Military of China, force comment.
Military of China, force comment.

Data Figure: U.S. Navy aircraft carrier Carl Vinson

December 28, Beijing People’s Daily (Reporter Huang Zaijuan) tension of the Korean Peninsula, the U.S. Cable News International (CNN) reported said that in North Korea’s military warned that nuclear deterrence has been good according to the “jihad” to prepare, the United States decided to deploy more aircraft carriers rushed to Southeast Asia. The U.S. has deployed in the Western Pacific, “Washington” and “Carl Vinson” two nuclear aircraft carrier, the media reported that the U.S. third aircraft carrier “Ronald Reagan” is expected to arrive today. U.S. aircraft carrier concentration of three news caused great concern in East Asia, this, Ben Wang interviewed Major General Zhang Zhaozhong National Defense University professor, he said, “Ronald Reagan” aircraft carrier arrived in the East Asian Seas today’s news reports were not true, in the near future the U.S. will not simultaneous deployment of three aircraft carriers in East Asia.

Zhang Zhaozhong said in an interview, when a U.S. aircraft carrier in a certain area, the main purpose is for military deterrence, sending a message to the other party, the United States is very concerned about the tensions in this region. This year, the U.S. aircraft carrier George Washington, a series of military exercises in China, all around this is the case. When two carriers simultaneously in the same area, said the escalation of military deterrence, the U.S. military is well prepared to deal with the crisis, the main purpose is to deter crises and deter war. When the three aircraft carriers in the same area simultaneously, indicating that the situation is suddenly nervous, imminent war, if military deterrence can not prevent the other bent, put the United States military exercises direct transition to a regional war.

Zhang Zhaozhong the dynamics of these three U.S. aircraft carriers were analyzed: “Washington” aircraft carrier (CVN-73) military exercise in the Sea of ??Japan after the completion of the US-Japan return to Yokosuka on vacation, mechanical repair and maintenance, individual equipment to carry out the repair or overhaul. Therefore, no special circumstances this period will not be a military deployment. “Carl Vinson” (CVN-70) aircraft carrier home port at Naval Base San Diego, California, November 30 aboard the aircraft carrier departed, would reach the waters around Okinawa. But Vinson aircraft carrier deployed in over exactly where is still unknown. Expected instead of “Washington” aircraft carrier in the western Pacific combat duty and patrol duty tasks, if necessary, into the Sea of ??Japan and the Yellow Sea can not rule out the possibility. “Ronald Reagan” aircraft carrier (CVN-76) homeport is San Diego, so if the distance to the western Pacific and Vinson navigation is the same. December 25, U.S. Department of Defense announced the addition of “Reagan” aircraft carrier to the Western Pacific, then the time to reach this region should be around January 20, currently in the U.S. Pacific Fleet, Third Fleet’s zone defense, has not yet entered the Pacific. Then to the West Pacific, the sea area in which to deploy what is also worth attention, according to the current situation to judge, “Ronald Reagan” into the Sea of ??Japan, Yellow Sea and the “Vincent” aircraft carrier the possibility of realignment is very small, almost no possibility, there beyond the first island chain may be a sea cruise on a circle toward the Indian Ocean, the long-term stay in the East China Sea is unlikely.

Zhang Zhaozhong analysis, the U.S. aircraft carrier in East Asia as a combat duty in the other one in the holiday, there is one on the road, well not be forthcoming! So, in February next year, before the waters near the first island chain in the same three carrier battle groups to conduct joint combat duty status and can basically rule out the possibility of war.

Zhang Zhaozhong said, the so-called “three aircraft carriers deployed in the same area also means that war is imminent,” the judge must pay attention to two elements: First, the three aircraft carrier battle group is three, sometimes will strengthen the three amphibious strike group; two of the three aircraft carrier battle group to battle the same time must appear on the same area, three in the six-month period will not shift aircraft carrier battle group phenomenon.

Zhang Zhaozhong said, The United States has been leaked that three aircraft carrier battle group deployment to East Asia, is using the media to military deterrence, pressure North Korea to make it surrender. In this case, we must recognize the true intentions of the United States, to analyze specific issues.