Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

Iran a large oil refinery.
5 17, in Tehran, Iran, Iranian Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki (front row), the Brazilian Foreign Minister Celso Amorim (left) and Turkish Foreign Minister 达乌特奥卢 (right) signed a nuclear fuel exchange agreements.

中广网 Beijing on May 19 news (reporters Xu Jiahui) Iran, Turkey and Brazil 17 agreement, Iran agreed to its domestic production of 1200 kilograms of enriched uranium to 3.5% purity to Turkey in exchange for 120 kg concentration 20% enriched uranium, in medical research and use as nuclear fuel. Analysts believe that the signing of this agreement, the negotiated settlement of the Iranian nuclear issue to reproduce the prospect of the dawn. But yesterday, said the Permanent Mission of China, the United Nations Security Council’s five permanent members and Germany on the afternoon in the Security Council circulated a draft resolution the Iranian nuclear issue. So why on the nuclear issue of Iran to make concessions and compromises, but also to sanction it? Iraq will eventually how to solve the nuclear issue? Well-known military expert, National Defense University professor Zhang Zhaozhong you in-depth analysis.

does not match with the expected signing of an object

reporter: Earlier, Iran and the parties in the exchange of nuclear fuel on time and place have differences, Iran insists on exchange their territories, and insist the principle of simultaneous exchange. This time, Iran, Brazil and Turkey reached an agreement that Iran’s nuclear fuel switching in the time and place to show a compromise gesture. But why insist on the UN Security Council sanctions against Iran?

Zhang Zhaozhong: Iran signed a nuclear fuel exchange agreements, but the object is not signed by Russia, Iran, but Turkey, this and previous UN Security Council, including some Western countries of understanding of the gap. Before the UN Security Council and International Atomic Energy Agency has been coordinating the hope that Iran can be imported from abroad, 20% of low-enriched uranium. The United Nations and the International Atomic Energy Agency that you can import the object is to trust Russia, because Russia’s uranium fuel is relatively high production quality, but also to mass production, in addition, Russia is a permanent member of UN Security Council, so that the other countries Russia’s more appropriate to undertake this task.

first Russia and Iran have agreed, but later the two sides some awkward trouble, including Iran expelled the Russian pilots, mainly because Russia changed the way S-300 sale to Iran’s missile program, these things lead to between Russia and Iran to freeze uranium exchange. Freeze after turning Turkey to discuss the Iran nuclear fuel exchange agreements. The mediation of President Lula in Brazil, Turkey and Iran signed a nuclear exchange, we hope that diplomatic scroll through the previous stage Iran by Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad on Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference, published a series of 17 lectures and Iran and Turkey signed the treaty on Iran to ease international understanding, to postpone or cancel the fourth round of sanctions against Iran. But unfortunately, the very next day, Clinton pledged to continue to impose sanctions on Iran, so this is a very regrettable thing.

Iran signed an agreement not to win recognition and understanding

Reporters: 17, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in the nuclear fuel exchange agreement signed to a representative of the “victory” sign. Does this mean that Iran and the West on the nuclear issue took advantage of the contest?

Zhang Zhaozhong: About to do a fourth round of sanctions, and the fourth round of sanctions against the core of what the international community has mediated for months, but the results repeatedly postponed, mainly due to China, Russia’s attitude has not been finalized. Another point is that the Iranian nuclear issue as a trump card in the exchange of non-stop play. Held at the headquarters of the Joint Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty Review Conference, we are divided. Because Iran insists are peaceful use of nuclear energy, while the international community, especially Western countries believe that it is developing nuclear weapons, so all these problems are undetermined.

So, in this case Iran and Russia to abandon nuclear fuel switching in favor and Turkey reached an agreement that by its own diplomacy has persuaded other countries – including China and some other big countries, to the possibility of the fourth round of sanctions is becoming smaller and smaller. Iran in this round of diplomacy, it successfully and Turkey instead of Russia signed such an agreement, it is the diplomatic sense of a “major victory” for the international community to ease sanctions against Iran and understanding is a “victory “But the next day” victory “soon becomes a failure.

not rule out the possibility of the use of force to solve the problem

correspondent: Iran’s nuclear issue will eventually be resolved?

Zhang Zhaozhong: We all agree that Iran’s hard to escape the fourth round of sanctions. This round of sanctions may impose terms. For example, if the Iran be so frustrating, and then insisted on continuing to engage in nuclear fuel, the United Nations may take another approach. Personally, I think, is likely to use force to resolve – Israel has been pushing for a military solution. The problem now is that the U.S. has been pressing Israel, let Israel do it.

Next, the United States or Israel on Iran’s nuclear facilities may be hands-on, all this had to look after the fourth round of sanctions against Iran, listen to his words and deeds, look at what Iran’s implementation and the effects of sanctions. If sanctions are ineffective, I can not imagine then the fifth round of sanctions, as it has been four rounds of sanctions, no effect could be for the United States and Israel to provide an excuse for Iran hands.