catastrophic failure” declared the United States in the Pacific 75 years of dominance ended, to determine the Chinese dominance in Asia.

U.S. maritime forces: a reversal?

Klass wrote the opening, over the years, the U.S. Navy’s maritime policy and strategic mistakes, coupled with the power structure of the recession, its defeat in 2015 composed a prelude to the sea. For decades, the PLA has shown double-digit increase in military spending. Emboldened by the globalization of the PLA Navy force structure and combat skills, has undergone enormous changes, from the 1950s-style behind the coastal defense forces into a powerful blue-water fleet. Beijing installed parallel development of a large number of asymmetric weapons, including aircraft carriers to attack the line mobile anti-ship ballistic missiles.

Claes imaginary 2015 Beijing is busy fielding its second aircraft carrier made. “For decades, China has in-depth study of a number of Melbourne, the Australian Navy (HMAS Melbourne (R21)) aircraft carrier, and repair of the three Soviet-made aircraft carrier, the final frame to make good the original Wukelanwa USS – renamed Shi Lang after the number – After several years in the Dalian shipyard in use after renovation. It also has some of the world’s most advanced weapons systems and combat platforms, including a mobile carrier can attack and a medium-range ballistic missile nuclear submarines than the United States also ultra-quiet to quiet diesel-electric submarines, these new sea power, combined with China’s maritime strategy and imaginative ocean policy, so that it can fully support their goal of hegemony East China Sea. “

Klass in a hypothetical the judge, “on a deal that three Chinese aircraft carrier, the U.S. Seventh Fleet command of three aircraft carriers will also from time to time, but which requires scheduling in San Diego, Seattle and the Persian Gulf carrier battle groups of activities between these ships to voyage to the East China Sea need to take several days or weeks, assuming the United States has set its broad distribution of time to deal with a single enemy ship, then 14:1 advantage of the sea is not empty words. ” “313 warships plan” eventually aborted, the United States are more inclined to build a team of 11 search aircraft carriers, 88 cruisers and destroyers, 48 ??submarines, 55 combat ships and 31 coastal amphibious fleet consisting of ships.

“However, these forces are widely distributed throughout the world, responsible for performing various complex chaotic task in this case, assuming that the U.S. Navy needs to maintain military presence in 1.0 – namely, to maintain a warship in the post – then each district will need to deploy three warships, a repair stand, a mission, as well as a mission into the shipyard to accept maintenance. In this way, we can not guarantee 313 ships at any given time 100 ships at sea activities, not to mention the ships will be scattered across the globe. “

Klass also in the hypothetical that” 2015 will reduce the size of the Chinese Navy, only including number of aircraft carriers, 60 submarines and 70 major surface warships, Beijing will spend hundreds of ships offshore patrol vessels, most of which carry anti-ship cruise missiles capable of a vigorous attack. countries such as China will give the country’s naval fleet crisis response force while offshore, the use of land-based missiles and aircraft against the United States. Faced with this situation, the U.S. Navy can only use the power of just war in the region, although naval forces stationed in other areas will be transferred to support, but this it will take to make this new world exposes weaknesses in the national responsibility, and, when reinforcements arrived may have been a few weeks later, when the world stopped fighting, peace talks will mean the agony of war is long over. “

“after the Cold War decades, China has the ability to bridge the gap between the Navy, and even in some areas, its quantity and quality of operational platforms have surpassed the United States, for example, China has focused on large-scale diesel-electric submarine upgrade forces, can effectively reduce the traditional power system operating noise, and the AIP submarines to underwater moving rapidly forward – has greatly expanded the scope of its attacks in China’s 041 million class diesel-electric submarines on the use of AIP technology since 2004 years later, China launched another while several small stealth AIP submarines. Ten years later, the U.S. Seventh Fleet is difficult to say China is not placing him under control. “

” preparing for war and combat skills, the United States Navy, there are also many problems. To make up for the U.S. Army in Iraq and Zhu’a gap, the U.S. military transferred a large number of sailors, led the Navy at sea for several years without training and combat exercises with the U.S. military rank promotion system is increasingly linked to stability and reconstruction operations, rather than excellent performance at sea. a whole generation in a military career officers and noncommissioned officers are the mid-to learn how to play in the Central Asian desert and mountain anti-riot marine, while the Chinese Navy fleet exercises through the elimination of the U.S. Navy’s method of the central commander Department of the ground war in bridging the important gap between means and ends of the time, but then Pacific Command’s naval capability is adversely affected. “

2015 U.S. naval battle: the United States fail?

Klass in the hypothetical that in 2015, the United States can no longer take for granted in the global commons dictate. Vast ocean and the sky above the ocean has to get rid of the powerful U.S. Navy and 75 years of military domination. In the United States is the world’s only superpower era, the Navy had to outflank the enemy’s marine as the world’s largest mobile space. For the U.S. military, the water, air and underwater marine mobility can be known is its cornerstone. Advantage of the United States has also surrounded by sea and to subvert the use of rogue regimes, as in Grenada and Panama from done, use of the marine public domain can be projected onto a large military force the other side of the world, as it did in Vietnam and Iraq done. Decisive force to quickly throw any corner of the world’s unique ability to give the U.S. deterrent and unrivaled military influence.

