U.S. military superiority, said the South China Sea the next five to 10 years will shift to China
Navy new battleship guns firing instant
LONDON August 17 news: Hull Senior Fellow American intellectual 库克莱蒙特 15 Princeton, wrote in the Wall Street Journal, U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s remarks on the South China Sea, is repeat the mistakes of its predecessor, Dean Acheson, the lack of adequate military support. The article said that if the military according to existing trends continue, the next five to ten years, the South China Sea military advantage will shift to the Chinese side, the main advantage is that China has a strong land Sealand and air forces, U.S. allies in Asia will be due to without fear of Chinese retaliation would be U.S. military operations base to help.
lack of military support Hillary remarks the South China Sea
The article said that Hillary Clinton is the current U.S. Secretary of State Dean Acheson to repeat its predecessor, North Korea excluded from the Pacific zone, or the U.S. ambassador to Iraq 艾普丽尔克 around Las Pierre talked about Saddam Hussein, “drivel” the same error. The end of July in Hanoi at a regional meeting, Clinton proposed an initiative to try the coastal upper boundary with Vietnam and the Philippines, a defensive alliance. Like his predecessor, Dean Acheson, Hillary seems a bit offensive or do not care about military analysis. Her initiative is bound to the South China Sea will be aborted, and this rhetorical diplomacy not only may lead to Sino-US military conflict, are more likely to lead the United States because of its implicit guarantee aborted leaving other countries recognized China instead goals.
article said Clinton in a recent speech to U.S. national interests and Beijing’s claim to sovereignty over the South China Sea associated with the practice of the lack of adequate military support. First, China’s “paper tiger” very sensitive, and ready to challenge it, especially in relation to its core interests and the balance of power in the forward area of ??the transfer of China. So, in the United States naval warfare, the Chinese will take hold it? United States is not the world’s most powerful military force do?
true. However, the strategic assessment must not unilaterally start from. U.S. defense spending in later than ten countries and even more, although some extent, this is of decisive significance, but the scope of its commitments, personnel costs, allies are willing or tacit, purchasing power parity, power structure, asymmetric advantages and disadvantages, domestic politics, strategic talent, including the U.S. presence as well as many other factors, including geography, etc. has nothing to do.
article points out, half a century ago, China has tied the United States in Korea. In addition, the reason why the United States in Vietnam is to avoid it to let go to war in Vietnam and even less than the original size of the Navy one-tenth of the U.S. Navy, it can be a threat to the United States without nuclear weapons, and the Western Pacific of the United States itself is a lake, However, although a large number of military facilities there, but most have been abandoned, affected by the current U.S. is actively rebuilding the alliance. Weakened by successive administrations, the big stick policy is now down Ruaobama hands.
the South China Sea military superiority over the next five to ten years will shift to China
If only according to the current trend continues, the next five to ten years, South China Sea military advantage will shift to the Chinese side. China is keen to get the South China Sea oil. China has been in the region issued a declaration as well as the topic of domestic propaganda. However, a sane U.S. President may not fall into the brink of collapse in the South China Sea. 1996 Taiwan Strait crisis, Hillary’s husband Bill Clinton will be prudent and careful in the U.S. Navy deployed east of Taiwan; In addition, China should demand Obama so far has kept the U.S. aircraft carrier battle groups deployed in the Yellow Sea beyond.
article said China’s South China’s main advantage is its powerful air force land Sealand. If not in China’s neighboring countries to respond to China’s naval and air forces expeditionary force and comprehensive facilities, the U.S. will be forced to personally attack the Chinese domestic airports and ports, which means full-scale war broke out. Another option is for the Chinese aircraft and submarines to fight a war of attrition.
not have a strong navy or air force of circumstances, the U.S. allies in Asia, China for fear of retaliation, rather than provide a base for U.S. military action to help. Affected, most of the United States may have to risk sending aircraft carrier fleet shrinking to deploy up to 350 fighters and attack aircraft, to respond to China’s large aircraft, including F-22 fighter and the U.S. China’s fifth-generation fighter equivalent. In addition, although a large number of U.S. anti-submarine submarine to destroy China’s submarine fleet, but by no means inevitable, before China may be combined sea-air guided missile attacks and the end of the first U.S. aircraft carrier sunk.
In addition, the distance and re-supply is also crucial. Paracel Islands is likely to be a light, its 14,000 miles from Norfolk, San Diego, 8000 miles away from Pearl Harbor, 6000 miles from Guam, 2300 miles, but the base away from China Yulin only 200 miles. However, China Guangzhou Military Region, there are many scattered bases, if these bases vulnerable, then the United States in the Western Pacific, less distant bases more vulnerable to attack. Even now, China’s nuclear deterrent but also to make U.S. nuclear weapons in such conflicts can not play a role, no matter in what kind of form. Although the United States looks strong, but in fact it has been in since World War II, after the state suffered losses.
article points out that as China’s nuclear forces, sea and air and the rapid growth and strength of the corresponding decline in the United States, Hillary’s speech can be described as recently invited to China on the situation in its favor to develop the probability of gambling . In this case, although the U.S. military has made a perfect feasible “empty war” strategy, but if the number of aircraft carriers and warships, missile defense, foreign bases, flight time, anti-submarine warfare and the defense industrial sector dropped situation occurs, then the strategy may be not be successful. (Compiled: Spring)