Claes simulation all of this will change in 2015: “This year, deployed in Yokosuka, Japan U.S. Navy nuclear-powered aircraft carrier George Washington, sank in the East China Sea in the accident, U.S. soldiers die in a total of 4000, eight carrier-based aircraft crashed in the eight years after deployment to Yokosuka base, the final fall of the carrier in the Pacific. not just sinking the aircraft carrier changed the balance of naval power in Asia, has opened a Beijing new international order to replace the U.S. chapter. “

process for naval warfare, Claes wrote:” In the event (may not be able to call it a real war) broke out, China and the U.S. diplomatic crisis between the two world powers had already slightly horizon, when the West did not expect a sudden political crisis out of control the United States and even George Washington is still sending a routine patrol along the Chinese coast, to Ming, while China also take concrete actions to show its position – firing missiles sank the giant ship at sea, George Washington was shot after breaking in half and sank in 20 minutes in China’s medium-range ballistic missile carried by the armor-piercing missiles to penetrate the first ships to all 14 deck and lower deck from the top to the bottom hull blasted a 20-foot-wide giant hole. but the attack also led to the occurrence of the first tank ammunition reserves secondary explosion. 200 million gallons of JP-5 fuel spilled into the sea. The attack resulted in disastrous consequences, damage control is meaningless. “

” message is received, the Pentagon was shocked, quickly to send warships and planes rushed to the East China Sea. and, once again deployed to Guam B-2 bomber. In addition, stationed in Guam and the U.S. west coast submarine was immediately on the road in the waters of Hawaii, an Aegis destroyer to perform tasks quickly left the high seas, driving past fat area (one week time). Shortly thereafter, based in Norfolk, Va.-based U.S. Second Fleet also rushed to the crash site, but before this, control of the Panama Canal of China Ocean Shipping Group has announced that it will within four weeks to close the canal, which emergency repairs between the Atlantic and the Pacific locks which strip 40-mile-long canal is closed, from the U.S. East Coast to the Far East will increase the range of 3,000 miles in this case, the U.S. military Fleet can only bypass the Strait of Magellan in southern Chile, although Bideleike Strait is much more secure but still not conducive to sailing the Strait of Magellan The Strait is not only narrow, but strong winds and bad weather was also disturbed. affected, stationed in Norfolk United States Pacific Fleet had to temporarily cut off contact. “

” Asia-Pacific region to deploy three U.S. aircraft carrier may take more than a month’s time, then after how? Although most Asian countries quietly support the United States, but they fear a public position will anger China. powerful fleet was sent Japanese Maritime Self Defense Force stationed in Yokosuka, Sasebo, and other small domestic base. MSDF is also equipped with the Aegis air-defense and to integrated combat system “King Kong” class guided missile destroyer at the core, set up four small convoy, but the Japanese Constitution forbids Japan to act on behalf of the United States, its effect can be done? in India, despite the US-India “condominium Ocean ‘ signs become apparent, but New Delhi may not be better than those who do not agree with their government in support of the Indian Communist Party members to the United States. “

U.S. Marine-led era: from the end?

how the United States come to this step it? Klass cited 2008 Department of Defense, “Joint maximum operational concept” for a description of the new marine operational environment:

“By 2015, when a sensation was designed to make ships and military aircraft in the ocean free free sailing program will gradually decline, first, first, with the downsizing of the U.S. fleet to the port visits to countries of ships and aircraft will become less and less. More importantly, the United States in 2001 After the collision, near the U.S. State Department that the naval operations in China too obvious provocation is also too strong. The incident almost caused the Sino-US crisis, which the Pentagon and State Department can not arbitrarily exercise in the East China Sea maritime rights and freedoms. Since then, in view of Beijing’s sensitive coastal areas in China, the U.S. warships and aircraft activity gradually reduce the number of As the Seventh Fleet in the East China Sea appear less and less, coastal waters of China’s growing sense of ownership, once the United States declared activities are in the United States the right to freedom of the seas, the Chinese will react strongly condemned the expansion of U.S. Navy operations aimed at suppressing the development of China, invaded and occupied China’s territorial waters. ”

In addition, the 1990s, the Soviet Union lead to “mental aberration” to induce the United States over-confidence, their national target is equivalent to universal values. However, the twenty-first century, out of favor in the global scope of the Bush administration and continued to apologize for the beginning of the Obama administration, the United States gradually lost the “global leader” status. Challenger no longer accept the United States to build post-war world, from the U.S. dollar as the world’s foremost reserve currency to the U.S. anti-proliferation policy on Iran and other issues being questioned. Maritime international law is no exception. For decades, the Chinese claim that foreign warships and aircraft within 200 miles of coastline with the traditional understanding of freedom of navigation was very different. Strength is weak, China endured in the United States and other countries for routine surveillance of its coastline insult. However, with the shift in U.S. naval forces in the Chinese do not want to continue to suffer from “foreign invasion.”

Klass at the impact of a hypothetical U.S. naval wrote, “George Washington” The sinking of aircraft carrier changed Asia’s security situation. Clearly, the U.S. was “topple” the. ‘For the U.S., the shrinking force structure not suited to asymmetric warfare huge and expensive legacy systems, such as aging industrial technology base, means ocean of public domain on the asymmetry will be more formidable opponents. In addition, with the United States, the Chinese sea power levels used to achieve their goals once to take action, says China has extreme patience, will put its focus on the integration of their national plans naval technology and marine resources and the political, above legal and diplomatic strategy. “(Compiled: Spring)